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William Contreras

MIL · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
William Contreras · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G24.333.500.333.400.5120.0%25.0%33.3%80.9104.60.0%33.3%66.7%
Last 15 G820.188.300.438.313.32215.0%15.0%22.6%92.3105.87.1%50.0%35.7%
Last 30 G1850.341.380.477.389.28612.0%8.0%16.1%90.1108.42.5%47.5%30.0%
90 days4090.241.311.367.331.26614.4%8.9%20.5%88.0112.84.4%35.3%25.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 68 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 21%Fly ball 15%Pop-up 19%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.231.267.462.360.21126.7%6.7%24.0%78.0106.90.0%10.0%20.0%
Last 15 G1548.286.354.619.445.34922.9%10.4%26.3%90.7111.79.4%46.9%43.8%
Last 30 G2888.307.386.600.435.36620.5%12.5%21.7%91.4111.711.9%44.1%44.1%
90 days66214.229.308.410.322.32917.3%9.8%20.1%90.6111.79.7%45.5%35.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 154 balls in play
Ground 41%Line drive 21%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G519.250.316.438.368.27421.1%10.5%25.8%78.6106.90.0%15.4%30.8%
Last 15 G1568.259.338.569.407.34220.6%11.8%25.2%91.2111.78.7%47.8%41.3%
Last 30 G30138.319.384.555.418.33717.4%10.9%19.7%90.9111.78.1%45.5%38.4%
90 days70304.232.309.397.324.31116.4%9.5%20.2%89.8112.88.1%42.3%32.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 222 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 21%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 13%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSweeper82.781.0-5.143Out
Sep 24RHPSweeper83.572.841.307Out
Sep 23RHPChangeup82.686.50.168Out
Sep 23RHPCurveball79.178.13.157Single
Sep 23RHPFastball96.576.5-9.050Error
Sep 22RHPSinker94.683.312.483Single
Sep 22RHPSweeper82.181.125.273Sac fly
Sep 20RHPSlider85.864.5-26.042Double play
Sep 20RHPSinker92.6106.943.733Home run
Sep 19LHPChangeup86.992.78.512Single
Sep 19LHPFastball94.6104.616.641Out
Sep 19RHPSinker98.049.1-22.109Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24300010
Sep 23411001
Sep 22411002
Sep 20414111
Sep 19411000
Sep 18512011
Sep 16511001
Sep 15512000
Sep 12514120
Sep 11625100
FormNormal
Contact rating66Above average
Last 100 pitches67steady
wOBA / xwOBA.322 / .332results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit11/12
2+ total bases6/12
Home run4/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeBPower type
wOBA.334
Barrel%5.6%
Hard-hit%31.2%
K%16.6%
BB%9.9%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

William Contreras · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

William Contreras · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Cade Povich: 60.3% · 1 HSep 19 vs Trevor Rogers: 59.6% · 1 HSep 20 vs Brandon Young: 59.5% · 1 HSep 22 vs Zack Wheeler: 56.4% · 1 HSep 23 vs Aaron Nola: 64.1% · 1 HSep 24 vs Andrew Painter: 60.9% · no hitSep 25 vs Michael McGreevy: 65.2% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 5 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.6. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit5 of 6BTB expected 3.6
Games with 2+ TB2 of 6BTB expected 2.2
Games with a HR1 of 6BTB expected 0.8
Talent gradeBwOBA .334 · K% 16.6%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Michael McGreevy65.2%38.4%12.2%not settled
Sep 24Andrew Painter60.9%31.3%12.6%3000
Sep 23Aaron Nola64.1%36.5%13.2%4110
Sep 22Zack Wheeler56.4%32.2%11.4%4110
Sep 20Brandon Young59.5%38.8%11.4%4141
Sep 19Trevor Rogers59.6%39.3%12.0%4110
Sep 18Cade Povich60.3%38.3%14.5%5120
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.