Jose Quintana

COL · Starting pitcher · 1 starts projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Next start · Sep 26 · 6:10 PM CT

Jose QuintanaLHP · COL vs CWS

3.1projected strikeouts · likely 1 to 5 · 16.8 batters over 3.9 innings

Over 3.5: 38% (red bars) · under: 62%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.

K%11.1%

BB%5.6%

Whiff%7.1%

Velo84.5

BTB Stuff83

Location100

PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff

Fastball26%7789.15.6%

Sinker26%8888.80.0%

Curveball19%7778.47.7%

Sweeper19%9278.923.1%

Changeup11%8183.60.0%

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

The gameCOL @ CWS →Rate Field

The arsenal by shape

how each pitch moves

Movement in inches, from the pitch-level data. Hitter matchup pages read each hitter against pitches shaped like these.
Pitch	Family	Usage	Velo	Horizontal break	Induced vertical break
Fastball	Hard	26%	88.4	+3.7″	+13.0″
Sinker	Hard	26%	88.8	+10.6″	+10.0″

The lineup he faces

Jose Quintana COL · LHPvsCWS lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

4 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

1Sam Antonacci20%

2Kyle Teel31%

3Miguel Vargas21%

4Munetaka Murakami33%

5Andrew Benintendi24%

6Tristan Peters21%

7Chase Meidroth13%

8Colson Montgomery29%

9Braden Montgomery27%

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

Two strikes

how he finishes hitters

Jose Quintana COL · LHPwith two strikes

Usage, overall to two strikesOverall Two strikes

Fastball+5 pts

Sweeper+8 pts

Sinker-4 pts

Curveball-6 pts

Changeup-3 pts

Jose Quintana with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
Pitch	Overall	2 strikes	Whiff%	Put-away	League put-away
Fastball	26%	30%	0.0%	0.0%	18.6%
Sweeper	19%	26%	66.7%	33.3%	20.5%
Sinker	26%	22%	0.0%	0.0%	17.7%
Curveball	19%	13%	–	0.0%	21.3%
Changeup	11%	9%	0.0%	0.0%	18.3%

Predicted vs what happened

Strikeouts2BTB expected 3.3 over 1 starts

BTB's side at the line0 of 1over or under the book's line

A few starts say little about the model; the market-level record is on the record.

Projection as served and frozen before first pitch; book probability de-vigged at the open.
Date	Opponent	Projected K	Book line	BTB over	Book over	Strikeouts
Sep 19	SEA	3.3	2.5	63.9%	41.7%	2