MLBengine v14
← LAA at SEA, Sep 26, 2026
8:40 PM CT · T-Mobile Park · lineup confirmed
Hitter · LAA · batting 9Tyler Heineman
Switch hitterTalent grade FBalancedNormal
.257wOBA vs LHP.270xwOBA vs his mix3.3expected PA
Starter · SEAKade Anderson
Throws leftBTB Stuff 97Trending Up
5.5projected K21%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Kade Anderson's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 41% usage, 93.5 mph, +7.1″ arm side, +16.0″ rise. Tyler Heineman: wOBA .345 vs league .360 (pitcher's edge).Fastball 41%Slider: 24% usage, 87.9 mph, -4.3″ arm side, -1.1″ rise. Tyler Heineman: wOBA .293 vs league .308 (pitcher's edge).Slider 24%Changeup: 18% usage, 84.8 mph, +12.6″ arm side, +8.3″ rise. Tyler Heineman: wOBA .299 vs league .313 (about even).Changeup 18%Curveball: 16% usage, 81.8 mph, -7.8″ arm side, -10.0″ rise. Tyler Heineman: wOBA .265 vs league .280 (pitcher's edge).Curveball 16%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Tyler Heineman's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Tyler Heineman's last 40 balls in playHit (6)Out (34)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 64.7 mph at -5°Single: 94.8 mph at 18°Out: 94.3 mph at 0°Out: 80.8 mph at -3°Out: 90.0 mph at -22°Out: 92.1 mph at 26°Out: 92.2 mph at -13°Out: 57.4 mph at 32°Out: 87.0 mph at 22°Out: 79.8 mph at -13°Single: 97.7 mph at 8°Out: 44.3 mph at -76°Single: 89.1 mph at 5°Out: 99.3 mph at -16°Out: 91.6 mph at 26°Out: 84.0 mph at 37°Out: 98.0 mph at 10°Out: 79.8 mph at -24°Out: 84.6 mph at -17°Single: 80.6 mph at 17°Out: 71.0 mph at -56°Out: 78.4 mph at -42°Double: 99.3 mph at 18°Out: 76.8 mph at 32°Out: 78.9 mph at -2°Out: 88.4 mph at 42°Out: 79.2 mph at -31°Out: 65.2 mph at -8°Out: 90.8 mph at 22°Out: 28.4 mph at 77°Out: 85.7 mph at 34°Out: 87.2 mph at 33°Out: 70.1 mph at -8°Out: 86.6 mph at 34°Out: 33.0 mph at -1°Out: 79.2 mph at 12°Out: 20.8 mph at 28°Single: 72.4 mph at 14°Out: 65.0 mph at 12°Out: 80.9 mph at 69°
10% hit 95+ mph38% in the sweet spot15% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit54.2%54.3%-0.0
2+ total bases27.3%27.8%-0.5
Home run4.4%4.8%-0.4
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+0.8
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.3
Park
-1.1
2+ total bases
Starter
+0.2
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.4
Park
-1.1
Home run
Starter
-0.5
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-0.0

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Tyler Heineman hits
Where they meet

.297 xwOBA for Tyler Heineman in the spots Kade Anderson throws to righties

The average hitter in those same spots: .310 (-13 points). His best spot against lefties is up and left, outside, and Kade Anderson puts 8% of his pitches there. Context only; the projection reads pitch type, not location.

Kade Anderson · where he throws to right-handed hitters
3% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 10% per swing3%6% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 13% per swing6%3% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 40% per swing3%5% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 7% per swing5%9% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 15% per swing9%8% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 11% per swing8%6% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 12% per swing6%7% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 17% per swing7%3% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 43% per swing3%8% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 36% per swing8%14% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 31% per swing14%20% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 44% per swing20%10% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 26% per swing10%
All · 372 pitches · catcher's view
7% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters7%9% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters9%6% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters6%7% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters7%9% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters9%8% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters8%4% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters4%7% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters7%2% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters2%17% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters17%11% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters11%11% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters11%2% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters2%
Fastball · 149 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters4% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters4%2% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters2%0% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters6% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters6%10% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters10%4% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters4%7% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters7%6% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters6%1% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters1%18% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters18%16% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters16%27% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters27%
Changeup · 83 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters3% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters3%0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters5% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters5%12% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters12%5% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters5%14% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters14%7% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters7%3% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters3%0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters9% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters9%37% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters37%6% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters6%
Slider · 81 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters9% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters9%0% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters5% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters5%10% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters10%7% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters7%3% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters3%7% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters7%2% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters2%3% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters3%20% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters20%24% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters24%10% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters10%
Curveball · 59 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

