Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Wade Meckler's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 64.3% | 64.7% | -0.3 |
| 2+ total bases | 32.2% | 33.1% | -0.9 |
| Home run | 5.6% | 6.7% | -1.1 |
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Pitch by pitch
Wade Meckler against each of Kade Anderson's pitches| His pitch | Usage | Velo | Movement | His wOBA | League | His whiff% | League | Sample | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 41% | 93.5 | +7″ / +16″ | .350 | .349 | 11.8% | 17.3% | 10 | About league average vs these |
| Slider | 24% | 87.9 | -4″ / -1″ | .306 | .305 | 21.6% | 29.8% | 5 | Little history vs this shape |
| Changeup | 18% | 84.8 | +13″ / +8″ | .303 | .302 | 27.1% | 33.6% | 7 | Little history vs this shape |
| Curveball | 16% | 81.8 | -8″ / -10″ | .259 | .257 | 21.8% | 30.1% | 2 | Little history vs this shape |
Statcast
opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 4 | 9 | .375 | .444 | .375 | .425 | .428 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 85.4 | 97.8 | 0.0% | 16.7% | 16.7% |
| Last 15 G | 11 | 18 | .333 | .444 | .333 | .388 | .423 | 11.1% | 16.7% | 10.7% | 86.3 | 100.1 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 33.3% |
| Last 30 G | 17 | 27 | .227 | .346 | .227 | .300 | .362 | 14.8% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 81.9 | 100.1 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 22.2% |
| 90 days | 25 | 40 | .314 | .385 | .343 | .349 | .318 | 12.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 81.6 | 100.1 | 0.0% | 23.3% | 20.0% |
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 15 | .308 | .400 | .308 | .333 | .468 | 13.3% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 95.7 | 102.2 | 9.1% | 63.6% | 63.6% |
| Last 15 G | 14 | 40 | .286 | .375 | .314 | .321 | .336 | 17.5% | 10.0% | 17.5% | 89.6 | 102.2 | 3.6% | 46.4% | 35.7% |
| Last 30 G | 28 | 93 | .305 | .387 | .354 | .349 | .331 | 15.1% | 10.8% | 18.4% | 87.2 | 102.2 | 2.9% | 42.6% | 32.4% |
| 90 days | 59 | 181 | .298 | .372 | .354 | .338 | .321 | 19.3% | 9.4% | 19.9% | 86.3 | 102.5 | 1.6% | 38.6% | 35.4% |
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 24 | .333 | .417 | .333 | .365 | .454 | 12.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 92.1 | 102.2 | 5.9% | 47.1% | 47.1% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 58 | .300 | .397 | .320 | .341 | .362 | 15.5% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 88.6 | 102.2 | 2.5% | 40.0% | 35.0% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 120 | .288 | .378 | .327 | .339 | .338 | 15.0% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 86.1 | 102.2 | 2.3% | 40.7% | 30.2% |
| 90 days | 62 | 221 | .301 | .374 | .352 | .340 | .320 | 18.1% | 9.0% | 18.0% | 85.4 | 102.5 | 1.3% | 35.7% | 32.5% |
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 94.7 | 96.9 | 13 | .907 | Single |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Sinker | 95.7 | 102.2 | 11 | .912 | Single |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Fastball | 91.0 | 93.4 | -4 | .248 | Single |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Fastball | 92.3 | 97.8 | 15 | .758 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Cutter | 90.8 | 100.1 | 30 | .942 | Out |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Slider | 83.2 | 94.9 | 2 | .415 | Single |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Fastball | 97.2 | 95.7 | 20 | .360 | Out |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Fastball | 90.4 | 94.9 | -9 | .212 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Cutter | 89.8 | 91.2 | 3 | .398 | Single |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Splitter | 79.7 | 89.4 | 34 | .027 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Changeup | 83.9 | 100.9 | 6 | .562 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Sinker | 90.2 | 98.3 | 19 | .380 | Out |
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Sep 23 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 22 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 17 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Sep 15 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Two strikes
| Pitch | Overall | 2 strikes | Whiff% | Put-away | League put-away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slider | 24% | 33% | 26.7% | 20.8% | 21.6% |
| Fastball | 41% | 32% | 22.6% | 19.1% | 18.6% |
| Changeup | 18% | 23% | 19.0% | 11.8% | 18.3% |
| Curveball | 16% | 12% | 20.0% | 29.4% | 21.3% |
| Sinker | 2% | 1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.7% |
| With two strikes | Him | League |
|---|---|---|
| K% | 38.1% | 44.1% |
| Whiff% | 20.6% | 22.7% |
| Contact% | 79.4% | 77.3% |
| Chase% | 36.1% | 38.1% |
| wOBA | .228 | .224 |
| Whiff vs his put-away shapes | 23.3% | 25.6% |
The hitter
season-level talent readAgainst left-handers, last 90 days
39 PATalent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
| Date | Pitches | K% | Whiff% | Hard-hit% | wOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20 | 84 | 29% | 17% | 38% | .142 |
| Sep 14 | 72 | 25% | 14% | 35% | .368 |
| Sep 9 | 81 | 21% | 12% | 42% | .300 |
Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.
3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight
Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.