Hitter · SD · batting 3Manny Machado
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.8expected PA
1+ hit-0.4 pts matchup
2+ total bases-0.2 pts matchup
Home run+0.5 pts matchup
30% hit 95+ mph25% in the sweet spot18% fell for hits
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 63.0% | 63.4% | -0.4 |
| 2+ total bases | 39.9% | 40.1% | -0.2 |
| Home run | 15.2% | 14.7% | +0.5 |
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.2
Park-0.1
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.3
Park+0.1
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.1
Park+0.6
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Statcast
opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonightManny Machado · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 20 | .167 | .200 | .333 | .225 | .210 | 25.0% | 5.0% | 22.0% | 83.3 | 108.6 | 7.1% | 14.3% | 21.4% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 55 | .149 | .236 | .340 | .251 | .248 | 21.8% | 10.9% | 21.2% | 84.1 | 108.6 | 5.4% | 21.6% | 27.0% |
| Last 30 G | 28 | 103 | .221 | .330 | .384 | .335 | .333 | 16.5% | 14.6% | 19.2% | 86.4 | 109.2 | 7.0% | 33.8% | 29.6% |
| 90 days | 74 | 257 | .257 | .350 | .459 | .364 | .351 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 21.4% | 89.7 | 112.0 | 9.8% | 43.1% | 36.8% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 174 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 23%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 12%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 2 | 2 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .210 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 28.6% | 109.8 | 109.8 | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Last 15 G | 9 | 13 | .167 | .231 | .167 | .192 | .263 | 15.4% | 7.7% | 23.3% | 96.0 | 111.7 | 10.0% | 50.0% | 20.0% |
| Last 30 G | 16 | 31 | .222 | .290 | .333 | .277 | .313 | 22.6% | 9.7% | 23.7% | 91.8 | 111.7 | 9.5% | 47.6% | 33.3% |
| 90 days | 39 | 82 | .211 | .280 | .324 | .271 | .317 | 23.2% | 9.8% | 27.5% | 90.7 | 111.7 | 7.4% | 44.4% | 31.5% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 54 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 22%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 6%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 22 | .150 | .182 | .300 | .205 | .210 | 27.3% | 4.5% | 22.9% | 85.1 | 109.8 | 6.7% | 20.0% | 20.0% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 68 | .153 | .235 | .305 | .240 | .251 | 20.6% | 10.3% | 21.6% | 86.6 | 111.7 | 6.4% | 27.7% | 25.5% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 134 | .221 | .321 | .372 | .322 | .329 | 17.9% | 13.4% | 20.2% | 87.6 | 111.7 | 7.6% | 37.0% | 30.4% |
| 90 days | 77 | 339 | .246 | .333 | .427 | .342 | .343 | 20.4% | 11.8% | 22.8% | 89.9 | 112.0 | 9.2% | 43.4% | 35.5% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 228 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 23%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 11%
xwOBA78.343
Avg EV7589.9
Max EV80112.0
Barrel%729.2%
Hard-hit%7243.4%
Sweet-spot%5035.5%
K%5920.4%
BB%8511.8%
Whiff%5022.8%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
FormNormal
Contact rating89Excellent
Last 100 pitches3trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.344 / .364running 20 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run3/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 96.9 | 94.2 | 55 | .015 | Out |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Sweeper | 86.0 | 86.3 | 35 | .032 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Slider | 87.4 | 80.6 | 49 | .026 | Sac fly |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Sinker | 94.5 | 108.6 | 25 | 2.007 | Home run |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Cutter | 90.1 | 92.1 | 63 | .011 | Out |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Changeup | 87.5 | 109.8 | -2 | .419 | Double play |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Sinker | 95.5 | 90.3 | 42 | .004 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Slider | 90.3 | 55.5 | -50 | .226 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Sinker | 93.5 | 58.8 | -7 | .044 | Force out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Fastball | 97.4 | 80.7 | 72 | .000 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Slider | 83.2 | 79.5 | 85 | .000 | Out |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Slider | 87.9 | 51.8 | 50 | .015 | Out |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 23 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 19 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Sep 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
The hitter
season-level talent readTalent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–
Against right-handers, last 90 days
0 PAwOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–
Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
The starter he faces
Starter not announced.
The rest of the gameARI @ SD →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Manny Machado: every projection we've made →