Tyler Heineman · hot and cold vs LHP
xwOBA .243 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .243 · 2 pitches seenxwOBA .296 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .296 · 3 pitches seenxwOBA .254 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .254 · 6 pitches seenxwOBA .289 shrunk (raw .059 on 1 PA) · league .308 · 1 pitches seen.289xwOBA .331 shrunk (raw .170 on 4 PA) · league .385 · 9 pitches seen.331xwOBA .367 shrunk (raw .474 on 3 PA) · league .340 · 5 pitches seen.367xwOBA .273 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .273 · 3 pitches seenxwOBA .287 shrunk (raw .035 on 3 PA) · league .350 · 4 pitches seen.287xwOBA .250 shrunk (raw .132 on 5 PA) · league .299 · 6 pitches seen.250xwOBA .335 shrunk (raw .729 on 1 PA) · league .302 · 2 pitches seen.335xwOBA .319 shrunk (raw .000 on 1 PA) · league .346 · 8 pitches seen.319xwOBA .289 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .289 · 7 pitches seenxwOBA .238 shrunk (raw .160 on 3 PA) · league .257 · 16 pitches seen.238
vs LHP · 72 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 0% of 2 swings · league 19%0%Whiff 0% of 1 swings · league 21%0%Whiff 0% of 1 swings · league 23%0%Whiff 0% of 1 swings · league 9%0%Whiff 0% of 7 swings · league 10%0%Whiff 25% of 4 swings · league 11%25%Whiff – of 0 swings · league 17%Whiff 0% of 4 swings · league 14%0%Whiff 0% of 5 swings · league 16%0%Whiff – of 0 swings · league 25%Whiff 33% of 3 swings · league 29%33%Whiff 0% of 3 swings · league 48%0%Whiff 29% of 7 swings · league 34%29%
vs LHP · 72 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 100% of 2 pitches · league 63%100%Swings at 33% of 3 pitches · league 71%33%Swings at 17% of 6 pitches · league 64%17%Swings at 100% of 1 pitches · league 67%100%Swings at 78% of 9 pitches · league 76%78%Swings at 80% of 5 pitches · league 72%80%Swings at 0% of 3 pitches · league 59%0%Swings at 100% of 4 pitches · league 68%100%Swings at 83% of 6 pitches · league 66%83%Swings at 0% of 2 pitches · league 30%0%Swings at 38% of 8 pitches · league 26%38%Swings at 43% of 7 pitches · league 31%43%Swings at 44% of 16 pitches · league 41%44%
vs LHP · 72 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Tyler Heineman against each of Kade Anderson's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball41%93.5+7″ / +16″.345.3609.1%16.7%48About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Slider24%87.9-4″ / -1″.293.30828.6%32.3%20About league average vs these
Changeup18%84.8+13″ / +8″.299.31323.0%29.2%17About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Curveball16%81.8-8″ / -10″.265.28027.5%31.9%16About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Tyler Heineman · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G24.000.250.000.175.2960.0%0.0%11.1%77.287.00.0%0.0%33.3%
Last 15 G713.182.250.182.225.2360.0%0.0%9.5%76.399.30.0%16.7%33.3%
Last 30 G1320.125.176.125.182.2170.0%0.0%6.2%73.599.30.0%10.5%21.1%
90 days1524.100.143.100.148.2164.2%0.0%10.5%74.799.30.0%13.6%22.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 22 balls in play
Ground 59%Line drive 14%Fly ball 14%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G39.111.111.111.200.15922.2%0.0%25.0%85.994.80.0%0.0%42.9%
Last 15 G1133.133.161.167.192.21115.2%0.0%22.2%78.699.30.0%7.4%40.7%
Last 30 G2673.200.246.246.250.2669.6%2.7%18.1%74.8106.30.0%9.7%32.3%
90 days2878.200.243.243.245.26010.3%2.6%17.4%75.0106.30.0%9.1%33.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 66 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 18%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 3%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.083.154.083.192.20115.4%0.0%20.7%83.394.80.0%0.0%40.0%
Last 15 G1546.146.186.171.201.21810.9%0.0%19.4%77.999.30.0%10.3%38.5%
Last 30 G3093.185.233.222.237.2577.5%2.2%15.9%74.5106.30.0%9.9%29.6%
90 days33102.178.221.211.224.2508.8%2.0%16.0%74.9106.30.0%10.2%30.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 88 balls in play
Ground 52%Line drive 17%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 6%
Tyler Heineman · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating9Bottom tier
Last 100 pitches13steady
wOBA / xwOBA.199 / .261running 63 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit4/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23LHPChangeup79.064.7-5.069Double play
Sep 19RHPSweeper79.894.818.452Single
Sep 19RHPSplitter89.994.30.273Out
Sep 19RHPFastball98.580.8-3.094Error
Sep 17RHPSplitter91.390.0-22.061Out
Sep 15RHPFastball95.492.126.152Out
Sep 15RHPSlider86.592.2-13.124Out
Sep 15RHPSplitter80.857.432.273Out
Sep 12LHPCurveball84.387.022.327Out
Sep 12LHPCurveball84.379.8-13.058Force out
Sep 9LHPChangeup84.797.78.639Single
Sep 9LHPSinker91.444.3-76–Sac bunt
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23200000
Sep 19311000
Sep 17300002
Sep 15300000
Sep 12200000
Sep 9422000
Sep 7400002
Sep 6300000
Sep 1311000
Aug 31412000

