Eury Pérez

MIA · Starting pitcher · 2 starts projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Next start · Sep 25 · 6:10 PM CT

Eury PérezRHP · MIA vs ATL

5.6projected strikeouts · likely 3 to 9 · 23.7 batters over 5.6 innings

Over 5.5: 48% (red bars) · under: 52%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.

K%25.4%

BB%11.1%

Whiff%13.8%

Velo92.9

BTB Stuff111

Location97

PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff

Fastball29%14598.211.6%

Sinker26%10097.76.6%

Slider19%9888.921.8%

Sweeper12%11183.921.9%

Changeup7%6390.118.8%

Curveball6%9180.78.8%

Other0%––0.0%

Last 3 startsTrending Down

Date	Pitches	K%	Whiff%	Hard-hit%	wOBA
Sep 19	97	15%	10%	31%	.469
Sep 13	96	24%	9%	24%	.340
Sep 7	92	20%	12%	28%	.522

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

The gameATL @ MIA →loanDepot park

The arsenal by shape

how each pitch moves

Movement in inches, from the pitch-level data. Hitter matchup pages read each hitter against pitches shaped like these.
Pitch	Family	Usage	Velo	Horizontal break	Induced vertical break
Fastball	Hard	29%	98.3	+11.8″	+18.2″
Sinker	Hard	26%	97.7	+15.5″	+13.8″
Slider	Breaking	19%	89.0	+0.1″	+5.3″
Sweeper	Breaking	12%	83.9	-7.0″	+11.0″
Changeup	Offspeed	7%	90.2	+14.3″	+10.2″
Curveball	Breaking	7%	80.7	-8.6″	-6.7″

The lineup he faces

Eury Pérez MIA · RHPvsATL lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

1Drake Baldwin19%

2Ronald Acuña Jr.23%

3Matt Olson24%

4Michael Harris II20%

5Mauricio Dubón11%

6Ozzie Albies21%

7Mike Yastrzemski24%

8Austin Riley34%

9Sean Murphy27%

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

Two strikes

how he finishes hitters

Eury Pérez MIA · RHPwith two strikes

Usage, overall to two strikesOverall Two strikes

Fastball+7 pts

Sinker-8 pts

Slider-3 pts

Sweeper+2 pts

Changeup+3 pts

Curveball-1 pts

Other+1 pts

Eury Pérez with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
Pitch	Overall	2 strikes	Whiff%	Put-away	League put-away
Fastball	29%	36%	20.0%	19.3%	18.0%
Sinker	26%	19%	13.6%	13.3%	17.0%
Slider	19%	16%	34.3%	21.4%	21.1%
Sweeper	12%	14%	50.0%	22.6%	19.3%
Changeup	7%	10%	40.7%	25.0%	18.6%
Curveball	7%	5%	27.8%	29.2%	20.0%
Other	0%	1%	–	0.0%	21.7%

Predicted vs what happened

Strikeouts4BTB expected 5.6 over 1 starts

BTB's side at the line1 of 1over or under the book's line

A few starts say little about the model; the market-level record is on the record.

Projection as served and frozen before first pitch; book probability de-vigged at the open.
Date	Opponent	Projected K	Book line	BTB over	Book over	Strikeouts
Sep 25	ATL	6.0	5.5	57.3%	42.5%	not settled
Sep 19	SD	5.6	5.5	49.2%	43.9%	4