MLBengine v14
← LAA at SEA, Sep 26, 2026
8:40 PM CT · T-Mobile Park · lineup projected
Hitter · LAA · batting 1Zach Neto
Bats rightTalent grade CBalancedNormal
.381wOBA vs LHP.343xwOBA vs his mix4.0expected PA
Starter · SEAKade Anderson
Throws leftBTB Stuff 97Trending Up
5.4projected K21%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Kade Anderson's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 41% usage, 93.5 mph, +7.1″ arm side, +16.0″ rise. Zach Neto: wOBA .361 vs league .347 (about even).Fastball 41%Slider: 24% usage, 87.9 mph, -4.3″ arm side, -1.1″ rise. Zach Neto: wOBA .312 vs league .299 (about even).Slider 24%Changeup: 18% usage, 84.8 mph, +12.6″ arm side, +8.3″ rise. Zach Neto: wOBA .316 vs league .303 (about even).Changeup 18%Curveball: 16% usage, 81.8 mph, -7.8″ arm side, -10.0″ rise. Zach Neto: wOBA .308 vs league .295 (about even).Curveball 16%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Zach Neto's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Zach Neto's last 40 balls in playHit (15)Out (25)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Single: 94.6 mph at 22°Out: 68.3 mph at 43°Out: 95.5 mph at 41°Single: 108.4 mph at 15°Single: 95.7 mph at 9°Out: 108.2 mph at 18°Out: 83.4 mph at 39°Out: 87.3 mph at 66°Out: 92.6 mph at 31°Out: 106.2 mph at 6°Out: 102.8 mph at 43°Out: 103.2 mph at 39°Single: 95.2 mph at 4°Single: 90.1 mph at 15°Out: 83.3 mph at 63°Out: 82.9 mph at 55°Single: 102.6 mph at 9°Triple: 98.0 mph at 13°Out: 91.4 mph at 54°Home run: 107.1 mph at 26°Out: 73.0 mph at 7°Out: 95.2 mph at 45°Out: 90.2 mph at -19°Out: 52.4 mph at -63°Out: 76.9 mph at 67°Out: 87.7 mph at 61°Out: 98.7 mph at 38°Out: 85.0 mph at 8°Home run: 106.0 mph at 25°Single: 95.0 mph at 17°Single: 86.3 mph at 16°Out: 98.5 mph at 22°Home run: 104.2 mph at 38°Double: 91.3 mph at 21°Single: 90.8 mph at 16°Out: 76.7 mph at -7°Out: 82.3 mph at 10°Out: 83.2 mph at 31°Single: 99.7 mph at 1°Out: 90.6 mph at 38°
45% hit 95+ mph45% in the sweet spot38% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit62.6%60.5%+2.1
2+ total bases41.2%38.8%+2.4
Home run17.5%15.1%+2.4
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+1.5
Pitch mix
+1.5
Bullpen
+0.3
Park
-1.1
2+ total bases
Starter
+1.7
Pitch mix
+1.6
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-1.1
Home run
Starter
+1.4
Pitch mix
+0.9
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-0.1

