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Spencer Jones

NYY · Hitter · 4 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Spencer Jones · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.200.250.467.303.32231.2%6.2%28.1%94.0109.810.0%60.0%40.0%
Last 15 G1552.213.288.319.275.29536.5%9.6%41.0%93.2110.910.7%50.0%42.9%
Last 30 G2989.215.284.418.308.33536.0%9.0%38.2%93.6112.016.7%52.1%45.8%
90 days55166.200.267.373.288.32736.1%8.4%39.7%93.8112.016.5%53.8%47.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 91 balls in play
Ground 24%Line drive 29%Fly ball 32%Pop-up 15%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G24.000.000.000.000.00175.0%0.0%40.0%107.5107.50.0%100.0%0.0%
Last 15 G610.400.400.800.505.37640.0%0.0%28.6%98.2110.116.7%66.7%33.3%
Last 30 G1625.458.480.667.496.37836.0%4.0%28.6%93.0110.16.7%46.7%53.3%
90 days2744.439.477.780.551.44229.5%4.5%26.7%93.0111.117.9%46.4%57.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 28 balls in play
Ground 29%Line drive 50%Fly ball 11%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.158.200.368.242.25840.0%5.0%31.0%95.3109.89.1%63.6%36.4%
Last 15 G1562.246.306.404.312.30837.1%8.1%39.1%94.1110.911.8%52.9%41.2%
Last 30 G30114.272.327.476.349.34436.0%7.9%36.3%93.5112.014.3%50.8%47.6%
90 days58210.251.311.461.343.35134.8%7.6%37.2%93.6112.016.8%52.1%49.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 119 balls in play
Ground 25%Line drive 34%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 14%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23RHPFastball93.496.853.009Out
Sep 23RHPFastball91.6101.013.915Double
Sep 23RHPFastball92.496.828.399Out
Sep 22RHPCutter88.470.459.010Out
Sep 22RHPChangeup78.587.7-5.176Single
Sep 22RHPCutter89.693.928.215Out
Sep 22RHPSlider84.695.528.447Out
Sep 20RHPCurveball76.3109.8342.000Home run
Sep 20RHPFastball99.391.740.019Out
Sep 18LHPChangeup83.9107.566.005Out
Sep 18RHPFastball94.496.9-6.266Force out
Sep 16RHPSlider87.296.324.335Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23512002
Sep 22400012
Sep 22311000
Sep 20414102
Sep 18400002
Sep 16600005
Sep 15514100
Sep 14400002
Sep 13311000
Sep 12422002
FormNormal
Contact rating89Excellent
Last 100 pitches3trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.346 / .363running 18 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases6/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeAPower type
wOBA.331
Barrel%7.8%
Hard-hit%28.7%
K%32.8%
BB%7.7%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Spencer Jones · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Spencer Jones · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Eduardo Rodriguez: 52.9% · no hitSep 22 vs Drew Rasmussen: 52.5% · no hitSep 23 vs Mason Englert: 58.6% · 1 HSep 25 vs Trevor Rogers: 55.6% · 1 HSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 2.2. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

4 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 4BTB expected 2.2
Games with 2+ TB1 of 4BTB expected 1.3
Games with a HR0 of 4BTB expected 0.6
Talent gradeAwOBA .331 · K% 32.8%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Trevor Rogers55.6%34.0%14.5%4110
Sep 23Mason Englert58.6%36.3%17.7%5120
Sep 22Drew Rasmussen52.5%33.9%13.8%4000
Sep 18Eduardo Rodriguez52.9%29.6%10.3%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.