Two strikes

Kade Anderson SEA · LHPwith two strikes
Kade Anderson with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Slider24%33%26.7%20.8%22.2%
Fastball41%32%22.6%19.1%18.4%
Changeup18%23%19.0%11.8%18.3%
Curveball16%12%20.0%29.4%20.9%
Sinker2%1%0.0%0.0%17.8%
Tyler Heineman bats Swith two strikes, vs this hand
Tyler Heineman with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Makes contact on his two-strike stuff more than most
With two strikesHimLeague
K%36.0%41.4%
Whiff%18.6%22.0%
Contact%81.4%78.0%
Chase%44.3%40.7%
wOBA.229.248
Whiff vs his put-away shapes21.2%24.8%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.305
K%15.1%
BB%5.3%
Whiff%9.9%
Barrel%1.7%
Hard-hit%15.0%
Avg EV79.4

Against left-handers, last 90 days

24 PA
wOBA.257
xwOBA vs this mix.270against pitches like his
RV/100-1.73
Hard-hit%20.2%
K%16.1%
BB%3.7%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Kade AndersonLHP · SEA vs LAA6 days' rest
5.5projected strikeouts · likely 3 to 9 · 21.4 batters over 5.1 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 20.8%21%≤34 strikeouts: 15.6%16%45 strikeouts: 17.1%17%56 strikeouts: 15.5%16%67 strikeouts: 12.1%12%78 strikeouts: 8.4%8%89+ strikeouts: 10.5%11%9+book 5.5
Over 5.5: 47% (red bars) · under: 53%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%21.4%
BB%6.1%
Whiff%12.7%
Velo88.6
BTB Stuff97
Location101
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Fastball41%9093.410.8%
Slider24%10987.812.8%
Changeup18%9684.518.4%
Curveball16%9781.910.5%
Sinker2%10793.014.3%
Last 3 startsTrending Up
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 208429%17%38%.142
Sep 147225%14%35%.368
Sep 98121%12%42%.300

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Kade Anderson SEA · LHPvsLAA lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.7%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAA @ SEA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Tyler Heineman: every projection we've made →