MLBengine v14
← LAA at SEA, Sep 26, 2026
8:40 PM CT · T-Mobile Park · lineup projected
Hitter · LAA · batting 5Moisés Ballesteros
Bats leftTalent grade CBalancedNormal
.278wOBA vs LHP.283xwOBA vs his mix3.7expected PA
Starter · SEAKade Anderson
Throws leftBTB Stuff 97Trending Up
5.4projected K21%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Kade Anderson's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 41% usage, 93.5 mph, +7.1″ arm side, +16.0″ rise. Moisés Ballesteros: wOBA .343 vs league .349 (about even).Fastball 41%Slider: 24% usage, 87.9 mph, -4.3″ arm side, -1.1″ rise. Moisés Ballesteros: wOBA .299 vs league .305 (about even).Slider 24%Changeup: 18% usage, 84.8 mph, +12.6″ arm side, +8.3″ rise. Moisés Ballesteros: wOBA .296 vs league .302 (about even).Changeup 18%Curveball: 16% usage, 81.8 mph, -7.8″ arm side, -10.0″ rise. Moisés Ballesteros: wOBA .251 vs league .257 (about even).Curveball 16%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Moisés Ballesteros's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Moisés Ballesteros's last 40 balls in playHit (14)Out (26)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Single: 70.6 mph at 25°Out: 91.2 mph at -15°Out: 90.7 mph at 32°Single: 96.8 mph at 12°Out: 71.5 mph at -9°Out: 87.4 mph at 64°Out: 74.3 mph at 6°Out: 85.4 mph at 60°Out: 91.7 mph at 49°Out: 75.4 mph at 40°Out: 85.9 mph at 47°Out: 88.0 mph at 27°Out: 75.0 mph at -47°Out: 95.7 mph at 46°Out: 99.0 mph at 31°Out: 96.6 mph at -16°Single: 109.5 mph at 10°Single: 103.8 mph at 12°Out: 98.0 mph at 8°Single: 96.3 mph at -2°Single: 93.0 mph at 1°Out: 95.7 mph at 32°Single: 72.6 mph at 18°Out: 75.8 mph at 38°Home run: 104.8 mph at 24°Out: 93.8 mph at 22°Out: 95.8 mph at 51°Out: 63.6 mph at -1°Single: 42.2 mph at -16°Single: 95.3 mph at 5°Out: 69.6 mph at 69°Single: 100.8 mph at 21°Double: 106.6 mph at -24°Home run: 104.7 mph at 32°Out: 94.4 mph at 0°Out: 64.5 mph at -29°Single: 108.9 mph at 1°Out: 102.8 mph at -1°Out: 95.6 mph at 52°Out: 100.3 mph at 22°
48% hit 95+ mph38% in the sweet spot35% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit57.9%58.9%-0.9
2+ total bases30.8%32.0%-1.2
Home run8.8%9.6%-0.8
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+0.2
Pitch mix
-0.6
Bullpen
+0.7
Park
-1.2
2+ total bases
Starter
-0.3
Pitch mix
-0.5
Bullpen
+0.8
Park
-1.1
Home run
Starter
-1.0
Pitch mix
-0.2
Bullpen
+0.5
Park
-0.0

