MLBengine v14
← HOU at OAK, Sep 26, 2026
8:40 PM CT · Sutter Health Park · lineup confirmed
Hitter · OAK · batting 8Tommy White
Bats rightTalent grade FBalancedNormal
.258wOBA vs RHP.305xwOBA vs his mix3.4expected PA
Starter · HOUHayden Wesneski
Throws rightBTB Stuff 94Trending Down
4.1projected K19%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Hayden Wesneski's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Sweeper: 34% usage, 82.0 mph, -18.1″ arm side, -0.7″ rise. Tommy White: wOBA .243 vs league .259 (pitcher's edge).Sweeper 34%Fastball: 30% usage, 94.1 mph, +6.0″ arm side, +13.0″ rise. Tommy White: wOBA .333 vs league .349 (pitcher's edge).Fastball 30%Sinker: 17% usage, 92.7 mph, +14.9″ arm side, +7.3″ rise. Tommy White: wOBA .332 vs league .348 (pitcher's edge).Sinker 17%Cutter: 12% usage, 88.8 mph, -4.7″ arm side, +4.6″ rise. Tommy White: wOBA .281 vs league .297 (pitcher's edge).Cutter 12%Changeup: 6% usage, 86.2 mph, +14.8″ arm side, +4.2″ rise. Tommy White: wOBA .296 vs league .311 (pitcher's edge).Changeup 6%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Tommy White's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Tommy White's last 40 balls in playHit (11)Out (29)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 102.1 mph at 28°Single: 97.3 mph at -17°Single: 70.7 mph at 18°Single: 107.3 mph at 7°Out: 100.7 mph at -7°Out: 88.5 mph at -10°Out: 71.5 mph at -20°Out: 83.4 mph at 42°Out: 95.1 mph at 34°Out: 97.7 mph at -2°Out: 84.6 mph at 7°Out: 73.0 mph at -4°Out: 73.7 mph at -37°Single: 78.3 mph at 20°Home run: 92.2 mph at 39°Single: 100.6 mph at -11°Out: 63.0 mph at -26°Out: 88.6 mph at -19°Out: 82.3 mph at -23°Single: 105.5 mph at 11°Out: 71.2 mph at -62°Out: 71.0 mph at -8°Single: 95.1 mph at 9°Out: 94.4 mph at 19°Out: 83.1 mph at 41°Out: 100.7 mph at 22°Out: 57.9 mph at -45°Out: 91.5 mph at 3°Out: 98.9 mph at -22°Out: 76.5 mph at -7°Out: 78.4 mph at 38°Double: 83.0 mph at 33°Out: 96.5 mph at 35°Out: 72.0 mph at 43°Out: 88.1 mph at -20°Out: 84.5 mph at 1°Out: 96.9 mph at -20°Out: 88.3 mph at 32°Single: 90.5 mph at 14°Single: 100.1 mph at 5°
35% hit 95+ mph23% in the sweet spot28% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit62.5%59.4%+3.1
2+ total bases37.7%34.7%+3.0
Home run10.1%8.9%+1.2
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+1.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
+2.3
2+ total bases
Starter
+0.4
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
+2.9
Home run
Starter
-0.4
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
+1.7

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Tommy White hits
Where they meet

.286 xwOBA for Tommy White in the spots Hayden Wesneski throws to righties

The average hitter in those same spots: .300 (-14 points). His best spot against righties is middle, and Hayden Wesneski puts 7% of his pitches there. Context only; the projection reads pitch type, not location.

