First inning (NRFI/YRFI)

Research only by policy. The backtest has 0 of 500 graded predictions and 0 of 60 dates.

Research only: Tier 3 by policy. Published for context, never as a basis for a bet, until a deliberate product change promotes it. Tier 3: Research only until proven.

The backtest

No graded backtest for this market yet.

The live test · engine v14

0 of 200 settled results · 0 of 7 dates

Only predictions frozen before first pitch, under the engine now serving, count. The count restarts with every engine version, which is why nothing is Validated yet.

Against the book's closing price

Not measured for this market yet: there is no clean pre-game price sample to compare against.