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Dominic Smith

ATL · Hitter · 1 games projected since Sep 26, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Next up

Sep 26 · 3:10 PM CTvs Jack Ralston RHPATL @ MIA1+ hit 50.8%2+ TB 27.0%HR 6.3%

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Dominic Smith · last 90 daysthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G47.000.143.000.100.21128.6%14.3%23.1%86.296.60.0%25.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1327.160.222.160.185.16937.0%7.4%32.7%84.996.60.0%6.7%33.3%
Last 30 G2866.214.333.321.303.26521.2%13.6%20.3%88.2104.82.4%21.4%38.1%
90 days3690.215.311.304.284.25021.1%11.1%21.0%87.7104.81.7%25.0%33.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 60 balls in play
Ground 57%Line drive 12%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G11.000.000.000.000.0050.0%0.0%0.0%80.780.70.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 15 G22.000.000.000.000.00250.0%0.0%20.0%80.780.70.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 30 G66.167.167.167.150.03433.3%0.0%18.2%84.896.40.0%25.0%25.0%
90 days77.143.143.143.129.05328.6%0.0%16.7%82.796.40.0%20.0%20.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 5 balls in play
Ground 20%Line drive 20%Fly ball 0%Pop-up 60%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G58.000.125.000.088.18525.0%12.5%21.4%85.196.60.0%20.0%40.0%
Last 15 G1529.148.207.148.172.15737.9%6.9%31.5%84.696.60.0%6.2%31.2%
Last 30 G3072.210.319.306.290.24622.2%12.5%20.1%87.9104.82.2%21.7%37.0%
90 days3897.209.299.291.272.23621.6%10.3%20.7%87.3104.81.5%24.6%32.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 65 balls in play
Ground 54%Line drive 12%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 12%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 11LHPCutter85.580.778.005Out
Sep 10RHPChangeup79.072.47.208Out
Sep 5RHPFastball94.996.630.461Out
Sep 5RHPFastball98.590.5-38.040Out
Aug 29RHPSlider83.385.428.067Out
Aug 21RHPSlider93.693.4-17.126Single
Aug 21RHPFastball99.283.343.017Out
Aug 21RHPSinker97.487.3-46.082Out
Aug 21RHPFastball96.869.6-6.064Out
Aug 17RHPSweeper84.485.130.040Out
Aug 16RHPSinker92.688.159.013Out
Aug 16RHPChangeup84.379.719.901Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23100001
Sep 11100000
Sep 10200001
Sep 5300010
Aug 29100000
Aug 21411000
Aug 19200002
Aug 17100000
Aug 16411001
Aug 14100001
FormNormal
Contact rating7Bottom tier
Last 100 pitches0trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.275 / .255running 20 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit2/12
2+ total bases0/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.312
Barrel%2.8%
Hard-hit%22.6%
K%20.7%
BB%8.1%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Dominic Smith · hot and cold zones
xwOBA .247 shrunk (raw .086 on 2 PA) · league .274 · 14 pitches seen.247xwOBA .237 shrunk (raw .096 on 6 PA) · league .307 · 12 pitches seen.237xwOBA .263 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .263 · 1 pitches seenxwOBA .361 shrunk (raw .390 on 8 PA) · league .342 · 23 pitches seen.361xwOBA .358 shrunk (raw .327 on 11 PA) · league .386 · 21 pitches seen.358xwOBA .257 shrunk (raw .064 on 4 PA) · league .321 · 12 pitches seen.257xwOBA .253 shrunk (raw .121 on 5 PA) · league .308 · 24 pitches seen.253xwOBA .252 shrunk (raw .153 on 12 PA) · league .351 · 26 pitches seen.252xwOBA .319 shrunk (raw .374 on 6 PA) · league .292 · 16 pitches seen.319xwOBA .301 shrunk (raw .241 on 15 PA) · league .377 · 68 pitches seen.301xwOBA .253 shrunk (raw .000 on 1 PA) · league .274 · 10 pitches seen.253xwOBA .249 shrunk (raw .233 on 10 PA) · league .263 · 72 pitches seen.249xwOBA .324 shrunk (raw .391 on 9 PA) · league .274 · 73 pitches seen.324
vs RHP · 372 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 11% of 9 swings · league 22%11%Whiff 33% of 9 swings · league 20%33%Whiff – of 0 swings · league 19%Whiff 6% of 16 swings · league 10%6%Whiff 0% of 17 swings · league 9%0%Whiff 29% of 7 swings · league 11%29%Whiff 20% of 10 swings · league 14%20%Whiff 16% of 19 swings · league 13%16%Whiff 13% of 8 swings · league 17%13%Whiff 24% of 25 swings · league 28%24%Whiff 20% of 5 swings · league 24%20%Whiff 19% of 21 swings · league 32%19%Whiff 63% of 16 swings · league 49%63%
vs RHP · 372 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 64% of 14 pitches · league 62%64%Swings at 75% of 12 pitches · league 72%75%Swings at 0% of 1 pitches · league 66%0%Swings at 70% of 23 pitches · league 70%70%Swings at 81% of 21 pitches · league 76%81%Swings at 58% of 12 pitches · league 70%58%Swings at 42% of 24 pitches · league 65%42%Swings at 73% of 26 pitches · league 68%73%Swings at 50% of 16 pitches · league 60%50%Swings at 37% of 68 pitches · league 24%37%Swings at 50% of 10 pitches · league 34%50%Swings at 29% of 72 pitches · league 40%29%Swings at 22% of 73 pitches · league 32%22%
