MLBengine v14
← LAD at SF, Sep 26, 2026
3:05 PM CT · Oracle Park · lineup confirmed
Hitter · LAD · batting 7Alex Call
Bats rightTalent grade FBalancedNormal
.309wOBA vs LHP.297xwOBA vs his mix3.5expected PA
Starter · SFMatt Wilkinson
Throws leftBTB Stuff 85Trending Up
2.7projected K18%K%1.0trips vs this hitter
Matt Wilkinson's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 58% usage, 90.5 mph, +11.5″ arm side, +13.8″ rise. Alex Call: wOBA .376 vs league .368 (about even).Fastball 58%Changeup: 23% usage, 83.8 mph, +14.5″ arm side, +8.7″ rise. Alex Call: wOBA .319 vs league .311 (about even).Changeup 23%Slider: 14% usage, 79.2 mph, -10.3″ arm side, +1.6″ rise. Alex Call: wOBA .327 vs league .320 (about even).Slider 14%Cutter: 6% usage, 83.9 mph, -1.0″ arm side, +5.0″ rise. Alex Call: wOBA .349 vs league .342 (about even).Cutter 6%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Alex Call's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Alex Call's last 38 balls in playHit (9)Out (29)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 83.1 mph at 29°Out: 83.2 mph at 67°Out: 97.0 mph at 38°Out: 85.0 mph at -48°Out: 63.9 mph at 85°Out: 40.1 mph at 16°Out: 77.0 mph at 51°Out: 64.8 mph at 52°Out: 88.2 mph at 1°Out: 88.9 mph at 11°Out: 84.5 mph at 33°Single: 87.7 mph at 11°Out: 76.9 mph at -1°Out: 82.6 mph at 36°Double: 93.8 mph at 15°Out: 91.4 mph at 32°Out: 71.6 mph at -12°Out: 85.7 mph at 26°Out: 89.6 mph at 45°Single: 88.1 mph at 13°Single: 84.8 mph at 21°Single: 87.6 mph at 14°Single: 37.2 mph at -18°Out: 93.3 mph at -19°Double: 89.5 mph at -8°Out: 78.9 mph at -9°Out: 90.6 mph at 20°Out: 76.5 mph at 71°Out: 98.6 mph at 9°Double: 102.2 mph at 21°Out: 75.2 mph at 35°Out: 86.6 mph at 4°Out: 86.5 mph at 4°Single: 99.5 mph at 0°Out: 83.2 mph at -22°Out: 66.1 mph at -6°Out: 83.8 mph at -18°Out: 93.1 mph at 36°
11% hit 95+ mph34% in the sweet spot24% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit50.0%48.9%+1.1
2+ total bases27.6%27.1%+0.5
Home run5.5%5.5%+0.1
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+1.9
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-1.0
2+ total bases
Starter
+1.7
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.3
Home run
Starter
+1.2
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.0
Park
-1.2

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Alex Call hits
Where they meet

.315 xwOBA for Alex Call in the spots Matt Wilkinson throws to righties

The average hitter in those same spots: .313 (+2 points). His best spot against lefties is down and left, outside, and Matt Wilkinson puts 13% of his pitches there. Context only; the projection reads pitch type, not location.

Matt Wilkinson · where he throws to right-handed hitters
1% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing1%4% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 25% per swing4%5% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 8% per swing5%2% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing2%8% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 7% per swing8%6% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing6%2% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing2%5% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing5%7% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 33% per swing7%4% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 50% per swing4%28% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 29% per swing28%13% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 43% per swing13%16% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 13% per swing16%
All · 290 pitches · catcher's view
1% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters1%7% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters7%9% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters9%3% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters3%12% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters12%5% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters5%2% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters2%5% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters5%5% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters5%6% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters6%31% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters31%5% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters5%8% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters8%
Fastball · 168 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters1% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters1%5% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters5%3% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters3%5% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters5%14% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters14%0% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters14% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters14%28% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters28%30% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters30%
Changeup · 79 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters3% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters3%3% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters3%13% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters13%3% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters3%0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters3% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters3%0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters40% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters40%23% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters23%10% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters10%
Slider · 30 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

