José Soriano

TOR · Starting pitcher · 2 starts projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Next start · Sep 25 · 6:07 PM CT

José SorianoRHP · TOR vs CIN

5.1projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 8 · 23.1 batters over 5.5 innings

Over 5.5: 41% (red bars) · under: 59%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.

K%19.8%

BB%7.6%

Whiff%10.2%

Velo92.4

BTB Stuff100

Location100

PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff

Sinker34%9896.15.8%

Curveball27%10285.417.8%

Fastball18%9296.68.1%

Splitter17%11092.29.5%

Slider4%10390.29.1%

Other0%––0.0%

Last 3 startsStable

Date	Pitches	K%	Whiff%	Hard-hit%	wOBA
Sep 19	80	35%	16%	22%	.365
Sep 14	90	20%	8%	20%	.236
Sep 8	89	11%	5%	26%	.307

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

The gameCIN @ TOR →Rogers Centre

The arsenal by shape

how each pitch moves

Movement in inches, from the pitch-level data. Hitter matchup pages read each hitter against pitches shaped like these.
Pitch	Family	Usage	Velo	Horizontal break	Induced vertical break
Sinker	Hard	34%	96.1	+15.2″	+4.8″
Curveball	Breaking	27%	85.5	-13.0″	-6.8″
Fastball	Hard	18%	96.7	+9.4″	+13.6″
Splitter	Offspeed	17%	92.2	+13.9″	+1.6″
Slider	Breaking	4%	90.4	-1.2″	+3.0″

The lineup he faces

José Soriano TOR · RHPvsCIN lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

4 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

1Carlos Jorge26%

2Elly De La Cruz26%

3Sal Stewart21%

4JJ Bleday22%

5Eugenio Suárez33%

6Héctor Rodríguez24%

7Juan Brito19%

8Jose Trevino23%

9Oswaldo Cabrera27%

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

Two strikes

how he finishes hitters

José Soriano TOR · RHPwith two strikes

Usage, overall to two strikesOverall Two strikes

Curveball+2 pts

Fastball+6 pts

Sinker-12 pts

Splitter+1 pts

Slider+3 pts

Other+0 pts

José Soriano with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
Pitch	Overall	2 strikes	Whiff%	Put-away	League put-away
Curveball	27%	29%	32.8%	24.1%	20.0%
Fastball	18%	23%	14.8%	16.7%	18.0%
Sinker	34%	22%	9.8%	10.7%	17.0%
Splitter	17%	19%	20.0%	15.3%	19.0%
Slider	4%	7%	27.3%	10.7%	21.1%
Other	0%	0%	–	0.0%	21.7%

Predicted vs what happened

Strikeouts8BTB expected 4.8 over 1 starts

BTB's side at the line0 of 1over or under the book's line

A few starts say little about the model; the market-level record is on the record.

Projection as served and frozen before first pitch; book probability de-vigged at the open.
Date	Opponent	Projected K	Book line	BTB over	Book over	Strikeouts
Sep 25	CIN	5.6	5.5	50.1%	52.6%	not settled
Sep 19	TEX	4.8	5.5	34.2%	43.7%	8