Bryce Miller

SEA · Starting pitcher · 2 starts projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Next start · Sep 25 · 9:10 PM CT

Bryce MillerRHP · SEA vs LAA

5.5projected strikeouts · likely 3 to 9 · 22.9 batters over 5.5 innings

Over 6.5: 32% (red bars) · under: 68%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.

K%19.6%

BB%10.5%

Whiff%10.2%

Velo90.2

BTB Stuff106

Location101

PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff

Fastball37%11795.68.9%

Splitter25%9784.216.1%

Sinker11%9895.10.0%

Slider10%9886.811.8%

Sweeper8%10283.47.4%

Cutter6%11891.414.9%

Curveball3%9383.08.6%

Other0%–92.00.0%

Last 3 startsTrending Up

Date	Pitches	K%	Whiff%	Hard-hit%	wOBA
Sep 19	89	27%	8%	9%	.250
Sep 13	92	23%	14%	14%	.373
Sep 8	84	33%	11%	22%	.378

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

The gameLAA @ SEA →T-Mobile Park

The arsenal by shape

how each pitch moves

Movement in inches, from the pitch-level data. Hitter matchup pages read each hitter against pitches shaped like these.
Pitch	Family	Usage	Velo	Horizontal break	Induced vertical break
Fastball	Hard	37%	95.7	+4.0″	+18.8″
Splitter	Offspeed	25%	84.2	+9.0″	+4.8″
Sinker	Hard	11%	95.0	+13.4″	+13.7″
Slider	Breaking	10%	86.9	-4.4″	+0.7″
Sweeper	Breaking	8%	83.5	-15.2″	-7.3″
Cutter	Hard	6%	91.1	-4.0″	+10.1″
Curveball	Breaking	3%	82.9	-3.2″	-13.0″

The lineup he faces

Bryce Miller SEA · RHPvsLAA lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

7 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

1Zach Neto31%

2Mike Trout29%

3Wade Meckler20%

4Vaughn Grissom23%

5Moisés Ballesteros27%

6Josh Lowe28%

7Christian Moore34%

8Travis d'Arnaud29%

9Bryce Teodosio27%

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

Two strikes

how he finishes hitters

Bryce Miller SEA · RHPwith two strikes

Usage, overall to two strikesOverall Two strikes

Splitter+12 pts

Fastball-1 pts

Sweeper+6 pts

Curveball+2 pts

Sinker-7 pts

Slider-7 pts

Cutter-4 pts

Bryce Miller with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
Pitch	Overall	2 strikes	Whiff%	Put-away	League put-away
Splitter	25%	37%	23.4%	17.2%	19.0%
Fastball	37%	35%	16.5%	19.5%	18.0%
Sweeper	8%	14%	15.4%	8.2%	19.3%
Curveball	3%	5%	16.7%	11.8%	20.0%
Sinker	11%	4%	0.0%	14.3%	17.0%
Slider	10%	3%	33.3%	36.4%	21.1%
Cutter	6%	2%	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%

Predicted vs what happened

Strikeouts6BTB expected 5.0 over 1 starts

BTB's side at the line1 of 1over or under the book's line

A few starts say little about the model; the market-level record is on the record.

Projection as served and frozen before first pitch; book probability de-vigged at the open.
Date	Opponent	Projected K	Book line	BTB over	Book over	Strikeouts
Sep 25	LAA	5.8	6.5	36.4%	44.6%	not settled
Sep 19	COL	5.0	4.5	55.5%	43.7%	6