Brandon Young

BAL · Starting pitcher · 1 starts projected since Sep 20, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Next start · Sep 25 · 3:10 PM CT

Brandon YoungRHP · BAL vs NYY

5.6projected strikeouts · likely 3 to 9 · 23.9 batters over 5.7 innings

Over 5.5: 49% (red bars) · under: 51%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.

K%21.4%

BB%9.0%

Whiff%11.9%

Velo88.9

BTB Stuff96

Location106

PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff

Fastball41%10494.510.0%

Splitter18%9983.818.9%

Slider16%8685.219.4%

Sinker14%8194.13.1%

Curveball12%9275.48.5%

Last 3 startsTrending Up

Date	Pitches	K%	Whiff%	Hard-hit%	wOBA
Sep 20	84	41%	17%	18%	.281
Sep 14	106	25%	10%	25%	.379
Sep 8	86	9%	8%	18%	.555

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

The gameBAL @ NYY →Yankee Stadium

The arsenal by shape

how each pitch moves

Movement in inches, from the pitch-level data. Hitter matchup pages read each hitter against pitches shaped like these.
Pitch	Family	Usage	Velo	Horizontal break	Induced vertical break
Fastball	Hard	41%	94.6	+6.0″	+17.5″
Splitter	Offspeed	18%	83.9	+8.3″	+1.2″
Slider	Breaking	16%	85.2	-2.2″	+4.1″
Sinker	Hard	14%	94.2	+14.8″	+10.9″
Curveball	Breaking	12%	75.5	-13.3″	-15.2″

The lineup he faces

Brandon Young BAL · RHPvsNYY lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

4 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

1Ben Rice23%

2Cody Bellinger22%

3Heliot Ramos29%

4Luis García Jr.21%

5Spencer Jones35%

6Jazz Chisholm Jr.29%

7Anthony Volpe25%

8Austin Wells24%

9Ryan McMahon27%

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

Two strikes

how he finishes hitters

Brandon Young BAL · RHPwith two strikes

Usage, overall to two strikesOverall Two strikes

Fastball+2 pts

Splitter+4 pts

Slider+5 pts

Sinker-6 pts

Curveball-5 pts

Brandon Young with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
Pitch	Overall	2 strikes	Whiff%	Put-away	League put-away
Fastball	41%	43%	14.6%	12.0%	18.0%
Splitter	18%	22%	39.6%	19.4%	19.0%
Slider	16%	21%	37.0%	25.8%	21.1%
Sinker	14%	8%	4.3%	11.8%	17.0%
Curveball	12%	7%	50.0%	25.0%	20.0%

Predicted vs what happened

Strikeouts9BTB expected 4.8 over 1 starts

BTB's side at the line1 of 1over or under the book's line

A few starts say little about the model; the market-level record is on the record.

Projection as served and frozen before first pitch; book probability de-vigged at the open.
Date	Opponent	Projected K	Book line	BTB over	Book over	Strikeouts
Sep 20	MIL	4.8	4.5	52.6%	44.6%	9