The game
ATL runs4.4win 59%
MIA runs3.5win 41%
Total7.8book line 8.0
No run, 1st inning54%research only
Game totals, win probability and the first inning are research only: in the backtest they don't beat the league-wide rate. Shown as projections, never as plays.
Park and air
- Carry
- – vs neutral air
- Weather
- 78°F · Wind out · roof retractable
- Park factor
- Runs 100 · HR 89 100 = average
- Schedule
- ATL day-after-night; MIA day-after-night
Air density from observed temperature, dew point and pressure. It shapes batted balls, not the run total directly.
Neither starter has been announced.
Bullpens
Braves bullpen#3 of 30
K%24.3%
BB%5.7%
K-BB%18.6%
SwStr%13.8%
wOBA allowed.287
Arms available19 / 19
No one pitched yesterday.
Ranked on a blend of K-BB% (60%) and wOBA allowed (40%) over the bullpen window. Tired arms are context: in our tests bullpen rest didn't improve run totals.
Marlins bullpen#18 of 30
K%23.4%
BB%11.5%
K-BB%11.9%
SwStr%9.5%
wOBA allowed.329
Arms available16 / 16
No one pitched yesterday.
Ranked on a blend of K-BB% (60%) and wOBA allowed (40%) over the bullpen window. Tired arms are context: in our tests bullpen rest didn't improve run totals.
Braves lineup
Projected · facing TBD| Spot | Hitter | 1+ hit | 2+ TB | HR | PA | Matchup (1+ hit) | wOBA vs hand | Talent grade | Type | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drake Baldwin DH · bats L | 69.9% | 43.1% | 14.3% | 4.0 | -0.3 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 2 | Ronald Acuña Jr. RF · bats R | 65.6% | 41.6% | 16.8% | 3.9 | -0.5 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 3 | Matt Olson 1B · bats L | 62.8% | 42.6% | 18.7% | 3.8 | -0.2 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 4 | Michael Harris II CF · bats L | 68.0% | 41.3% | 11.5% | 3.8 | +0.1 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 5 | Mauricio Dubón SS · bats R | 67.7% | 35.2% | 3.9% | 3.7 | +0.1 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 6 | Ozzie Albies 2B · bats S | 54.1% | 28.7% | 7.6% | 3.6 | -0.1 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 7 | Mike Yastrzemski LF · bats L | 55.6% | 32.8% | 11.3% | 3.5 | -0.1 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 8 | Austin Riley 3B · bats R | 54.8% | 32.0% | 12.8% | 3.4 | -0.5 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 9 | Sean Murphy C · bats R | 47.4% | 26.1% | 10.4% | 3.3 | -0.4 | – | — | — | Normal |
Marlins lineup
Projected · facing TBD| Spot | Hitter | 1+ hit | 2+ TB | HR | PA | Matchup (1+ hit) | wOBA vs hand | Talent grade | Type | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Otto Lopez SS · bats R | 67.0% | 36.5% | 7.4% | 4.0 | -0.8 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 2 | Heriberto Hernández LF · bats R | 58.3% | 35.1% | 14.8% | 3.9 | -1.4 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 3 | Jakob Marsee CF · bats L | 61.2% | 32.5% | 6.9% | 3.8 | -0.9 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 4 | Javier Sanoja 3B · bats R | 69.0% | 37.1% | 5.1% | 3.8 | -0.6 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 5 | Agustín Ramírez DH · bats R | 56.5% | 30.9% | 8.9% | 3.7 | -1.0 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 6 | Esteury Ruiz RF · bats R | 45.9% | 23.7% | 7.4% | 3.6 | -1.0 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 7 | Deyvison De Los Santos 1B · bats R | 54.1% | 28.1% | 7.5% | 3.5 | -0.9 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 8 | Jared Serna 2B · bats R | 52.4% | 27.0% | 7.6% | 3.4 | -0.9 | – | — | — | Normal |
| 9 | Brian Navarreto C · bats R | 49.4% | 24.5% | 7.1% | 3.3 | -0.9 | – | — | — | Normal |