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Wilyer Abreu
BOS · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.
Statcast
by window and pitcher handWilyer Abreu · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 4 | 13 | .231 | .231 | .308 | .235 | .270 | 15.4% | 0.0% | 4.5% | 85.9 | 105.0 | 9.1% | 36.4% | 27.3% |
| Last 15 G | 12 | 29 | .250 | .276 | .321 | .266 | .380 | 10.3% | 3.4% | 10.5% | 89.0 | 106.6 | 12.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% |
| Last 30 G | 24 | 48 | .261 | .292 | .413 | .325 | .315 | 16.7% | 4.2% | 16.2% | 88.4 | 108.5 | 10.5% | 42.1% | 36.8% |
| 90 days | 53 | 111 | .229 | .333 | .438 | .346 | .346 | 18.0% | 11.7% | 18.8% | 88.0 | 108.5 | 10.5% | 38.2% | 38.2% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 76 balls in play
Ground 32%Line drive 22%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 18%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 4 | 8 | .000 | .250 | .000 | .175 | .175 | 75.0% | 25.0% | 50.0% | – | – | – | – | – |
| Last 15 G | 13 | 33 | .143 | .273 | .286 | .259 | .333 | 33.3% | 15.2% | 24.3% | 90.3 | 108.1 | 17.6% | 41.2% | 41.2% |
| Last 30 G | 28 | 81 | .203 | .312 | .362 | .307 | .313 | 29.6% | 12.3% | 24.0% | 90.8 | 109.9 | 11.1% | 40.0% | 40.0% |
| 90 days | 73 | 221 | .228 | .318 | .466 | .346 | .364 | 24.4% | 11.8% | 25.0% | 90.8 | 111.0 | 13.7% | 50.4% | 40.3% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 139 balls in play
Ground 36%Line drive 19%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 12%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 21 | .158 | .238 | .211 | .212 | .234 | 38.1% | 9.5% | 23.7% | 85.9 | 105.0 | 9.1% | 36.4% | 27.3% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 62 | .196 | .274 | .304 | .262 | .355 | 22.6% | 9.7% | 18.1% | 89.5 | 108.1 | 14.3% | 40.5% | 40.5% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 129 | .226 | .305 | .383 | .314 | .314 | 24.8% | 9.3% | 20.9% | 89.7 | 109.9 | 10.8% | 41.0% | 38.6% |
| 90 days | 76 | 332 | .228 | .323 | .456 | .346 | .358 | 22.3% | 11.7% | 22.9% | 89.8 | 111.0 | 12.6% | 46.0% | 39.5% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 215 balls in play
Ground 34%Line drive 20%Fly ball 31%Pop-up 14%
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | LHP | Curveball | 79.5 | 93.0 | -13 | .151 | Out |
| Sep 24 | LHP | Cutter | 88.3 | 95.5 | 48 | .014 | Out |
| Sep 24 | LHP | Cutter | 88.3 | 81.9 | 62 | .016 | Out |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Sinker | 92.1 | 41.2 | -27 | .280 | Out |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Slider | 87.1 | 91.6 | 12 | .780 | Single |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Sweeper | 82.1 | 81.1 | 14 | .751 | Single |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Fastball | 93.4 | 88.3 | 39 | .005 | Out |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Sinker | 93.5 | 97.2 | -21 | .108 | Force out |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Fastball | 94.4 | 99.5 | 27 | .871 | Double |
| Sep 18 | LHP | Fastball | 89.6 | 70.9 | 77 | .003 | Out |
| Sep 18 | LHP | Changeup | 85.4 | 105.0 | 4 | .529 | Out |
| Sep 17 | LHP | Slider | 80.6 | 89.4 | 13 | .876 | Single |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 23 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 22 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Sep 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sep 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sep 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
FormNormal
Contact rating90Top tier
Last 100 pitches16trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.345 / .365running 20 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run1/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Talent
Talent gradeBPower type
wOBA.343
Barrel%7.9%
Hard-hit%29.6%
K%22.5%
BB%11.4%
A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.
xwOBA90.358
Avg EV7389.8
Max EV71111.0
Barrel%8912.6%
Hard-hit%8246.0%
Sweet-spot%8339.5%
K%5022.3%
BB%8411.7%
Whiff%4922.9%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
Hits in 2 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.8. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.
Predicted vs what happened
5 settled gamesGames with a hit2 of 5BTB expected 2.8
Games with 2+ TB2 of 5BTB expected 1.8
Games with a HR0 of 5BTB expected 0.7
Talent gradeBwOBA .343 · K% 22.5%
One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.
| Date | Facing | 1+ hit | 2+ TB | HR | PA | H | TB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | David Peterson | 60.3% | 36.7% | 12.1% | not settled | |||
| Sep 24 | Daniel Espino | 56.5% | 32.2% | 13.9% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 23 | Foster Griffin | 59.9% | 35.3% | 12.1% | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Sep 22 | Parker Messick | 54.6% | 36.0% | 12.2% | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | Freddy Peralta | 54.7% | 41.1% | 16.6% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | Ian Seymour | 54.9% | 36.2% | 16.3% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |