MLBengine v14
← HOU at OAK, Sep 26, 2026
8:40 PM CT · Sutter Health Park · lineup projected
Hitter · OAK · batting 9Jonah Heim
Switch hitterTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.3expected PA
Starter · HOUTBD
Stable
3.9projected K–K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Jonah Heim's last 40 balls in playHit (6)Out (34)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 62.1 mph at -28°Double: 78.3 mph at -5°Out: 96.9 mph at 17°Out: 95.6 mph at 32°Out: 96.9 mph at -20°Out: 55.5 mph at -81°Out: 58.1 mph at -12°Out: 68.9 mph at 71°Out: 74.0 mph at -16°Out: 84.3 mph at -10°Double: 95.3 mph at 19°Out: 95.5 mph at -23°Out: 63.3 mph at -26°Out: 93.4 mph at 18°Out: 95.5 mph at -1°Out: 84.0 mph at -4°Out: 68.7 mph at -28°Out: 81.5 mph at 39°Out: 56.6 mph at 51°Out: 61.9 mph at 42°Single: 71.2 mph at 29°Out: 76.2 mph at 40°Out: 93.8 mph at 19°Out: 92.1 mph at -16°Single: 91.9 mph at 9°Out: 70.2 mph at 4°Out: 83.9 mph at -23°Out: 88.5 mph at -16°Out: 94.2 mph at 27°Out: 94.8 mph at 16°Out: 83.3 mph at 30°Out: 92.5 mph at 3°Out: 85.2 mph at -19°Single: 100.8 mph at 5°Out: 82.3 mph at -18°Out: 76.7 mph at -26°Out: 85.7 mph at 72°Out: 96.1 mph at 26°Out: 91.4 mph at -3°Double: 96.1 mph at 24°
23% hit 95+ mph30% in the sweet spot15% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit55.1%52.8%+2.3
2+ total bases31.6%29.0%+2.5
Home run9.4%8.0%+1.5
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
+2.5
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
+2.7
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.0
Park
+1.4

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Jonah Heim · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G510.111.200.222.195.2330.0%10.0%0.0%77.696.90.0%33.3%33.3%
Last 15 G1340.105.150.132.134.21717.5%5.0%17.6%82.0100.80.0%16.1%32.3%
Last 30 G2778.110.167.178.172.23215.4%6.4%14.7%85.8102.81.6%26.2%31.1%
90 days57155.139.194.222.196.25220.0%5.2%19.8%86.9104.83.5%31.9%32.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 113 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 17%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G46.200.333.400.325.18816.7%16.7%20.0%81.696.90.0%50.0%0.0%
Last 15 G616.200.250.533.325.21618.8%6.2%14.7%88.2105.08.3%41.7%25.0%
Last 30 G1232.296.406.519.402.28912.5%15.6%12.1%88.1105.04.3%43.5%34.8%
90 days35100.250.310.457.341.32617.0%8.0%19.4%88.4109.19.3%37.3%38.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 75 balls in play
Ground 47%Line drive 21%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.143.250.286.244.2166.2%12.5%8.0%78.896.90.0%38.5%23.1%
Last 15 G1556.132.179.245.188.21617.9%5.4%16.7%83.7105.02.3%23.3%30.2%
Last 30 G30110.160.236.270.239.24914.5%9.1%13.9%86.4105.02.4%31.0%32.1%
90 days65255.182.239.314.253.28118.8%6.3%19.6%87.5109.15.9%34.0%35.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 188 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 19%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 13%
Jonah Heim · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating29Below average
Last 100 pitches2trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.249 / .295running 46 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit4/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball93.662.1-28.056Out
Sep 24LHPFastball92.678.3-5.065Double
Sep 24RHPSlider88.296.917.557Out
Sep 23RHPSlider89.495.632.362Out
Sep 22LHPFastball92.096.9-20.119Out
Sep 22LHPSlider85.855.5-81.121Out
Sep 22RHPSlider84.558.1-12.070Out
Sep 22RHPSlider85.768.971.000Out
Sep 20RHPSweeper88.474.0-16.042Out
Sep 20RHPSweeper88.884.3-10.096Out
Sep 20RHPSlider85.995.319.401Double
Sep 18LHPCurveball80.895.5-23.122Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24412010
Sep 23200010
Sep 22400000
Sep 20312000
Sep 18300001
Sep 17400000
Sep 15300001
Sep 12411001
Sep 11411001
Sep 8300000

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA
wOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gameHOU @ OAK →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Jonah Heim: every projection we've made →