Hayden Wesneski · where he throws to right-handed hitters
3% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 50% per swing3%2% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing2%4% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 20% per swing4%4% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing4%7% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 6% per swing7%7% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 17% per swing7%4% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing4%3% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 17% per swing3%7% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 18% per swing7%9% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 25% per swing9%8% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 33% per swing8%13% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 17% per swing13%29% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 37% per swing29%
All · 330 pitches · catcher's view
3% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters3%1% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters1%3% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters3%8% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters8%5% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters5%2% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters2%10% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters10%6% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters6%3% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters3%15% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters15%0% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters37% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters37%8% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters8%
Sinker · 107 pitches · catcher's view
2% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters2%2% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters2%2% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters2%3% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters3%4% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters4%6% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters6%2% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters2%0% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters9% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters9%2% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters2%5% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters5%0% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters63% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters63%
Sweeper · 101 pitches · catcher's view
2% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters2%2% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters2%8% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters8%2% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters2%14% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters14%10% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters10%0% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters2% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters2%10% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters10%14% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters14%18% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters18%0% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters19% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters19%
Fastball · 62 pitches · catcher's view
4% of his Cutter pitches to right-handed hitters4%6% of his Cutter pitches to right-handed hitters6%4% of his Cutter pitches to right-handed hitters4%0% of his Cutter pitches to right-handed hitters8% of his Cutter pitches to right-handed hitters8%16% of his Cutter pitches to right-handed hitters16%0% of his Cutter pitches to right-handed hitters4% of his Cutter pitches to right-handed hitters4%12% of his Cutter pitches to right-handed hitters12%6% of his Cutter pitches to right-handed hitters6%18% of his Cutter pitches to right-handed hitters18%2% of his Cutter pitches to right-handed hitters2%20% of his Cutter pitches to right-handed hitters20%
Cutter · 50 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

Tommy White · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .303 shrunk (raw .362 on 6 PA) · league .274 · 14 pitches seen.303xwOBA .332 shrunk (raw .369 on 8 PA) · league .307 · 21 pitches seen.332xwOBA .279 shrunk (raw .319 on 5 PA) · league .263 · 19 pitches seen.279xwOBA .323 shrunk (raw .307 on 14 PA) · league .342 · 23 pitches seen.323xwOBA .508 shrunk (raw .691 on 8 PA) · league .386 · 30 pitches seen.508xwOBA .381 shrunk (raw .461 on 9 PA) · league .321 · 22 pitches seen.381xwOBA .328 shrunk (raw .367 on 6 PA) · league .308 · 15 pitches seen.328xwOBA .362 shrunk (raw .378 on 8 PA) · league .351 · 19 pitches seen.362xwOBA .276 shrunk (raw .256 on 10 PA) · league .292 · 30 pitches seen.276xwOBA .326 shrunk (raw .174 on 4 PA) · league .377 · 34 pitches seen.326xwOBA .221 shrunk (raw .116 on 6 PA) · league .274 · 39 pitches seen.221xwOBA .173 shrunk (raw .064 on 10 PA) · league .263 · 33 pitches seen.173xwOBA .252 shrunk (raw .242 on 28 PA) · league .274 · 145 pitches seen.252
vs RHP · 444 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 0% of 8 swings · league 22%0%Whiff 6% of 17 swings · league 20%6%Whiff 27% of 11 swings · league 19%27%Whiff 5% of 19 swings · league 10%5%Whiff 5% of 22 swings · league 9%5%Whiff 25% of 16 swings · league 11%25%Whiff 14% of 7 swings · league 14%14%Whiff 8% of 13 swings · league 13%8%Whiff 7% of 15 swings · league 17%7%Whiff 18% of 17 swings · league 28%18%Whiff 36% of 11 swings · league 24%36%Whiff 29% of 21 swings · league 32%29%Whiff 40% of 52 swings · league 49%40%
vs RHP · 444 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 57% of 14 pitches · league 62%57%Swings at 81% of 21 pitches · league 72%81%Swings at 58% of 19 pitches · league 66%58%Swings at 83% of 23 pitches · league 70%83%Swings at 73% of 30 pitches · league 76%73%Swings at 73% of 22 pitches · league 70%73%Swings at 47% of 15 pitches · league 65%47%Swings at 68% of 19 pitches · league 68%68%Swings at 50% of 30 pitches · league 60%50%Swings at 50% of 34 pitches · league 24%50%Swings at 28% of 39 pitches · league 34%28%Swings at 64% of 33 pitches · league 40%64%Swings at 36% of 145 pitches · league 32%36%
vs RHP · 444 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Tommy White against each of Hayden Wesneski's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Sweeper34%82.0-18″ / -1″.243.25929.7%32.6%8Little history vs this shape
Fastball30%94.1+6″ / +13″.333.34915.1%18.6%30About league average vs these
Sinker17%92.7+15″ / +7″.332.34810.0%12.2%34About league average vs these
Cutter12%88.8-5″ / +5″.281.29726.2%31.8%25About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Changeup6%86.2+15″ / +4″.296.31129.8%32.5%4Little history vs this shape
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Tommy White · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G27.000.000.000.000.29028.6%0.0%28.6%90.7102.125.0%50.0%25.0%
Last 15 G826.200.231.320.252.29019.2%3.8%21.8%84.4105.55.3%31.6%26.3%
Last 30 G2271.221.239.397.275.31818.3%2.8%22.9%84.7106.212.7%29.1%36.4%
90 days42123.218.236.336.250.30615.4%2.4%20.5%84.6106.29.0%26.0%37.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 100 balls in play
Ground 47%Line drive 23%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 5%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G45.600.600.600.540.28240.0%0.0%27.3%91.8107.30.0%66.7%33.3%
Last 15 G1011.273.273.273.245.21918.2%0.0%16.0%90.8107.30.0%44.4%22.2%
Last 30 G1827.308.333.308.293.28918.5%3.7%17.7%92.9107.80.0%52.4%33.3%
90 days3468.303.324.303.285.26820.6%2.9%19.9%88.5108.01.9%46.2%26.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 52 balls in play
Ground 58%Line drive 27%Fly ball 14%Pop-up 2%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G512.250.250.250.245.28733.3%0.0%28.0%91.2107.314.3%57.1%28.6%
Last 15 G1537.222.243.306.250.26818.9%2.7%20.0%86.5107.33.6%35.7%25.0%
Last 30 G3098.245.265.372.280.31018.4%3.1%21.3%87.0107.89.2%35.5%35.5%
90 days54191.249.267.324.263.29217.3%2.6%20.3%85.9108.06.6%32.9%33.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 152 balls in play
Ground 51%Line drive 24%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 4%
Tommy White · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating39Below average
Last 100 pitches4trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.267 / .303running 37 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit4/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPSweeper85.8102.1281.330Out
Sep 25LHPFastball92.597.3-17.146Single
Sep 22LHPSplitter87.370.718.681Single
Sep 22LHPSlider89.1107.37.585Single
Sep 20RHPSinker96.9100.7-7.231Out
Sep 20RHPSinker98.988.5-10.144Out
Sep 20RHPSlider89.371.5-20.035Out
Sep 19LHPCurveball79.883.442.005Out
Sep 18LHPCurveball82.695.134.149Out
Sep 18LHPChangeup82.697.7-2.342Double play
Sep 17RHPSinker94.684.67.427Force out
Sep 17RHPCutter91.873.0-4.062Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25411002
Sep 24100001
Sep 23100001
Sep 22222000
Sep 20400000
Sep 19100000
Sep 18300010
Sep 17400001
Sep 16436100
Sep 15100000

