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Yainer Diaz

HOU · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Yainer Diaz · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.222.222.500.300.42516.7%0.0%22.2%88.9105.813.3%46.7%53.3%
Last 15 G1543.300.349.500.367.33518.6%4.7%20.8%89.7105.89.4%40.6%40.6%
Last 30 G3084.312.345.512.381.30917.9%3.6%21.2%91.2107.64.6%44.6%30.8%
90 days56162.290.321.497.366.34214.2%3.1%18.1%89.7110.36.1%44.3%32.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 131 balls in play
Ground 54%Line drive 22%Fly ball 15%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G24.750.7501.7501.038.5860.0%0.0%37.5%95.0108.025.0%50.0%50.0%
Last 15 G614.500.500.857.579.3940.0%0.0%16.7%97.0109.114.3%57.1%21.4%
Last 30 G1324.435.458.826.540.37412.5%0.0%21.4%95.0109.120.0%55.0%30.0%
90 days3054.314.352.510.372.27722.2%3.7%22.9%91.2109.110.3%43.6%30.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 39 balls in play
Ground 49%Line drive 23%Fly ball 15%Pop-up 13%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G522.318.318.727.434.45413.6%0.0%25.7%90.2108.015.8%47.4%52.6%
Last 15 G1557.352.386.593.419.35014.0%3.5%19.8%91.9109.110.9%45.7%34.8%
Last 30 G30108.340.370.583.416.32316.7%2.8%21.2%92.1109.18.2%47.1%30.6%
90 days58216.296.329.500.367.32616.2%3.2%19.4%90.1110.37.1%44.1%31.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 170 balls in play
Ground 53%Line drive 22%Fly ball 15%Pop-up 9%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball93.376.964.008Out
Sep 24RHPSinker97.984.912.581Out
Sep 23RHPSweeper86.6105.814.740Out
Sep 23RHPSplitter86.899.531.717Home run
Sep 23RHPSplitter88.370.54.130Out
Sep 23RHPSinker89.9101.617.459Triple
Sep 23RHPSlider90.067.439.499Out
Sep 22RHPFastball96.889.511.606Single
Sep 22RHPSweeper79.8100.614.811Single
Sep 22RHPCutter92.594.32.431Force out
Sep 22RHPSweeper83.9103.8261.605Out
Sep 20LHPChangeup81.282.5-13.086Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24400002
Sep 23527100
Sep 22522001
Sep 20425100
Sep 19412000
Sep 18100001
Sep 17411000
Sep 16425100
Sep 15300000
Sep 13400012
FormNormal
Contact rating77Above average
Last 100 pitches99trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.370 / .344running 27 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases7/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeBPower type
wOBA.345
Barrel%6.2%
Hard-hit%33.9%
K%16.5%
BB%3.6%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Yainer Diaz · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Yainer Diaz · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 19 vs Grant Holmes: 63.5% · 1 HSep 20 vs Martín Pérez: 63.4% · 2 HSep 22 vs Logan Gilbert: 60.8% · 2 HSep 23 vs George Kirby: 67.7% · 2 HSep 24 vs Mason Barnett: 65.6% · no hitSep 25 vs Jacob Lopez: 71.2% · not settledSep 19Sep 25

Hits in 4 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 3.2. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit4 of 5BTB expected 3.2
Games with 2+ TB4 of 5BTB expected 2.1
Games with a HR2 of 5BTB expected 0.7
Talent gradeBwOBA .345 · K% 16.5%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Jacob Lopez71.2%47.1%17.4%not settled
Sep 24Mason Barnett65.6%39.3%15.7%4000
Sep 23George Kirby67.7%40.7%13.4%5271
Sep 22Logan Gilbert60.8%37.9%12.5%5220
Sep 20Martín Pérez63.4%45.7%13.7%4251
Sep 19Grant Holmes63.5%45.7%13.5%4120
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.