Davis Martin

CWS · Starting pitcher · 1 starts projected since Sep 20, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Next start · Sep 26 · 6:10 PM CT

Davis MartinRHP · CWS vs COL

2.9projected strikeouts · likely 1 to 5 · 19.4 batters over 4.6 innings

Over 2.5: 56% (red bars) · under: 44%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.

K%13.4%

BB%9.1%

Whiff%7.0%

Velo89.6

BTB Stuff93

Location96

PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff

Fastball27%8593.46.9%

Sinker20%8092.60.0%

Curveball17%9781.312.5%

Changeup14%10389.64.5%

Cutter12%11089.89.0%

Slider10%9886.610.7%

Last 3 startsTrending Up

Date	Pitches	K%	Whiff%	Hard-hit%	wOBA
Sep 20	70	33%	16%	22%	.267
Sep 15	71	0%	1%	45%	.270
Sep 9	68	5%	6%	47%	.321

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

The gameCOL @ CWS →Rate Field

The arsenal by shape

how each pitch moves

Movement in inches, from the pitch-level data. Hitter matchup pages read each hitter against pitches shaped like these.
Pitch	Family	Usage	Velo	Horizontal break	Induced vertical break
Fastball	Hard	27%	93.4	+5.2″	+13.2″
Sinker	Hard	20%	92.6	+13.9″	+7.4″
Curveball	Breaking	17%	81.3	-14.2″	-9.0″
Changeup	Offspeed	14%	89.6	+12.3″	+0.7″
Cutter	Hard	12%	89.8	-0.8″	+6.6″
Slider	Breaking	10%	86.7	-5.0″	+0.8″

The lineup he faces

Davis Martin CWS · RHPvsCOL lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

1Jake McCarthy15%

2Connor Norby28%

3Hunter Goodman27%

4TJ Rumfield14%

5Cole Carrigg23%

6Kyle Karros21%

7Brett Sullivan18%

8Jordan Beck28%

9Ezequiel Tovar19%

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

Two strikes

how he finishes hitters

Davis Martin CWS · RHPwith two strikes

Usage, overall to two strikesOverall Two strikes

Fastball+2 pts

Curveball+3 pts

Slider+7 pts

Sinker-4 pts

Changeup-4 pts

Cutter-3 pts

Davis Martin with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
Pitch	Overall	2 strikes	Whiff%	Put-away	League put-away
Fastball	27%	29%	16.7%	12.2%	18.0%
Curveball	17%	19%	32.0%	30.6%	20.1%
Slider	10%	17%	11.1%	9.3%	21.0%
Sinker	20%	16%	0.0%	2.4%	16.9%
Changeup	14%	10%	0.0%	4.0%	18.6%
Cutter	12%	8%	7.1%	4.8%	17.9%

Predicted vs what happened

Strikeouts6BTB expected 3.0 over 1 starts

BTB's side at the line0 of 1over or under the book's line

A few starts say little about the model; the market-level record is on the record.

Projection as served and frozen before first pitch; book probability de-vigged at the open.
Date	Opponent	Projected K	Book line	BTB over	Book over	Strikeouts
Sep 20	DET	3.0	3.5	35.1%	49.0%	6