Two strikes

Hayden Wesneski HOU · RHPwith two strikes
Hayden Wesneski with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Sweeper29%41%27.3%16.5%20.7%
Fastball25%30%17.0%11.4%18.3%
Changeup12%14%25.0%16.7%18.4%
Cutter16%10%35.7%23.1%18.7%
Sinker18%5%11.1%14.3%17.7%
Other0%0%–0.0%17.9%
Tommy White bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Tommy White with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%36.3%43.3%
Whiff%20.7%23.5%
Contact%79.3%76.5%
Chase%45.5%39.4%
wOBA.228.235
Whiff vs his put-away shapes22.1%24.8%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.287
K%18.5%
BB%4.5%
Whiff%11.0%
Barrel%5.1%
Hard-hit%26.1%
Avg EV86.5

Against right-handers, last 90 days

123 PA
wOBA.258
xwOBA vs this mix.305against pitches like his
RV/100-1.82
Hard-hit%22.2%
K%16.4%
BB%2.9%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Hayden WesneskiRHP · HOU vs OAK7 days' rest
4.1projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 7 · 21.2 batters over 5.1 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 41.3%41%≤34 strikeouts: 19.4%19%45 strikeouts: 15.9%16%56 strikeouts: 11.0%11%67 strikeouts: 6.5%7%78 strikeouts: 3.3%3%89+ strikeouts: 2.6%3%9+book 3.5
Over 3.5: 59% (red bars) · under: 41%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%18.7%
BB%8.7%
Whiff%10.0%
Velo88.2
BTB Stuff94
Location98
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Sweeper29%11081.313.9%
Fastball25%6893.55.0%
Sinker18%9192.55.5%
Cutter16%10589.512.0%
Changeup12%9786.415.6%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 197914%5%19%.288
Sep 136211%7%39%.547
Sep 88214%7%46%.270

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Hayden Wesneski HOU · RHPvsOAK lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.7%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameHOU @ OAK →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Tommy White: every projection we've made →