MLBengine v14
← HOU at OAK, Sep 26, 2026
8:40 PM CT · Sutter Health Park · lineup projected
Hitter · OAK · batting 7Carlos Cortes
Bats leftTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.5expected PA
Starter · HOUTBD
Stable
3.9projected K–K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Carlos Cortes's last 40 balls in playHit (11)Out (29)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 87.2 mph at 47°Out: 83.9 mph at -10°Out: 106.0 mph at 1°Home run: 103.4 mph at 35°Triple: 107.1 mph at 13°Double: 94.2 mph at 33°Out: 63.5 mph at 17°Out: 95.9 mph at -5°Out: 76.5 mph at 87°Out: 98.6 mph at 18°Out: 72.1 mph at 82°Out: 88.2 mph at -19°Out: 94.7 mph at 25°Out: 92.3 mph at 9°Out: 63.0 mph at -20°Out: 97.3 mph at 26°Out: 76.4 mph at 63°Out: 96.0 mph at 23°Single: 71.0 mph at 39°Out: 90.1 mph at 28°Single: 87.9 mph at 20°Out: 93.0 mph at -14°Out: 78.0 mph at 67°Out: 74.9 mph at 9°Out: 65.2 mph at -12°Home run: 99.4 mph at 26°Out: 86.3 mph at 0°Out: 103.9 mph at 6°Single: 75.7 mph at 20°Single: 67.6 mph at 4°Out: 66.3 mph at -53°Out: 81.6 mph at 66°Out: 81.8 mph at 84°Single: 102.4 mph at 12°Out: 95.3 mph at 41°Single: 26.5 mph at -43°Out: 77.8 mph at 61°Out: 90.9 mph at -14°Single: 98.1 mph at 17°Out: 78.0 mph at 0°
30% hit 95+ mph35% in the sweet spot28% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit60.1%57.9%+2.2
2+ total bases34.6%31.9%+2.7
Home run9.3%7.8%+1.5
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
+2.4
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.0
Park
+2.7
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
+1.4

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Carlos Cortes · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G510.300.300.900.485.32320.0%0.0%20.7%92.7107.112.5%50.0%25.0%
Last 15 G1542.225.262.450.304.28614.3%4.8%17.6%86.4107.15.9%32.4%38.2%
Last 30 G3088.238.273.381.286.25120.5%4.5%21.0%85.7107.14.5%30.3%36.4%
90 days57155.231.277.378.285.24623.2%5.8%22.5%87.3107.53.7%31.2%39.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 109 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 23%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G11.000.000.000.000.000100.0%0.0%66.7%–––––
Last 15 G33.000.000.000.000.00266.7%0.0%71.4%78.078.00.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 30 G66.167.167.167.150.13133.3%0.0%45.5%74.278.40.0%0.0%25.0%
90 days1212.167.167.167.150.11225.0%0.0%36.8%78.3102.10.0%11.1%11.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 9 balls in play
Ground 67%Line drive 11%Fly ball 11%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G511.273.273.818.441.29427.3%0.0%25.0%92.7107.112.5%50.0%25.0%
Last 15 G1545.209.244.419.283.26717.8%4.4%21.7%86.2107.15.7%31.4%37.1%
Last 30 G3094.233.266.367.277.24321.3%4.3%22.5%85.1107.14.3%28.6%35.7%
90 days57167.226.269.361.276.23723.4%5.4%23.3%86.6107.53.4%29.7%37.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 118 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 22%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 14%
Carlos Cortes · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating9Bottom tier
Last 100 pitches10steady
wOBA / xwOBA.280 / .259running 21 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit5/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSlider87.187.247.000Out
Sep 23RHPSinker101.083.9-10.096Out
Sep 23RHPSinker101.9106.01.484Out
Sep 22RHPFastball97.3103.4351.106Home run
Sep 22RHPSinker96.4107.113.863Triple
Sep 19RHPFastball93.794.233.163Double
Sep 19RHPFastball94.263.517.304Out
Sep 19RHPSinker93.895.9-5.217Out
Sep 16RHPFastball92.176.587.003Out
Sep 16RHPCutter88.298.618.393Out
Sep 16RHPSinker91.172.182.003Out
Sep 15RHPSinker94.388.2-19.084Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24300002
Sep 23200000
Sep 22227100
Sep 20100001
Sep 19312000
Sep 16300000
Sep 15300001
Sep 13400010
Sep 12411000
Sep 11411012

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA
wOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gameHOU @ OAK →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Carlos Cortes: every projection we've made →