MLBengine v14
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Andrew Painter

PHI · Starting pitcher · 2 starts projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Predicted vs what happened

Strikeouts15BTB expected 10.5 over 2 starts
BTB's side at the line2 of 2over or under the book's line

A few starts say little about the model; the market-level record is on the record.

Andrew Painter · projection vs strikeouts, every startProjectedOver the lineUnderBook line
0369Sep 19 vs NYM: projected 5.2, line 4.5Sep 19: 7 strikeouts19Sep 24 vs MIL: projected 5.3, line 4.5Sep 24: 8 strikeouts24

15 strikeouts in 2 settled starts against 10.5 projected. A few starts say little about the model on their own.

DateOpponentProjected KBook lineBTB overBook overStrikeouts
Sep 24MIL5.34.563.8%58.3%8
Sep 19NYM5.24.558.2%48.3%7
Projection as served and frozen before first pitch; book probability de-vigged at the open.