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Yordan Alvarez
HOU · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.
Statcast
by window and pitcher handYordan Alvarez · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 17 | .429 | .529 | .714 | .541 | .458 | 5.9% | 17.6% | 9.4% | 97.4 | 109.5 | 7.7% | 69.2% | 23.1% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 46 | .306 | .457 | .639 | .469 | .426 | 17.4% | 21.7% | 19.5% | 92.9 | 110.7 | 17.9% | 57.1% | 32.1% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 93 | .309 | .484 | .574 | .468 | .438 | 18.3% | 22.6% | 15.3% | 93.4 | 113.4 | 11.5% | 55.8% | 38.5% |
| 90 days | 70 | 236 | .346 | .483 | .654 | .496 | .462 | 17.4% | 19.1% | 16.7% | 95.2 | 118.5 | 15.2% | 58.6% | 37.2% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 145 balls in play
Ground 34%Line drive 24%Fly ball 31%Pop-up 11%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 4 | 6 | .333 | .333 | .333 | .300 | .478 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 93.0 | 107.5 | 16.7% | 66.7% | 16.7% |
| Last 15 G | 11 | 19 | .278 | .316 | .500 | .353 | .332 | 10.5% | 5.3% | 13.9% | 93.9 | 109.9 | 6.2% | 62.5% | 25.0% |
| Last 30 G | 19 | 34 | .303 | .324 | .515 | .361 | .326 | 11.8% | 2.9% | 13.8% | 93.5 | 109.9 | 6.9% | 55.2% | 27.6% |
| 90 days | 44 | 81 | .239 | .309 | .380 | .314 | .339 | 16.0% | 9.9% | 19.3% | 92.0 | 109.9 | 8.3% | 45.0% | 33.3% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 60 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 18%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 7%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 23 | .400 | .478 | .600 | .475 | .464 | 4.3% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 96.0 | 109.5 | 10.5% | 68.4% | 21.1% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 65 | .296 | .415 | .593 | .435 | .399 | 15.4% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 93.3 | 110.7 | 13.6% | 59.1% | 29.5% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 127 | .307 | .441 | .554 | .438 | .407 | 16.5% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 93.4 | 113.4 | 9.9% | 55.6% | 34.6% |
| 90 days | 72 | 317 | .316 | .438 | .578 | .449 | .430 | 17.0% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 94.2 | 118.5 | 13.2% | 54.6% | 36.1% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 205 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 22%Fly ball 31%Pop-up 10%
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | RHP | Sweeper | 84.5 | 98.3 | 18 | .408 | Out |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 99.3 | 84.7 | 65 | .012 | Out |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Cutter | 92.7 | 104.6 | 16 | .641 | Single |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Fastball | 97.1 | 107.3 | 7 | .585 | Double |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Sweeper | 86.3 | 97.6 | 55 | .008 | Out |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Sinker | 96.3 | 100.0 | -17 | .161 | Single |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Sweeper | 90.3 | 77.6 | 33 | .085 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Fastball | 97.0 | 83.4 | 4 | .221 | Force out |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Changeup | 90.1 | 107.5 | 20 | 1.249 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Slider | 87.9 | 101.9 | -3 | .346 | Single |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Slider | 87.2 | 109.5 | 25 | 2.007 | Home run |
| Sep 20 | LHP | Changeup | 80.7 | 70.3 | 35 | .652 | Single |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 23 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 22 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Sep 17 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 16 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 15 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Sep 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
FormHot
Contact rating99Elite
Last 100 pitches100steady
wOBA / xwOBA.438 / .432results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit10/12
2+ total bases8/12
Home run3/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Talent
Talent gradeAPower type
wOBA.418
Barrel%8.5%
Hard-hit%35.0%
K%17.3%
BB%16.0%
A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.
xwOBA99.430
Avg EV9994.2
Max EV99118.5
Barrel%9313.2%
Hard-hit%9854.6%
Sweet-spot%5636.1%
K%7717.0%
BB%9816.7%
Whiff%7817.4%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
Hits in 6 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.9. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.
Predicted vs what happened
6 settled gamesGames with a hit6 of 6BTB expected 3.9
Games with 2+ TB4 of 6BTB expected 2.7
Games with a HR1 of 6BTB expected 1.1
Talent gradeAwOBA .418 · K% 17.3%
One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.
| Date | Facing | 1+ hit | 2+ TB | HR | PA | H | TB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | Jacob Lopez | 68.5% | 46.7% | 19.5% | not settled | |||
| Sep 24 | Mason Barnett | 64.4% | 40.0% | 21.6% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 23 | George Kirby | 68.6% | 45.3% | 21.2% | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Sep 22 | Logan Gilbert | 62.5% | 43.3% | 18.0% | 5 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Sep 20 | Martín Pérez | 62.0% | 43.6% | 14.1% | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | Grant Holmes | 66.1% | 51.9% | 20.0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | Tyler Mahle | 64.8% | 45.4% | 17.9% | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 |