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Seiya Suzuki

CHC · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Seiya Suzuki · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.294.333.706.431.40322.2%5.6%19.4%87.3108.915.4%23.1%30.8%
Last 15 G1450.239.300.457.326.33126.0%6.0%20.2%89.3108.915.2%39.4%36.4%
Last 30 G28102.258.353.449.352.34020.6%11.8%18.4%89.4108.910.3%38.2%32.4%
90 days73254.258.354.466.363.32724.8%12.2%19.8%87.6110.612.0%34.8%32.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 158 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 20%Fly ball 34%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G35.750.800.750.680.50320.0%20.0%0.0%101.4106.10.0%100.0%33.3%
Last 15 G916.333.500.333.400.41318.8%25.0%3.8%96.3106.70.0%77.8%33.3%
Last 30 G1935.346.514.500.453.42411.4%25.7%9.4%90.0106.74.5%50.0%40.9%
90 days5292.333.446.627.455.39415.2%17.4%13.3%88.4110.98.1%41.9%45.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 62 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 14%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 13%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G523.381.435.714.485.42421.7%8.7%16.3%90.0108.912.5%37.5%31.2%
Last 15 G1566.259.348.431.344.35124.2%10.6%16.5%90.8108.911.9%47.6%35.7%
Last 30 G30137.278.394.461.378.36218.2%15.3%16.3%89.5108.98.9%41.1%34.4%
90 days75346.277.379.507.387.34522.3%13.6%18.1%87.9110.910.9%36.8%36.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 220 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 18%Fly ball 32%Pop-up 11%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSweeper83.168.623.861Single
Sep 24RHPSplitter81.0106.1291.839Home run
Sep 23RHPSlider84.585.853.026Out
Sep 23RHPSinker93.566.0-38.088Out
Sep 23RHPSweeper80.769.334.736Single
Sep 22RHPSweeper84.094.149.012Out
Sep 22RHPFastball96.9106.617.684Double
Sep 22RHPSinker100.684.2-40.063Out
Sep 22RHPSweeper78.977.871.007Out
Sep 22LHPSlider89.797.9-9.260Single
Sep 20RHPSinker90.0108.9242.000Home run
Sep 20RHPSinker95.094.3-6.219Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24425111
Sep 23411001
Sep 22623001
Sep 20514101
Sep 19422011
Sep 18511003
Sep 16500001
Sep 15411002
Sep 14511002
Sep 13400011
FormHot
Contact rating84Excellent
Last 100 pitches98trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.387 / .356running 31 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeBBalanced type
wOBA.375
Barrel%7.1%
Hard-hit%24.3%
K%22.6%
BB%13.1%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Seiya Suzuki · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Seiya Suzuki · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Chase Burns: 59.4% · 1 HSep 19 vs Nick Lodolo: 63.3% · 2 HSep 20 vs Rhett Lowder: 65.1% · 1 HSep 22 vs Janson Junk: 64.1% · 2 HSep 23 vs Ryan Gusto: 67.0% · 1 HSep 24 vs Tyler Phillips: 62.7% · 2 HSep 25 vs Brayan Bello: 62.9% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 6 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.8. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit6 of 6BTB expected 3.8
Games with 2+ TB4 of 6BTB expected 2.4
Games with a HR2 of 6BTB expected 1.0
Talent gradeBwOBA .375 · K% 22.6%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Brayan Bello62.9%36.3%12.0%not settled
Sep 24Tyler Phillips62.7%34.1%15.9%4251
Sep 23Ryan Gusto67.0%40.8%17.7%4110
Sep 22Janson Junk64.1%41.2%15.3%6230
Sep 20Rhett Lowder65.1%47.4%17.1%5141
Sep 19Nick Lodolo63.3%45.4%18.3%4220
Sep 18Chase Burns59.4%35.4%15.1%5110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.