MLBengine v14
← LAA at SEA, Sep 26, 2026
8:40 PM CT · T-Mobile Park · lineup projected
Hitter · LAA · batting 7Josh Lowe
Bats leftTalent grade FBalancedNormal
.271wOBA vs LHP.272xwOBA vs his mix3.5expected PA
Starter · SEAKade Anderson
Throws leftBTB Stuff 97Trending Up
5.4projected K21%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Kade Anderson's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 41% usage, 93.5 mph, +7.1″ arm side, +16.0″ rise. Josh Lowe: wOBA .341 vs league .349 (about even).Fastball 41%Slider: 24% usage, 87.9 mph, -4.3″ arm side, -1.1″ rise. Josh Lowe: wOBA .297 vs league .305 (about even).Slider 24%Changeup: 18% usage, 84.8 mph, +12.6″ arm side, +8.3″ rise. Josh Lowe: wOBA .294 vs league .302 (about even).Changeup 18%Curveball: 16% usage, 81.8 mph, -7.8″ arm side, -10.0″ rise. Josh Lowe: wOBA .249 vs league .257 (about even).Curveball 16%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Josh Lowe's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Josh Lowe's last 40 balls in playHit (14)Out (26)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Double: 80.7 mph at 24°Single: 91.7 mph at 17°Out: 97.8 mph at 65°Out: 87.8 mph at 48°Out: 98.9 mph at 33°Out: 103.2 mph at 22°Out: 88.7 mph at 11°Double: 90.5 mph at 18°Out: 77.2 mph at -4°Out: 57.2 mph at -61°Double: 99.2 mph at 26°Out: 92.6 mph at 23°Single: 36.6 mph at -39°Home run: 100.1 mph at 28°Single: 97.8 mph at 11°Out: 80.1 mph at 68°Out: 93.1 mph at 25°Double: 100.7 mph at 21°Out: 100.8 mph at 34°Out: 77.6 mph at -1°Home run: 105.4 mph at 33°Out: 66.3 mph at -39°Out: 98.5 mph at -8°Out: 76.2 mph at 8°Out: 94.4 mph at 11°Single: 72.9 mph at -5°Out: 70.6 mph at 58°Out: 94.9 mph at 49°Out: 91.1 mph at 20°Out: 84.6 mph at 28°Out: 75.4 mph at 13°Out: 73.8 mph at 69°Single: 75.7 mph at 0°Single: 70.9 mph at 32°Out: 93.8 mph at 34°Single: 102.3 mph at -20°Double: 60.0 mph at -1°Out: 94.9 mph at -10°Out: 87.1 mph at 30°Out: 103.0 mph at 18°
30% hit 95+ mph48% in the sweet spot35% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit52.8%53.5%-0.7
2+ total bases29.5%30.6%-1.1
Home run10.0%11.1%-1.1
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
-0.0
Pitch mix
-0.2
Bullpen
+0.7
Park
-1.1
2+ total bases
Starter
-0.7
Pitch mix
-0.2
Bullpen
+0.8
Park
-1.0
Home run
Starter
-1.5
Pitch mix
-0.1
Bullpen
+0.5
Park
-0.0

