Merrill Kelly

ARI · Starting pitcher · 1 starts projected since Sep 23, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Predicted vs what happened

Strikeouts2BTB expected 4.5 over 1 starts

BTB's side at the line0 of 1over or under the book's line

A few starts say little about the model; the market-level record is on the record.

Projection as served and frozen before first pitch; book probability de-vigged at the open.
Date	Opponent	Projected K	Book line	BTB over	Book over	Strikeouts
Sep 23	COL	4.5	3.5	68.3%	55.5%	2