MLBengine v14
← LAA at SEA, Sep 26, 2026
8:40 PM CT · T-Mobile Park · lineup projected
Hitter · LAA · batting 2Mike Trout
Bats rightTalent grade CBalancedHot
.370wOBA vs LHP.373xwOBA vs his mix3.9expected PA
Starter · SEAKade Anderson
Throws leftBTB Stuff 97Trending Up
5.4projected K21%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Kade Anderson's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 41% usage, 93.5 mph, +7.1″ arm side, +16.0″ rise. Mike Trout: wOBA .354 vs league .347 (about even).Fastball 41%Slider: 24% usage, 87.9 mph, -4.3″ arm side, -1.1″ rise. Mike Trout: wOBA .306 vs league .299 (about even).Slider 24%Changeup: 18% usage, 84.8 mph, +12.6″ arm side, +8.3″ rise. Mike Trout: wOBA .310 vs league .303 (about even).Changeup 18%Curveball: 16% usage, 81.8 mph, -7.8″ arm side, -10.0″ rise. Mike Trout: wOBA .302 vs league .295 (about even).Curveball 16%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Mike Trout's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Mike Trout's last 40 balls in playHit (18)Out (22)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 110.5 mph at 11°Out: 86.3 mph at 37°Home run: 101.3 mph at 29°Single: 104.1 mph at 17°Out: 57.8 mph at -29°Single: 98.2 mph at 7°Double: 103.9 mph at 21°Single: 108.7 mph at 5°Single: 104.1 mph at -3°Single: 68.3 mph at 31°Out: 83.0 mph at 65°Out: 73.1 mph at -18°Out: 99.6 mph at 33°Out: 101.4 mph at -30°Out: 103.7 mph at 22°Out: 78.3 mph at -46°Single: 95.5 mph at 9°Out: 46.3 mph at -40°Out: 83.7 mph at 12°Out: 93.2 mph at 67°Out: 81.0 mph at 0°Out: 106.9 mph at 19°Single: 96.4 mph at 2°Double: 102.9 mph at 18°Out: 82.1 mph at 3°Home run: 104.8 mph at 26°Out: 72.9 mph at 60°Double: 102.6 mph at 16°Out: 84.9 mph at 8°Out: 106.6 mph at -2°Out: 89.2 mph at -6°Double: 106.3 mph at 22°Single: 89.2 mph at 13°Double: 94.1 mph at 20°Out: 91.3 mph at 20°Single: 106.0 mph at -13°Out: 52.3 mph at 50°Single: 85.9 mph at 15°Single: 96.5 mph at -11°Out: 86.6 mph at 27°
50% hit 95+ mph48% in the sweet spot45% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit58.8%57.8%+1.0
2+ total bases33.4%32.4%+1.1
Home run13.0%11.6%+1.4
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+1.5
Pitch mix
+0.3
Bullpen
+0.3
Park
-1.1
2+ total bases
Starter
+1.6
Pitch mix
+0.3
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-1.0
Home run
Starter
+1.2
Pitch mix
+0.2
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-0.1

