Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

TOR · Hitter · 4 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Next up

Sep 26 · 2:07 PM CTvs Rhett Lowder RHPCIN @ TOR1+ hit 69.9%2+ TB 41.4%HR 10.4%Sep 25 · 6:07 PM CTvs Nick Lodolo LHPCIN @ TOR1+ hit 70.7%2+ TB 43.5%HR 12.8%

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games

vs RHPvs LHPAll

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	5	15	.357	.400	.429	.370	.264	6.7%	6.7%	7.1%	89.8	106.4	0.0%	46.2%	30.8%
Last 15 G	15	49	.250	.327	.295	.288	.308	18.4%	8.2%	28.6%	93.4	115.5	8.6%	54.3%	28.6%
Last 30 G	30	89	.247	.303	.296	.273	.309	12.4%	6.7%	20.5%	92.8	116.3	4.2%	53.5%	23.9%
90 days	64	194	.228	.278	.328	.280	.300	17.0%	6.2%	21.1%	91.5	116.3	6.8%	48.6%	27.7%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 148 balls in play

Ground 55%Line drive 18%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 9%

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	2	3	.000	.333	.000	.233	.461	0.0%	33.3%	33.3%	98.3	100.5	0.0%	100.0%	50.0%
Last 15 G	7	14	.333	.429	.667	.461	.479	14.3%	14.3%	16.7%	90.2	109.6	10.0%	60.0%	60.0%
Last 30 G	15	37	.324	.378	.559	.403	.395	8.1%	8.1%	12.7%	89.7	110.2	9.7%	38.7%	35.5%
90 days	33	76	.299	.382	.448	.367	.369	13.2%	11.8%	13.0%	91.6	111.1	7.0%	42.1%	33.3%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 57 balls in play

Ground 46%Line drive 25%Fly ball 19%Pop-up 11%

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	5	18	.312	.389	.375	.347	.297	5.6%	11.1%	11.8%	90.9	106.4	0.0%	53.3%	33.3%
Last 15 G	15	63	.268	.349	.375	.326	.346	17.5%	9.5%	25.9%	92.7	115.5	8.9%	55.6%	35.6%
Last 30 G	30	126	.270	.325	.374	.311	.334	11.1%	7.1%	18.2%	91.9	116.3	5.9%	49.0%	27.5%
90 days	64	270	.247	.307	.360	.304	.319	15.9%	7.8%	18.7%	91.5	116.3	6.8%	46.8%	29.3%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 205 balls in play

Ground 53%Line drive 20%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 9%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
Date	Pitcher	Pitch	Velo	EV	LA	xwOBA	Result
Sep 23	RHP	Sinker	93.5	91.8	-38	.035	Double play
Sep 23	RHP	Sinker	94.1	102.5	18	.590	Out
Sep 23	RHP	Sweeper	87.0	56.7	58	.003	Out
Sep 23	RHP	Sweeper	73.4	103.6	18	.608	Double
Sep 20	RHP	Slider	92.2	76.4	-24	.031	Out
Sep 20	RHP	Sinker	96.7	97.1	-23	.098	Single
Sep 19	RHP	Curveball	77.2	77.5	42	.100	Out
Sep 19	RHP	Sweeper	86.3	103.8	-15	.218	Single
Sep 19	RHP	Fastball	91.8	93.9	34	.087	Out
Sep 18	RHP	Sinker	92.8	106.4	-9	.273	Out
Sep 18	RHP	Sweeper	77.4	67.6	-28	.042	Out
Sep 18	RHP	Sinker	88.2	103.2	9	.684	Single

Total bases, last 10 games★ home run

111

212

8★13

014

015

116

118

119

120

223

Last 10 games.
Date	PA	H	TB	HR	BB	K
Sep 23	4	1	2	0	0	0
Sep 20	2	1	1	0	0	0
Sep 19	4	1	1	0	1	0
Sep 18	4	1	1	0	0	1
Sep 16	4	1	1	0	1	0
Sep 15	4	0	0	0	1	0
Sep 14	5	0	0	0	1	1
Sep 13	5	4	8	1	0	1
Sep 12	5	1	2	0	0	2
Sep 11	5	1	1	0	1	2

FormNormal

Contact rating70Above average

Last 100 pitches75steady

wOBA / xwOBA.309 / .337running 27 points behind his contact

Last 12 games, oldest to newest

Hit9/12

2+ total bases4/12

Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent

Talent gradeAPower type

wOBA.333

Barrel%5.9%

Hard-hit%34.5%

K%16.0%

BB%8.6%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

xwOBA54.319

Avg EV8991.5

Max EV97116.3

Barrel%526.8%

Hard-hit%8546.8%

Sweet-spot%1029.3%

K%8215.9%

BB%397.8%

Whiff%7118.7%

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled

Hits in 3 of 3 settled games; the projections added up to 1.9. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

3 settled games

Games with a hit3 of 3BTB expected 1.9

Games with 2+ TB0 of 3BTB expected 1.1

Games with a HR0 of 3BTB expected 0.3

Talent gradeAwOBA .333 · K% 16.0%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.
Date	Facing	1+ hit	2+ TB	HR	PA	H	TB	HR
Sep 25	Nick Lodolo	69.8%	42.5%	13.1%	not settled
Sep 20	Jacob deGrom	63.0%	35.0%	7.7%	2	1	1	0
Sep 19	Cal Quantrill	67.7%	40.1%	8.8%	4	1	1	0
Sep 18	Kumar Rocker	64.0%	32.1%	8.7%	4	1	1	0