First inning (NRFI/YRFI)

Research only by policy. The backtest has 0 of 500 graded predictions and 0 of 60 dates.

Research only: Tier 3 by policy. Published for context, never as a basis for a decision, until a deliberate product change promotes it. Tier 3: Research only until proven.

The backtest

No graded backtest for this market yet.

The live test · engine v14

81 settled games · 26 dates

Counted from the ledgers at this build: predictions frozen before first pitch, under the engine now serving, with the game final and the result in. A game with no logged prediction or result for this market is left out. The count restarts with every engine version. This market is research only by policy, so the count changes no status.

Against the book's closing price

Not measured for this market yet: there is no clean pre-game price sample to compare against.