Noah Cameron

KC · Starting pitcher · 2 starts projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Next start · Sep 25 · 6:40 PM CT

Noah CameronLHP · KC vs CLE

4.4projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 7 · 24.4 batters over 5.7 innings

Over 4.5: 45% (red bars) · under: 55%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.

K%21.7%

BB%8.7%

Whiff%12.7%

Velo86.8

BTB Stuff97

Location105

PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff

Cutter23%11590.09.2%

Fastball20%8792.76.8%

Changeup19%9281.221.0%

Slider16%10185.221.3%

Curveball16%8681.610.6%

Sinker6%8891.42.2%

Last 3 startsTrending Down

Date	Pitches	K%	Whiff%	Hard-hit%	wOBA
Sep 19	94	23%	13%	27%	.408
Sep 13	85	17%	12%	26%	.304
Sep 7	99	32%	11%	9%	.186

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

The gameCLE @ KC →Kauffman Stadium

The arsenal by shape

how each pitch moves

Movement in inches, from the pitch-level data. Hitter matchup pages read each hitter against pitches shaped like these.
Pitch	Family	Usage	Velo	Horizontal break	Induced vertical break
Cutter	Hard	23%	90.0	-2.5″	+8.9″
Fastball	Hard	20%	92.7	+5.6″	+16.7″
Changeup	Offspeed	19%	81.2	+11.9″	+9.8″
Slider	Breaking	16%	85.4	-3.7″	+2.6″
Curveball	Breaking	16%	81.7	-3.4″	-9.2″
Sinker	Hard	6%	91.5	+12.6″	+10.4″

The lineup he faces

Noah Cameron KC · LHPvsCLE lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

1 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

1Steven Kwan12%

2José Ramírez11%

3Chase DeLauter25%

4Jo Adell26%

5Angel Martínez21%

6David Fry25%

7Travis Bazzana21%

8Austin Hedges17%

9Brayan Rocchio18%

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

Two strikes

how he finishes hitters

Noah Cameron KC · LHPwith two strikes

Usage, overall to two strikesOverall Two strikes

Slider+10 pts

Curveball+9 pts

Fastball+0 pts

Changeup-2 pts

Cutter-13 pts

Sinker-4 pts

Noah Cameron with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
Pitch	Overall	2 strikes	Whiff%	Put-away	League put-away
Slider	16%	26%	38.8%	25.0%	21.6%
Curveball	16%	25%	26.8%	16.3%	21.2%
Fastball	20%	20%	10.3%	10.6%	18.6%
Changeup	19%	17%	25.5%	20.5%	18.3%
Cutter	23%	10%	19.4%	19.5%	17.9%
Sinker	6%	2%	0.0%	30.0%	17.7%

Predicted vs what happened

Strikeouts6BTB expected 5.5 over 1 starts

BTB's side at the line0 of 1over or under the book's line

A few starts say little about the model; the market-level record is on the record.

Projection as served and frozen before first pitch; book probability de-vigged at the open.
Date	Opponent	Projected K	Book line	BTB over	Book over	Strikeouts
Sep 25	CLE	4.4	4.5	44.2%	42.7%	not settled
Sep 19	PIT	5.5	5.5	46.5%	44.2%	6