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Pitch by pitch

Mike Trout against each of Kade Anderson's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball41%93.5+7″ / +16″.354.34714.2%17.7%32About league average vs these
Slider24%87.9-4″ / -1″.306.29931.2%30.5%5Little history vs this shape
Changeup18%84.8+13″ / +8″.310.30331.0%31.1%17About league average vs these
Curveball16%81.8-8″ / -10″.302.29529.7%28.9%5Little history vs this shape
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Mike Trout · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G36.600.6671.200.840.5690.0%16.7%33.3%87.8108.720.0%60.0%20.0%
Last 15 G923.286.348.524.377.39226.1%8.7%28.6%93.5108.720.0%66.7%26.7%
Last 30 G1640.303.385.485.388.40522.5%12.5%28.1%91.0109.216.0%56.0%36.0%
90 days3994.300.387.462.379.39822.3%11.7%20.9%89.5110.611.7%45.0%36.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 60 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 25%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G517.364.588.455.479.47023.5%29.4%35.7%94.3110.514.3%57.1%57.1%
Last 15 G1544.250.523.429.439.46825.0%31.8%35.2%90.3110.517.6%47.1%58.8%
Last 30 G2893.270.419.392.371.37528.0%16.1%31.0%90.2110.812.5%41.7%52.1%
90 days62195.238.369.338.336.33029.7%14.4%27.4%88.2110.87.8%37.9%40.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 103 balls in play
Ground 34%Line drive 32%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 13%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G523.438.609.688.561.49317.4%26.1%35.1%91.6110.516.7%58.3%41.7%
Last 15 G1567.265.463.469.418.44325.4%23.9%33.0%91.8110.518.8%56.2%43.8%
Last 30 G30133.280.409.421.376.38426.3%15.0%30.2%90.5110.813.7%46.6%46.6%
90 days66289.258.375.379.350.35227.3%13.5%25.3%88.7110.89.2%40.5%39.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 163 balls in play
Ground 38%Line drive 29%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 10%
Mike Trout · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormHot
Contact rating83Excellent
Last 100 pitches100trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.351 / .355results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball95.8110.511.983Out
Sep 24RHPSinker88.686.337.023Out
Sep 23LHPChangeup77.9101.3291.134Home run
Sep 23RHPFastball96.8104.117.563Single
Sep 23LHPChangeup79.757.8-29.070Out
Sep 22LHPFastball92.498.27.547Single
Sep 22RHPSweeper85.3103.921.954Double
Sep 22LHPFastball92.0108.75.634Single
Sep 19RHPSlider88.0104.1-3.375Single
Sep 19RHPFastball94.968.331.859Single
Sep 19RHPSlider85.983.065.012Out
Sep 19LHPChangeup89.173.1-18.061Double play
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24500021
Sep 23425101
Sep 22534011
Sep 20300011
Sep 19622020
Sep 18400002
Sep 17511011
Sep 16500021
Sep 15400011
Sep 14411011

Two strikes

Kade Anderson SEA · LHPwith two strikes
Kade Anderson with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Slider24%33%26.7%20.8%21.6%
Fastball41%32%22.6%19.1%18.6%
Changeup18%23%19.0%11.8%18.3%
Curveball16%12%20.0%29.4%21.3%
Sinker2%1%0.0%0.0%17.7%
Mike Trout bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Mike Trout with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%39.3%41.6%
Whiff%20.5%21.7%
Contact%79.5%78.3%
Chase%33.9%40.0%
wOBA.268.245
Whiff vs his put-away shapes22.8%24.0%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeCBalanced type
wOBA.349
K%27.6%
BB%13.5%
Whiff%10.3%
Barrel%5.7%
Hard-hit%23.2%
Avg EV88.9

Against left-handers, last 90 days

94 PA
wOBA.370
xwOBA vs this mix.373against pitches like his
RV/1000.70
Hard-hit%27.8%
K%22.9%
BB%13.2%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Kade AndersonLHP · SEA vs LAA
5.4projected strikeouts · likely 3 to 9 · 21.4 batters over 5.1 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 21.0%21%≤34 strikeouts: 15.7%16%45 strikeouts: 17.2%17%56 strikeouts: 15.5%16%67 strikeouts: 12.1%12%78 strikeouts: 8.2%8%89+ strikeouts: 10.3%10%9+book 5.5
Over 5.5: 46% (red bars) · under: 54%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%21.4%
BB%6.1%
Whiff%12.7%
Velo88.6
BTB Stuff97
Location101
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball41%9093.410.8%
Slider24%10987.812.8%
Changeup18%9684.518.4%
Curveball16%9781.910.5%
Sinker2%10793.014.3%
Last 3 startsTrending Up
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 208429%17%38%.142
Sep 147225%14%35%.368
Sep 98121%12%42%.300

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Kade Anderson SEA · LHPvsLAA lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAA @ SEA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Mike Trout: every projection we've made →