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Pitch by pitch

Zach Neto against each of Kade Anderson's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball41%93.5+7″ / +16″.361.34717.0%17.7%28About league average vs these
Slider24%87.9-4″ / -1″.312.29936.6%30.5%9About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Changeup18%84.8+13″ / +8″.316.30337.9%31.1%18About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Curveball16%81.8-8″ / -10″.308.29535.1%28.9%7Little history vs this shape
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Zach Neto · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G35.400.400.400.360.27820.0%0.0%14.3%96.7108.40.0%75.0%50.0%
Last 15 G821.450.476.850.557.47119.0%4.8%18.6%95.5108.412.5%68.8%62.5%
Last 30 G1641.385.415.692.468.42019.5%2.4%22.5%92.0108.412.9%51.6%64.5%
90 days4098.337.357.568.396.35120.4%2.0%28.8%91.0109.710.7%52.0%48.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 75 balls in play
Ground 29%Line drive 25%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.083.389.083.283.35533.3%27.8%40.9%92.2108.216.7%33.3%50.0%
Last 15 G1547.147.383.265.320.35131.9%21.3%40.0%89.5108.210.5%31.6%31.6%
Last 30 G2994.211.362.355.330.34433.0%13.8%33.3%91.8108.28.9%40.0%46.7%
90 days71228.208.316.330.295.29432.0%11.0%33.5%89.1108.28.1%39.5%37.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 124 balls in play
Ground 30%Line drive 19%Fly ball 34%Pop-up 17%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G523.176.391.176.300.33930.4%21.7%34.5%94.0108.410.0%50.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1568.259.412.481.393.38827.9%16.2%31.9%92.2108.411.4%48.6%45.7%
Last 30 G30135.270.378.470.372.36728.9%10.4%29.5%91.9108.410.5%44.7%53.9%
90 days74326.250.328.408.325.31228.5%8.3%32.1%89.8109.79.0%44.2%41.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 199 balls in play
Ground 30%Line drive 22%Fly ball 34%Pop-up 15%
Zach Neto · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating61Average
Last 100 pitches91trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.331 / .328results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSinker95.794.622.243Single
Sep 24RHPCurveball81.168.343.371Out
Sep 23LHPSweeper79.595.541.053Out
Sep 23LHPChangeup79.9108.415.748Single
Sep 22LHPChangeup86.895.79.584Single
Sep 22RHPSinker97.4108.218.815Out
Sep 22RHPSweeper84.383.439.026Out
Sep 22LHPFastball92.287.366.007Out
Sep 20RHPFastball88.892.631.165Out
Sep 19RHPCutter92.4106.26.553Out
Sep 18LHPCurveball84.2102.843.306Out
Sep 17RHPCutter84.9103.239.615Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24511012
Sep 23411020
Sep 22511010
Sep 20300002
Sep 19600013
Sep 18400021
Sep 17500013
Sep 16522011
Sep 15400011
Sep 14424001

Two strikes

Kade Anderson SEA · LHPwith two strikes
Kade Anderson with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Slider24%33%26.7%20.8%21.6%
Fastball41%32%22.6%19.1%18.6%
Changeup18%23%19.0%11.8%18.3%
Curveball16%12%20.0%29.4%21.3%
Sinker2%1%0.0%0.0%17.7%
Zach Neto bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Zach Neto with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%39.1%41.6%
Whiff%22.2%21.7%
Contact%77.8%78.3%
Chase%42.2%40.0%
wOBA.265.245
Whiff vs his put-away shapes24.5%24.0%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeCBalanced type
wOBA.333
K%28.1%
BB%8.1%
Whiff%15.4%
Barrel%5.9%
Hard-hit%27.0%
Avg EV89.8

Against left-handers, last 90 days

98 PA
wOBA.381
xwOBA vs this mix.343against pitches like his
RV/1001.55
Hard-hit%37.0%
K%21.5%
BB%8.4%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Kade AndersonLHP · SEA vs LAA
5.4projected strikeouts · likely 3 to 9 · 21.4 batters over 5.1 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 21.0%21%≤34 strikeouts: 15.7%16%45 strikeouts: 17.2%17%56 strikeouts: 15.5%16%67 strikeouts: 12.1%12%78 strikeouts: 8.2%8%89+ strikeouts: 10.3%10%9+book 5.5
Over 5.5: 46% (red bars) · under: 54%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%21.4%
BB%6.1%
Whiff%12.7%
Velo88.6
BTB Stuff97
Location101
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball41%9093.410.8%
Slider24%10987.812.8%
Changeup18%9684.518.4%
Curveball16%9781.910.5%
Sinker2%10793.014.3%
Last 3 startsTrending Up
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 208429%17%38%.142
Sep 147225%14%35%.368
Sep 98121%12%42%.300

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Kade Anderson SEA · LHPvsLAA lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAA @ SEA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Zach Neto: every projection we've made →