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Will Smith

LAD · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Will Smith · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.364.462.909.554.50315.4%15.4%20.7%86.7105.422.2%44.4%55.6%
Last 15 G1531.308.387.615.416.40719.4%12.9%18.8%89.1105.49.5%47.6%52.4%
Last 30 G1838.273.342.545.372.37715.8%10.5%20.0%89.3105.47.1%46.4%50.0%
90 days1838.273.342.545.372.37715.8%10.5%20.0%89.3105.47.1%46.4%50.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 28 balls in play
Ground 21%Line drive 18%Fly ball 46%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G27.400.5711.000.614.5780.0%28.6%12.5%82.5101.620.0%40.0%40.0%
Last 15 G823.312.522.750.520.4608.7%26.1%10.5%79.8102.914.3%35.7%42.9%
Last 30 G1130.227.433.545.422.42610.0%23.3%12.0%80.7102.910.5%36.8%36.8%
90 days1130.227.433.545.422.42610.0%23.3%12.0%80.7102.910.5%36.8%36.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 19 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 21%Fly ball 37%Pop-up 5%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.375.500.938.575.52910.0%20.0%17.8%85.2105.421.4%42.9%50.0%
Last 15 G1554.310.444.667.460.43014.8%18.5%15.7%85.4105.411.4%42.9%48.6%
Last 30 G1968.255.382.545.394.39913.2%16.2%16.8%85.8105.48.5%42.6%44.7%
90 days1968.255.382.545.394.39913.2%16.2%16.8%85.8105.48.5%42.6%44.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 47 balls in play
Ground 28%Line drive 19%Fly ball 43%Pop-up 11%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23LHPSinker93.492.215.886Single
Sep 23LHPSinker93.474.6-19.042Force out
Sep 22RHPSweeper84.396.637.301Out
Sep 22RHPCurveball83.1101.9301.170Home run
Sep 20RHPSweeper86.078.7-5.080Fielder's choice
Sep 19RHPSlider85.966.629.872Single
Sep 19RHPSlider84.1105.4321.566Home run
Sep 19RHPSweeper83.377.24.195Force out
Sep 19RHPSplitter83.665.9-6.058Out
Sep 19RHPCutter91.3102.010.802Single
Sep 18LHPChangeup84.396.728.399Out
Sep 18LHPChangeup86.147.5-61.204Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23511030
Sep 22414102
Sep 20100000
Sep 19536100
Sep 18514110
Sep 16523011
Sep 14400001
Sep 13512021
Sep 12100000
Sep 11411000
FormNormal
Contact rating98Elite
Last 100 pitches100steady
wOBA / xwOBA.396 / .403results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases7/12
Home run4/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeBContact type
wOBA.377
Barrel%6.2%
Hard-hit%28.9%
K%19.1%
BB%13.5%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Will Smith · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Will Smith · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Cesar Perdomo: 60.1% · 1 HSep 19 vs Yunior Marte: 58.8% · 3 HSep 22 vs Michael King: 60.9% · 1 HSep 23 vs Robbie Ray: 65.5% · 1 HSep 25 vs Yunior Marte: 64.6% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 4 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 2.5. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

4 settled games
Games with a hit4 of 4BTB expected 2.5
Games with 2+ TB3 of 4BTB expected 1.6
Games with a HR3 of 4BTB expected 0.6
Talent gradeBwOBA .377 · K% 19.1%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Yunior Marte64.6%38.3%14.0%not settled
Sep 23Robbie Ray65.5%41.8%19.0%5110
Sep 22Michael King60.9%42.0%16.2%4141
Sep 19Yunior Marte58.8%39.6%13.4%5361
Sep 18Cesar Perdomo60.1%39.3%15.2%5141
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.