Jackson Jobe

DET · Starting pitcher · 2 starts projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Next start · Sep 25 · 5:40 PM CT

Jackson JobeRHP · DET vs PIT

5.3projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 8 · 21.8 batters over 5.1 innings

Over 5.5: 44% (red bars) · under: 56%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.

K%24.9%

BB%8.1%

Whiff%9.6%

Velo92.5

BTB Stuff106

Location99

PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff

Fastball32%11497.66.8%

Slider25%11589.712.9%

Sinker18%9495.95.6%

Curveball13%9784.712.6%

Changeup10%8586.312.9%

Cutter2%11793.716.7%

Last 3 startsTrending Up

Date	Pitches	K%	Whiff%	Hard-hit%	wOBA
Sep 19	96	38%	15%	21%	.277
Sep 13	87	33%	16%	13%	.226
Sep 6	93	33%	8%	10%	.340

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

The gamePIT @ DET →Comerica Park

The arsenal by shape

how each pitch moves

Movement in inches, from the pitch-level data. Hitter matchup pages read each hitter against pitches shaped like these.
Pitch	Family	Usage	Velo	Horizontal break	Induced vertical break
Fastball	Hard	32%	97.6	+7.1″	+16.4″
Slider	Breaking	25%	89.6	-6.0″	+1.4″
Sinker	Hard	18%	95.9	+14.6″	+6.9″
Curveball	Breaking	13%	85.4	-5.5″	-10.8″
Changeup	Offspeed	10%	86.3	+15.4″	+6.7″

The lineup he faces

Jackson Jobe DET · RHPvsPIT lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

1Konnor Griffin24%

2Brandon Lowe28%

3Bryan Reynolds25%

4Oneil Cruz28%

5Nick Gonzales17%

6Ryan O'Hearn20%

7Rafael Flores Jr.28%

8Spencer Horwitz20%

9Jake Mangum20%

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

Two strikes

how he finishes hitters

Jackson Jobe DET · RHPwith two strikes

Usage, overall to two strikesOverall Two strikes

Fastball-2 pts

Curveball+11 pts

Slider-5 pts

Changeup+6 pts

Sinker-11 pts

Cutter-0 pts

Jackson Jobe with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
Pitch	Overall	2 strikes	Whiff%	Put-away	League put-away
Fastball	32%	31%	16.7%	20.0%	18.0%
Curveball	13%	24%	30.8%	27.7%	20.0%
Slider	25%	20%	25.0%	22.5%	21.1%
Changeup	10%	16%	26.3%	15.6%	18.6%
Sinker	18%	8%	0.0%	20.0%	17.0%
Cutter	2%	2%	33.3%	33.3%	17.9%

Predicted vs what happened

Strikeouts9BTB expected 5.4 over 1 starts

BTB's side at the line1 of 1over or under the book's line

A few starts say little about the model; the market-level record is on the record.

Projection as served and frozen before first pitch; book probability de-vigged at the open.
Date	Opponent	Projected K	Book line	BTB over	Book over	Strikeouts
Sep 25	PIT	5.5	5.5	48.0%	43.7%	not settled
Sep 19	CWS	5.4	4.5	62.1%	49.0%	9