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Sam Antonacci

CWS · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Sam Antonacci · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G22.000.000.000.000.1600.0%0.0%25.0%96.4101.10.0%50.0%0.0%
Last 15 G611.111.273.111.209.31518.2%0.0%15.8%85.0101.10.0%42.9%42.9%
Last 30 G1116.231.375.231.300.29918.8%6.2%13.0%81.6101.10.0%30.0%40.0%
90 days3658.286.397.327.338.31819.0%6.9%13.8%81.0102.40.0%23.7%44.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 38 balls in play
Ground 55%Line drive 24%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 0%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G519.312.368.375.329.3920.0%5.3%0.0%89.7101.95.9%47.1%29.4%
Last 15 G1545.381.400.524.398.3744.4%2.2%5.5%89.5103.04.9%39.0%36.6%
Last 30 G30100.287.370.402.353.34910.0%9.0%10.4%88.3103.03.8%30.8%39.7%
90 days73238.244.329.378.324.31913.4%8.4%10.8%87.9107.33.4%31.8%35.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 179 balls in play
Ground 49%Line drive 20%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 3%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.278.333.333.298.3700.0%4.8%3.6%90.4101.95.3%47.4%26.3%
Last 15 G1556.333.375.451.361.3637.1%1.8%7.6%88.8103.04.2%39.6%37.5%
Last 30 G30116.280.371.380.346.34211.2%8.6%10.7%87.5103.03.4%30.7%39.8%
90 days75296.252.342.368.327.31914.5%8.1%11.4%86.7107.32.8%30.4%36.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 217 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 20%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 2%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPFastball95.291.835.063Out
Sep 24RHPFastball89.2100.613.915Single
Sep 24RHPCutter89.577.1-12.054Out
Sep 24RHPSinker91.295.3-2.299Single
Sep 24RHPFastball93.862.939.350Out
Sep 23RHPSinker91.3101.913.892Single
Sep 23RHPFastball99.299.228.780Out
Sep 23LHPSinker90.1101.1-6.258Out
Sep 23RHPSinker90.587.425.090Out
Sep 20RHPSlider87.596.37.533Double
Sep 20RHPCutter92.794.40.316Out
Sep 20RHPFastball95.390.833.062Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24622010
Sep 23511000
Sep 20423000
Sep 19400000
Sep 18200000
Sep 16100000
Sep 15422001
Sep 14311000
Sep 13413000
Sep 12522000
FormHot
Contact rating55Average
Last 100 pitches94trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.329 / .323results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeBContact type
wOBA.324
Barrel%2.8%
Hard-hit%22.8%
K%15.9%
BB%8.2%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Sam Antonacci · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Sam Antonacci · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 19 vs Jackson Jobe: 55.9% · no hitSep 20 vs Troy Melton: 56.1% · 2 HSep 23 vs Seth Lugo: 63.1% · 1 HSep 24 vs Randy Dobnak: 60.5% · 2 HSep 25 vs Tomoyuki Sugano: 68.3% · not settledSep 19Sep 25

Hits in 3 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 2.4. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

4 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 4BTB expected 2.4
Games with 2+ TB2 of 4BTB expected 1.4
Games with a HR0 of 4BTB expected 0.3
Talent gradeBwOBA .324 · K% 15.9%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Tomoyuki Sugano68.3%40.5%9.0%not settled
Sep 24Randy Dobnak60.5%31.9%6.7%6220
Sep 23Seth Lugo63.1%36.8%8.0%5110
Sep 20Troy Melton56.1%36.7%7.3%4230
Sep 19Jackson Jobe55.9%35.5%7.9%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.