← HOU at OAK, Sep 26, 2026
8:40 PM CT · Sutter Health Park · lineup projected
Hitter · OAK · batting 6Donovan Walton
Bats leftTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.6expected PA
Starter · HOUTBD
Stable
3.9projected K–K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Donovan Walton's last 40 balls in playHit (13)Out (27)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Single: 74.5 mph at 18°Out: 73.6 mph at 2°Out: 81.0 mph at -5°Home run: 89.8 mph at 39°Out: 89.2 mph at 56°Single: 93.2 mph at 6°Home run: 99.0 mph at 28°Single: 70.3 mph at 41°Single: 101.6 mph at -1°Out: 70.9 mph at 3°Out: 85.7 mph at 51°Out: 82.3 mph at 4°Out: 61.0 mph at -31°Out: 97.3 mph at 0°Out: 65.3 mph at 7°Out: 76.0 mph at 39°Out: 87.8 mph at 20°Out: 98.4 mph at 6°Out: 83.8 mph at 38°Double: 73.2 mph at 8°Out: 90.8 mph at 30°Out: 72.1 mph at -19°Out: 97.8 mph at 1°Single: 98.3 mph at 15°Out: 90.6 mph at 32°Single: 98.8 mph at 12°Out: 69.9 mph at 48°Home run: 97.5 mph at 33°Out: 86.2 mph at 29°Out: 65.3 mph at -46°Home run: 104.9 mph at 25°Out: 91.5 mph at 10°Single: 90.1 mph at -3°Out: 77.0 mph at 8°Out: 96.1 mph at 23°Out: 90.8 mph at 37°Out: 90.4 mph at 6°Double: 88.3 mph at 17°Out: 88.3 mph at 37°Out: 81.2 mph at -24°
25% hit 95+ mph35% in the sweet spot33% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit60.6%58.3%+2.3
2+ total bases34.9%32.2%+2.8
Home run10.5%8.8%+1.7
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
+2.4
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.0
Park
+2.8
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
+1.6

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Donovan Walton · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.462.462.923.585.25330.8%0.0%23.1%85.8101.611.1%22.2%22.2%
Last 15 G1544.286.318.595.385.29218.2%4.5%21.2%84.8104.95.9%26.5%38.2%
Last 30 G3093.278.387.544.401.35116.1%10.8%25.8%85.6104.96.2%29.7%43.8%
90 days57162.250.389.455.373.33916.7%14.2%23.5%86.1104.94.8%29.5%42.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 105 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 23%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G11–1.000–.700.6980.0%100.0%50.0%–––––
Last 15 G33.000.333.000.233.3690.0%33.3%42.9%94.397.80.0%50.0%0.0%
Last 30 G55.000.200.000.140.3110.0%20.0%40.0%88.497.80.0%50.0%25.0%
90 days910.000.111.000.100.24510.0%10.0%28.6%78.397.80.0%37.5%12.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 8 balls in play
Ground 63%Line drive 13%Fly ball 13%Pop-up 13%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.462.500.923.593.28428.6%7.1%26.7%85.8101.611.1%22.2%22.2%
Last 15 G1547.273.319.568.376.29717.0%6.4%23.0%85.3104.95.6%27.8%36.1%
Last 30 G3098.265.378.518.387.34915.3%11.2%26.6%85.8104.95.9%30.9%42.6%
90 days57172.236.374.429.359.33416.3%14.0%23.8%85.5104.94.4%30.1%40.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 113 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 22%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 7%
Donovan Walton · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating80Excellent
Last 100 pitches2trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.363 / .348results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPChangeup86.974.518.864Single
Sep 24RHPSlider86.473.62.094Out
Sep 23RHPSinker99.381.0-5.156Out
Sep 23RHPSinker100.489.839.032Home run
Sep 22RHPSlider84.489.256.009Out
Sep 20RHPFastball98.893.26.477Single
Sep 19RHPSweeper81.599.028.780Home run
Sep 19RHPFastball94.270.341.443Single
Sep 19RHPCutter87.4101.6-1.428Single
Sep 18RHPSlider90.670.93.112Out
Sep 17RHPSinker94.085.751.005Out
Sep 17RHPCutter89.982.34.280Double play
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24311001
Sep 23314110
Sep 22100000
Sep 20411003
Sep 19336100
Sep 18100000
Sep 17300000
Sep 16400001
Sep 15200001
Sep 13412001

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA
wOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gameHOU @ OAK →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Donovan Walton: every projection we've made →