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Pitch by pitch

Moisés Ballesteros against each of Kade Anderson's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball41%93.5+7″ / +16″.343.34914.6%17.3%12About league average vs these
Slider24%87.9-4″ / -1″.299.30530.6%29.8%18About league average vs these
Changeup18%84.8+13″ / +8″.296.30233.4%33.6%6Little history vs this shape
Curveball16%81.8-8″ / -10″.251.25731.1%30.1%12About league average vs these
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Moisés Ballesteros · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G37.167.286.167.229.26814.3%14.3%16.7%79.090.70.0%0.0%40.0%
Last 15 G1118.357.389.429.347.24322.2%5.6%22.9%80.5106.60.0%25.0%33.3%
Last 30 G2038.324.342.382.316.28421.1%2.6%23.4%85.7106.67.1%35.7%35.7%
90 days2753.265.283.306.260.26422.6%1.9%21.3%85.8107.55.1%35.9%33.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 39 balls in play
Ground 49%Line drive 21%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 13%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.071.133.071.107.14840.0%6.7%45.5%86.196.80.0%12.5%25.0%
Last 15 G1438.235.316.412.321.33326.3%10.5%30.3%91.2109.512.5%50.0%41.7%
Last 30 G2781.203.272.351.280.26830.9%8.6%30.2%91.6109.58.3%50.0%31.2%
90 days38117.179.256.283.248.28227.4%9.4%28.3%92.5109.58.2%50.7%30.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 73 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 21%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G522.100.182.100.145.18631.8%9.1%37.8%83.496.80.0%7.7%30.8%
Last 15 G1556.271.339.417.329.30425.0%8.9%27.9%87.7109.58.3%41.7%38.9%
Last 30 G30119.241.294.361.292.27327.7%6.7%28.1%89.4109.57.9%44.7%32.9%
90 days43170.206.265.290.252.27625.9%7.1%26.2%90.2109.57.1%45.5%31.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 112 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 21%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 11%
Moisés Ballesteros · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating25Below average
Last 100 pitches4trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.255 / .290running 35 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPSweeper78.870.625.890Single
Sep 23RHPSplitter89.991.2-15.076Out
Sep 22LHPSlider80.590.732.126Out
Sep 22RHPSinker95.596.812.928Single
Sep 22LHPCurveball74.071.5-9.041Double play
Sep 22LHPFastball90.187.464.014Out
Sep 20RHPSplitter80.074.36.196Double play
Sep 20RHPChangeup84.385.460.015Out
Sep 20RHPFastball90.091.749.009Out
Sep 19RHPSplitter88.775.440.217Out
Sep 19RHPSweeper79.685.947.003Out
Sep 19RHPFastball95.688.027.082Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24511013
Sep 23200001
Sep 22511010
Sep 20400001
Sep 19600002
Sep 18100000
Sep 17411001
Sep 16522010
Sep 15422001
Sep 13414110

Two strikes

Kade Anderson SEA · LHPwith two strikes
Kade Anderson with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Slider24%33%26.7%20.8%21.6%
Fastball41%32%22.6%19.1%18.6%
Changeup18%23%19.0%11.8%18.3%
Curveball16%12%20.0%29.4%21.3%
Sinker2%1%0.0%0.0%17.7%
Moisés Ballesteros bats Lwith two strikes, vs this hand
Moisés Ballesteros with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%43.2%44.1%
Whiff%22.8%22.7%
Contact%77.2%77.3%
Chase%44.3%38.1%
wOBA.214.224
Whiff vs his put-away shapes25.6%25.6%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeCBalanced type
wOBA.308
K%24.5%
BB%8.5%
Whiff%13.2%
Barrel%4.7%
Hard-hit%28.2%
Avg EV89.8

Against left-handers, last 90 days

53 PA
wOBA.278
xwOBA vs this mix.283against pitches like his
RV/100-1.13
Hard-hit%26.6%
K%23.0%
BB%7.1%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Kade AndersonLHP · SEA vs LAA
5.4projected strikeouts · likely 3 to 9 · 21.4 batters over 5.1 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 21.0%21%≤34 strikeouts: 15.7%16%45 strikeouts: 17.2%17%56 strikeouts: 15.5%16%67 strikeouts: 12.1%12%78 strikeouts: 8.2%8%89+ strikeouts: 10.3%10%9+book 5.5
Over 5.5: 46% (red bars) · under: 54%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%21.4%
BB%6.1%
Whiff%12.7%
Velo88.6
BTB Stuff97
Location101
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball41%9093.410.8%
Slider24%10987.812.8%
Changeup18%9684.518.4%
Curveball16%9781.910.5%
Sinker2%10793.014.3%
Last 3 startsTrending Up
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 208429%17%38%.142
Sep 147225%14%35%.368
Sep 98121%12%42%.300

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Kade Anderson SEA · LHPvsLAA lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAA @ SEA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Moisés Ballesteros: every projection we've made →