vs RHP · 372 pitches · catcher's view
xwOBA .243 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .243 · 2 pitches seenxwOBA .267 shrunk (raw .094 on 2 PA) · league .296 · 3 pitches seen.267xwOBA .235 shrunk (raw .005 on 1 PA) · league .254 · 1 pitches seen.235xwOBA .308 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .308 · 0 pitches seenxwOBA .385 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .385 · 2 pitches seenxwOBA .304 shrunk (raw .089 on 2 PA) · league .340 · 3 pitches seen.304xwOBA .273 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .273 · 0 pitches seenxwOBA .350 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .350 · 0 pitches seenxwOBA .299 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .299 · 0 pitches seenxwOBA .302 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .302 · 1 pitches seenxwOBA .346 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .346 · 3 pitches seenxwOBA .248 shrunk (raw .000 on 2 PA) · league .289 · 5 pitches seen.248xwOBA .257 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .257 · 1 pitches seen
vs LHP · 21 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff – of 0 swings · league 19%Whiff 0% of 3 swings · league 21%0%Whiff 0% of 1 swings · league 23%0%Whiff – of 0 swings · league 9%Whiff – of 0 swings · league 10%Whiff 0% of 2 swings · league 11%0%Whiff – of 0 swings · league 17%Whiff – of 0 swings · league 14%Whiff – of 0 swings · league 16%Whiff 0% of 1 swings · league 25%0%Whiff 0% of 2 swings · league 29%0%Whiff 67% of 3 swings · league 48%67%Whiff – of 0 swings · league 34%
vs LHP · 21 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 0% of 2 pitches · league 63%0%Swings at 100% of 3 pitches · league 71%100%Swings at 100% of 1 pitches · league 64%100%Swings at – of 0 pitches · league 67%Swings at 0% of 2 pitches · league 76%0%Swings at 67% of 3 pitches · league 72%67%Swings at – of 0 pitches · league 59%Swings at – of 0 pitches · league 68%Swings at – of 0 pitches · league 66%Swings at 100% of 1 pitches · league 30%100%Swings at 67% of 3 pitches · league 26%67%Swings at 60% of 5 pitches · league 31%60%Swings at 0% of 1 pitches · league 41%0%
vs LHP · 21 pitches · catcher's view
xwOBA .240 shrunk (raw .086 on 2 PA) · league .266 · 16 pitches seen.240xwOBA .220 shrunk (raw .095 on 8 PA) · league .303 · 15 pitches seen.220xwOBA .240 shrunk (raw .005 on 1 PA) · league .260 · 2 pitches seen.240xwOBA .355 shrunk (raw .390 on 8 PA) · league .332 · 23 pitches seen.355xwOBA .358 shrunk (raw .327 on 11 PA) · league .386 · 23 pitches seen.358xwOBA .242 shrunk (raw .072 on 6 PA) · league .327 · 15 pitches seen.242xwOBA .245 shrunk (raw .121 on 5 PA) · league .297 · 24 pitches seen.245xwOBA .252 shrunk (raw .153 on 12 PA) · league .351 · 26 pitches seen.252xwOBA .321 shrunk (raw .374 on 6 PA) · league .294 · 16 pitches seen.321xwOBA .294 shrunk (raw .241 on 15 PA) · league .361 · 69 pitches seen.294xwOBA .282 shrunk (raw .000 on 1 PA) · league .306 · 13 pitches seen.282xwOBA .234 shrunk (raw .194 on 12 PA) · league .273 · 77 pitches seen.234xwOBA .321 shrunk (raw .391 on 9 PA) · league .269 · 74 pitches seen.321
All · 393 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 11% of 9 swings · league 21%11%Whiff 25% of 12 swings · league 20%25%Whiff 0% of 1 swings · league 20%0%Whiff 6% of 16 swings · league 10%6%Whiff 0% of 17 swings · league 9%0%Whiff 22% of 9 swings · league 11%22%Whiff 20% of 10 swings · league 15%20%Whiff 16% of 19 swings · league 13%16%Whiff 13% of 8 swings · league 16%13%Whiff 23% of 26 swings · league 28%23%Whiff 14% of 7 swings · league 26%14%Whiff 25% of 24 swings · league 38%25%Whiff 63% of 16 swings · league 45%63%
All · 393 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 56% of 16 pitches · league 62%56%Swings at 80% of 15 pitches · league 72%80%Swings at 50% of 2 pitches · league 65%50%Swings at 70% of 23 pitches · league 69%70%Swings at 74% of 23 pitches · league 76%74%Swings at 60% of 15 pitches · league 70%60%Swings at 42% of 24 pitches · league 63%42%Swings at 73% of 26 pitches · league 68%73%Swings at 50% of 16 pitches · league 62%50%Swings at 38% of 69 pitches · league 25%38%Swings at 54% of 13 pitches · league 30%54%Swings at 31% of 77 pitches · league 36%31%Swings at 22% of 74 pitches · league 34%22%
All · 393 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Dominic Smith · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Predicted vs what happened

1 settled games
Games with a hit1 of 1BTB expected 0.5
Games with 2+ TB1 of 1BTB expected 0.3
Games with a HR1 of 1BTB expected 0.1
Talent gradeDwOBA .312 · K% 20.7%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 26Jack Ralston53.3%27.4%6.6%4141
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.