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Spencer Torkelson

DET · Hitter · 4 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Spencer Torkelson · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G512.250.500.750.504.29533.3%16.7%50.0%94.7101.70.0%50.0%25.0%
Last 15 G1438.370.553.815.554.39026.3%23.7%37.1%91.3103.95.9%52.9%35.3%
Last 30 G2866.300.470.700.484.35233.3%18.2%42.1%91.5106.510.7%53.6%39.3%
90 days71186.248.360.503.372.33030.1%12.4%34.5%89.6106.513.7%44.1%33.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 102 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 20%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 16%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G46.000.333.000.233.23366.7%33.3%66.7%–––––
Last 15 G1116.231.375.231.300.28650.0%18.8%44.4%94.9106.020.0%60.0%40.0%
Last 30 G2240.171.275.200.231.23835.0%12.5%26.1%89.6106.04.8%38.1%47.6%
90 days58102.256.333.356.310.27530.4%10.8%26.3%87.4107.55.0%31.7%43.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 60 balls in play
Ground 38%Line drive 17%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.167.444.500.414.27444.4%22.2%55.2%94.7101.70.0%50.0%25.0%
Last 15 G1554.325.500.625.479.36033.3%22.2%39.3%92.1106.09.1%54.5%36.4%
Last 30 G30106.247.396.494.389.30934.0%16.0%35.8%90.7106.58.2%46.9%42.9%
90 days75288.251.351.449.350.31030.2%11.8%31.5%88.8107.510.5%39.5%37.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 162 balls in play
Ground 38%Line drive 19%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 14%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 21RHPFastball98.697.136.261Home run
Sep 21RHPSlider86.287.2-4.172Double play
Sep 20RHPFastball95.392.623.220Double
Sep 19RHPSlider88.3101.752.028Out
Sep 18RHPSinker96.875.441.203Single
Sep 18RHPSinker95.973.58.236Out
Sep 18LHPFastball91.4103.28.666Single
Sep 17RHPSweeper82.593.312.836Out
Sep 17LHPFastball89.5106.019.835Single
Sep 16RHPSinker98.697.216.679Single
Sep 15RHPSinker92.0103.9221.071Double
Sep 15RHPSweeper84.5102.738.818Home run
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23400004
Sep 22400030
Sep 21414102
Sep 20412011
Sep 19200001
Sep 18522011
Sep 17411011
Sep 16411021
Sep 15526112
Sep 14412012
FormNormal
Contact rating48Average
Last 100 pitches29trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.351 / .314running 37 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases6/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Spencer Torkelson · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Spencer Torkelson · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs David Sandlin: 53.3% · 2 HSep 20 vs Davis Martin: 56.0% · 1 HSep 22 vs Riley Cornelio: 52.6% · no hitSep 25 vs Bubba Chandler: 51.9% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 3 settled games; the projections added up to 1.6. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

3 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 3BTB expected 1.6
Games with 2+ TB2 of 3BTB expected 1.0
Games with a HR0 of 3BTB expected 0.4
Talent grade—wOBA – · K% –

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Bubba Chandler51.9%29.2%12.7%not settled
Sep 22Riley Cornelio52.6%31.8%13.1%4000
Sep 20Davis Martin56.0%37.6%13.1%4120
Sep 18David Sandlin53.3%28.9%12.5%5220
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.