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Spencer Horwitz

PIT · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Spencer Horwitz · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G512.300.333.400.312.38725.0%8.3%16.0%84.094.10.0%0.0%75.0%
Last 15 G1542.189.262.216.225.27019.0%9.5%20.3%85.5104.40.0%23.3%46.7%
Last 30 G3087.173.218.185.189.23520.7%5.7%16.3%86.2104.40.0%25.0%37.5%
90 days37109.172.239.192.205.24620.2%7.3%16.1%86.5104.40.0%23.1%35.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 78 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 21%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G34.333.500.333.400.4020.0%25.0%0.0%80.883.30.0%0.0%33.3%
Last 15 G911.444.545.444.455.3980.0%18.2%12.5%81.1101.20.0%22.2%33.3%
Last 30 G1932.259.375.259.306.32618.8%12.5%21.3%85.6104.30.0%23.8%42.9%
90 days2236.226.333.226.272.29919.4%11.1%23.2%84.8104.30.0%20.8%41.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 24 balls in play
Ground 38%Line drive 29%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.308.375.385.334.39118.8%12.5%13.3%83.294.10.0%0.0%63.6%
Last 15 G1553.239.321.261.273.29715.1%11.3%18.9%84.5104.40.0%23.1%43.6%
Last 30 G30119.194.261.204.221.26020.2%7.6%17.5%86.0104.40.0%24.7%38.8%
90 days37145.185.262.200.221.25920.0%8.3%17.8%86.1104.40.0%22.5%37.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 102 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 23%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 9%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPFastball90.083.362.008Out
Sep 24LHPChangeup80.781.152.041Out
Sep 24RHPCurveball81.273.4-31.036Out
Sep 24RHPFastball98.091.828.096Sac fly
Sep 22RHPFastball95.691.75.468Out
Sep 22RHPSlider89.494.112.860Double
Sep 20RHPFastball95.167.823.833Single
Sep 20RHPChangeup81.270.517.602Out
Sep 18RHPFastball92.991.58.523Out
Sep 18RHPFastball99.191.410.525Single
Sep 18LHPFastball94.478.121.860Single
Sep 15RHPFastball99.585.452.013Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24400000
Sep 22312010
Sep 20411002
Sep 18422010
Sep 16100001
Sep 15200000
Sep 12411011
Sep 10311000
Sep 9411001
Sep 8522000
FormNormal
Contact rating14Poor
Last 100 pitches77trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.224 / .270running 46 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.290
Barrel%2.6%
Hard-hit%19.8%
K%19.6%
BB%9.2%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Spencer Horwitz · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Spencer Horwitz · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Randy Dobnak: 50.5% · 2 HSep 20 vs Michael Wacha: 50.7% · 1 HSep 22 vs Andre Pallante: 51.6% · 1 HSep 24 vs Kyle Leahy: 56.8% · no hitSep 25 vs Jackson Jobe: 56.0% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 3 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 2.1. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

4 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 4BTB expected 2.1
Games with 2+ TB2 of 4BTB expected 1.0
Games with a HR0 of 4BTB expected 0.2
Talent gradeFwOBA .290 · K% 19.6%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Jackson Jobe56.0%27.6%6.1%not settled
Sep 24Kyle Leahy56.8%24.6%5.1%4000
Sep 22Andre Pallante51.6%22.8%4.2%3120
Sep 20Michael Wacha50.7%25.5%5.1%4110
Sep 18Randy Dobnak50.5%22.8%5.1%4220
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.