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Pitch by pitch

Josh Lowe against each of Kade Anderson's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball41%93.5+7″ / +16″.341.34922.6%17.3%8Little history vs this shape; misses them more than most
Slider24%87.9-4″ / -1″.297.30533.2%29.8%8About league average vs these
Changeup18%84.8+13″ / +8″.294.30237.7%33.6%3Little history vs this shape
Curveball16%81.8-8″ / -10″.249.25733.3%30.1%6Little history vs this shape
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Josh Lowe · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G11.000.000.000.000.000100.0%0.0%0.0%–––––
Last 15 G33.333.333.667.417.26366.7%0.0%40.0%99.299.2100.0%100.0%100.0%
Last 30 G1120.167.200.222.188.20540.0%5.0%30.6%86.0103.29.1%36.4%36.4%
90 days1934.194.235.226.210.21535.3%5.9%29.7%82.9103.25.0%35.0%35.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 20 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 15%Fly ball 40%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.231.286.385.293.32828.6%0.0%30.8%90.7103.211.1%33.3%55.6%
Last 15 G1541.216.293.459.323.30739.0%4.9%38.7%86.9105.414.3%38.1%47.6%
Last 30 G2773.250.342.453.348.29031.5%9.6%31.8%85.4105.47.3%29.3%46.3%
90 days59160.229.321.436.338.33028.8%10.6%31.7%88.4109.610.5%38.9%37.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 95 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 22%Fly ball 34%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.214.267.357.273.30633.3%0.0%29.3%90.7103.211.1%33.3%55.6%
Last 15 G1544.225.295.475.330.30440.9%4.5%38.8%87.5105.418.2%40.9%50.0%
Last 30 G3093.232.312.402.313.27233.3%8.6%31.5%85.5105.47.7%30.8%44.2%
90 days63194.222.306.398.315.30929.9%9.8%31.4%87.4109.69.6%38.3%37.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 115 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 21%Fly ball 35%Pop-up 10%
Josh Lowe · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating55Average
Last 100 pitches50steady
wOBA / xwOBA.315 / .323results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPCurveball81.480.724.416Double
Sep 24RHPFastball96.491.717.678Single
Sep 24RHPCutter87.697.865.017Out
Sep 23RHPCurveball82.387.848.008Out
Sep 20RHPFastball90.798.933.536Out
Sep 20RHPSinker93.1103.222.927Out
Sep 20RHPSweeper76.388.711.592Out
Sep 19RHPFastball97.390.518.586Double
Sep 19RHPCutter90.577.2-4.105Out
Sep 17RHPSplitter91.357.2-61.235Out
Sep 17LHPCutter87.399.226.788Double
Sep 16RHPSinker95.992.623.220Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24423000
Sep 23200001
Sep 22100001
Sep 20300000
Sep 19512003
Sep 18100001
Sep 17412002
Sep 16311001
Sep 15325101
Sep 14100000

Two strikes

Kade Anderson SEA · LHPwith two strikes
Kade Anderson with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Slider24%33%26.7%20.8%21.6%
Fastball41%32%22.6%19.1%18.6%
Changeup18%23%19.0%11.8%18.3%
Curveball16%12%20.0%29.4%21.3%
Sinker2%1%0.0%0.0%17.7%
Josh Lowe bats Lwith two strikes, vs this hand
Josh Lowe with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Little two-strike history vs these shapes
With two strikesHimLeague
K%48.7%44.1%
Whiff%24.4%22.7%
Contact%75.6%77.3%
Chase%39.2%38.1%
wOBA.205.224
Whiff vs his put-away shapes27.4%25.6%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.306
K%29.1%
BB%9.1%
Whiff%16.4%
Barrel%4.8%
Hard-hit%23.5%
Avg EV87.5

Against left-handers, last 90 days

34 PA
wOBA.271
xwOBA vs this mix.272against pitches like his
RV/100-0.92
Hard-hit%23.5%
K%28.7%
BB%9.9%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Kade AndersonLHP · SEA vs LAA
5.4projected strikeouts · likely 3 to 9 · 21.4 batters over 5.1 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 21.0%21%≤34 strikeouts: 15.7%16%45 strikeouts: 17.2%17%56 strikeouts: 15.5%16%67 strikeouts: 12.1%12%78 strikeouts: 8.2%8%89+ strikeouts: 10.3%10%9+book 5.5
Over 5.5: 46% (red bars) · under: 54%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%21.4%
BB%6.1%
Whiff%12.7%
Velo88.6
BTB Stuff97
Location101
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball41%9093.410.8%
Slider24%10987.812.8%
Changeup18%9684.518.4%
Curveball16%9781.910.5%
Sinker2%10793.014.3%
Last 3 startsTrending Up
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 208429%17%38%.142
Sep 147225%14%35%.368
Sep 98121%12%42%.300

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Kade Anderson SEA · LHPvsLAA lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAA @ SEA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Josh Lowe: every projection we've made →