Bubba Chandler

PIT · Starting pitcher · 2 starts projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Next start · Sep 25 · 5:40 PM CT

Bubba ChandlerRHP · PIT vs DET

5.0projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 8 · 22.3 batters over 5.2 innings

Over 4.5: 55% (red bars) · under: 45%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.

K%21.2%

BB%9.8%

Whiff%8.0%

Velo95.1

BTB Stuff105

Location101

PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff

Fastball47%11098.29.6%

Slider25%10892.28.1%

Changeup11%8790.97.0%

Sinker10%9897.52.4%

Curveball6%9587.36.3%

Sweeper1%10387.90.0%

Last 3 startsTrending Down

Date	Pitches	K%	Whiff%	Hard-hit%	wOBA
Sep 19	90	29%	10%	29%	.462
Sep 13	90	13%	3%	30%	.380
Sep 8	95	38%	15%	29%	.240

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

The gamePIT @ DET →Comerica Park

The arsenal by shape

how each pitch moves

Movement in inches, from the pitch-level data. Hitter matchup pages read each hitter against pitches shaped like these.
Pitch	Family	Usage	Velo	Horizontal break	Induced vertical break
Fastball	Hard	47%	98.2	+10.2″	+16.6″
Slider	Breaking	25%	92.0	-0.8″	+5.3″
Changeup	Offspeed	11%	91.1	+16.3″	+6.2″
Sinker	Hard	10%	97.6	+14.9″	+11.6″
Curveball	Breaking	6%	87.3	-1.3″	-1.9″

The lineup he faces

Bubba Chandler PIT · RHPvsDET lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

1Max Clark21%

2Hao-Yu Lee21%

3Kevin McGonigle13%

4Eduardo Valencia16%

5Riley Greene27%

6Dillon Dingler22%

7Brett Callahan33%

8Spencer Torkelson29%

9John Peck21%

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

Two strikes

how he finishes hitters

Bubba Chandler PIT · RHPwith two strikes

Usage, overall to two strikesOverall Two strikes

Fastball+0 pts

Slider+3 pts

Changeup+1 pts

Curveball+0 pts

Sinker-5 pts

Sweeper+0 pts

Bubba Chandler with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
Pitch	Overall	2 strikes	Whiff%	Put-away	League put-away
Fastball	47%	48%	19.5%	18.1%	18.0%
Slider	25%	28%	18.3%	13.8%	21.1%
Changeup	11%	13%	16.7%	14.0%	18.6%
Curveball	6%	6%	23.1%	16.0%	20.0%
Sinker	10%	5%	11.1%	26.3%	17.0%
Sweeper	1%	1%	–	0.0%	19.3%

Predicted vs what happened

Strikeouts6BTB expected 4.4 over 1 starts

BTB's side at the line0 of 1over or under the book's line

A few starts say little about the model; the market-level record is on the record.

Projection as served and frozen before first pitch; book probability de-vigged at the open.
Date	Opponent	Projected K	Book line	BTB over	Book over	Strikeouts
Sep 25	DET	5.5	4.5	66.9%	53.3%	not settled
Sep 19	KC	4.4	4.5	45.4%	42.9%	6