Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Bryce Teodosio's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 50.5% | 50.5% | +0.0 |
| 2+ total bases | 23.8% | 23.9% | -0.0 |
| Home run | 6.7% | 6.2% | +0.4 |
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Pitch by pitch
Bryce Teodosio against each of Kade Anderson's pitches| His pitch | Usage | Velo | Movement | His wOBA | League | His whiff% | League | Sample | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 41% | 93.5 | +7″ / +16″ | .347 | .347 | 23.2% | 17.7% | 2 | Little history vs this shape |
| Slider | 24% | 87.9 | -4″ / -1″ | .298 | .299 | 33.0% | 30.5% | 1 | Little history vs this shape |
| Changeup | 18% | 84.8 | +13″ / +8″ | .302 | .303 | 33.6% | 31.1% | 1 | Little history vs this shape |
| Curveball | 16% | 81.8 | -8″ / -10″ | .294 | .295 | 31.4% | 28.9% | 2 | Little history vs this shape |
Statcast
opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 3 | 6 | .200 | .333 | .200 | .267 | .280 | 33.3% | 16.7% | 50.0% | 80.2 | 91.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 66.7% |
| Last 15 G | 3 | 6 | .200 | .333 | .200 | .267 | .280 | 33.3% | 16.7% | 50.0% | 80.2 | 91.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 66.7% |
| Last 30 G | 3 | 6 | .200 | .333 | .200 | .267 | .280 | 33.3% | 16.7% | 50.0% | 80.2 | 91.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 66.7% |
| 90 days | 3 | 6 | .200 | .333 | .200 | .267 | .280 | 33.3% | 16.7% | 50.0% | 80.2 | 91.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 66.7% |
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 3 | 7 | .143 | .143 | .143 | .129 | .187 | 42.9% | 0.0% | 30.8% | 65.8 | 71.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% |
| Last 15 G | 3 | 7 | .143 | .143 | .143 | .129 | .187 | 42.9% | 0.0% | 30.8% | 65.8 | 71.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% |
| Last 30 G | 3 | 7 | .143 | .143 | .143 | .129 | .187 | 42.9% | 0.0% | 30.8% | 65.8 | 71.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% |
| 90 days | 3 | 7 | .143 | .143 | .143 | .129 | .187 | 42.9% | 0.0% | 30.8% | 65.8 | 71.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% |
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 13 | .167 | .231 | .167 | .192 | .230 | 38.5% | 7.7% | 39.1% | 72.0 | 91.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 42.9% |
| Last 15 G | 5 | 13 | .167 | .231 | .167 | .192 | .230 | 38.5% | 7.7% | 39.1% | 72.0 | 91.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 42.9% |
| Last 30 G | 5 | 13 | .167 | .231 | .167 | .192 | .230 | 38.5% | 7.7% | 39.1% | 72.0 | 91.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 42.9% |
| 90 days | 5 | 13 | .167 | .231 | .167 | .192 | .230 | 38.5% | 7.7% | 39.1% | 72.0 | 91.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 42.9% |
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | RHP | Sweeper | 84.9 | 69.9 | 2 | .166 | Out |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Cutter | 85.1 | 68.8 | 21 | .838 | Single |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Curveball | 80.9 | 53.0 | -39 | .167 | Out |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Changeup | 80.0 | 90.2 | 14 | .915 | Single |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Sweeper | 86.0 | 71.5 | 49 | .140 | Out |
| Aug 26 | LHP | Fastball | 91.8 | 58.8 | 72 | .003 | Out |
| Aug 26 | LHP | Curveball | 80.5 | 91.5 | 30 | .061 | Out |
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 23 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Aug 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Two strikes
| Pitch | Overall | 2 strikes | Whiff% | Put-away | League put-away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slider | 24% | 33% | 26.7% | 20.8% | 21.6% |
| Fastball | 41% | 32% | 22.6% | 19.1% | 18.6% |
| Changeup | 18% | 23% | 19.0% | 11.8% | 18.3% |
| Curveball | 16% | 12% | 20.0% | 29.4% | 21.3% |
| Sinker | 2% | 1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.7% |
| With two strikes | Him | League |
|---|---|---|
| K% | 41.4% | 41.6% |
| Whiff% | 22.8% | 21.7% |
| Contact% | 77.2% | 78.3% |
| Chase% | 39.2% | 40.0% |
| wOBA | .247 | .245 |
| Whiff vs his put-away shapes | 25.2% | 24.0% |
The hitter
season-level talent readAgainst left-handers, last 90 days
6 PATalent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
| Date | Pitches | K% | Whiff% | Hard-hit% | wOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20 | 84 | 29% | 17% | 38% | .142 |
| Sep 14 | 72 | 25% | 14% | 35% | .368 |
| Sep 9 | 81 | 21% | 12% | 42% | .300 |
Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.
3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight
Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.