Alex Call · hot and cold vs LHP
xwOBA .224 shrunk (raw .000 on 1 PA) · league .243 · 3 pitches seen.224xwOBA .296 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .296 · 4 pitches seenxwOBA .234 shrunk (raw .000 on 1 PA) · league .254 · 6 pitches seen.234xwOBA .264 shrunk (raw .003 on 2 PA) · league .308 · 6 pitches seen.264xwOBA .416 shrunk (raw .540 on 3 PA) · league .385 · 6 pitches seen.416xwOBA .344 shrunk (raw .397 on 1 PA) · league .340 · 6 pitches seen.344xwOBA .249 shrunk (raw .104 on 2 PA) · league .273 · 7 pitches seen.249xwOBA .335 shrunk (raw .154 on 1 PA) · league .350 · 6 pitches seen.335xwOBA .315 shrunk (raw .509 on 1 PA) · league .299 · 4 pitches seen.315xwOBA .259 shrunk (raw .000 on 2 PA) · league .302 · 9 pitches seen.259xwOBA .347 shrunk (raw .349 on 4 PA) · league .346 · 17 pitches seen.347xwOBA .333 shrunk (raw .408 on 7 PA) · league .289 · 29 pitches seen.333xwOBA .241 shrunk (raw .144 on 2 PA) · league .257 · 15 pitches seen.241
vs LHP · 118 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff – of 0 swings · league 19%Whiff 50% of 2 swings · league 21%50%Whiff – of 0 swings · league 23%Whiff 33% of 3 swings · league 9%33%Whiff 0% of 6 swings · league 10%0%Whiff 0% of 2 swings · league 11%0%Whiff 0% of 6 swings · league 17%0%Whiff 0% of 4 swings · league 14%0%Whiff 0% of 1 swings · league 16%0%Whiff 17% of 6 swings · league 25%17%Whiff 50% of 4 swings · league 29%50%Whiff 36% of 14 swings · league 48%36%Whiff 20% of 5 swings · league 34%20%
vs LHP · 118 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 0% of 3 pitches · league 63%0%Swings at 50% of 4 pitches · league 71%50%Swings at 0% of 6 pitches · league 64%0%Swings at 50% of 6 pitches · league 67%50%Swings at 100% of 6 pitches · league 76%100%Swings at 33% of 6 pitches · league 72%33%Swings at 86% of 7 pitches · league 59%86%Swings at 67% of 6 pitches · league 68%67%Swings at 25% of 4 pitches · league 66%25%Swings at 67% of 9 pitches · league 30%67%Swings at 24% of 17 pitches · league 26%24%Swings at 48% of 29 pitches · league 31%48%Swings at 33% of 15 pitches · league 41%33%
vs LHP · 118 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Alex Call against each of Matt Wilkinson's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball58%90.5+12″ / +14″.376.36813.4%15.8%159About league average vs these
Changeup23%83.8+15″ / +9″.319.31125.3%30.6%42About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Slider14%79.2-10″ / +2″.327.32023.1%27.0%43About league average vs these
Cutter6%83.9-1″ / +5″.349.34222.9%26.2%47About league average vs these
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Alex Call · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G24.000.250.000.175.21425.0%25.0%0.0%90.197.00.0%50.0%0.0%
Last 15 G918.154.389.231.314.30033.3%16.7%18.2%89.397.00.0%14.3%42.9%
Last 30 G1627.190.370.286.315.27537.0%14.8%20.8%90.5102.20.0%27.3%36.4%
90 days1627.190.370.286.315.27537.0%14.8%20.8%90.5102.20.0%27.3%36.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 11 balls in play
Ground 18%Line drive 27%Fly ball 46%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G37.000.143.000.100.1810.0%14.3%9.1%69.085.00.0%0.0%33.3%
Last 15 G920.118.250.118.195.24915.0%10.0%18.2%77.391.40.0%0.0%42.9%
Last 30 G2139.147.256.176.214.25117.9%7.7%13.6%79.398.60.0%3.7%33.3%
90 days2139.147.256.176.214.25117.9%7.7%13.6%79.398.60.0%3.7%33.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 27 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 22%Fly ball 15%Pop-up 15%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G511.000.182.000.127.1939.1%18.2%5.6%74.397.00.0%12.5%25.0%
Last 15 G1538.133.316.167.251.27323.7%13.2%18.2%81.397.00.0%4.8%42.9%
Last 30 G3066.164.303.218.255.26125.8%10.6%16.8%82.5102.20.0%10.5%34.2%
90 days3066.164.303.218.255.26125.8%10.6%16.8%82.5102.20.0%10.5%34.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 38 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 24%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 13%
Alex Call · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating10Poor
Last 100 pitches12steady
wOBA / xwOBA.257 / .263results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit2/12
2+ total bases1/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 19RHPSinker92.483.129.089Out
Sep 18LHPFastball94.083.267.003Out
Sep 16LHPSweeper82.697.038.154Out
Sep 13RHPSlider89.085.0-48.109Out
Sep 13RHPSinker96.863.985.000Out
Sep 13RHPSplitter82.940.116.235Out
Sep 13RHPSlider90.977.051.070Out
Sep 9RHPKnuckleball51.964.852.063Out
Sep 8LHPChangeup87.588.21.288Out
Sep 8RHPSweeper82.188.911.592Out
Sep 7RHPSweeper84.384.533.028Out
Sep 6LHPChangeup78.587.711.509Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 19100000
Sep 18200010
Sep 16200001
Sep 13400000
Sep 9200010
Sep 8300001
Sep 7400011
Sep 6111000
Sep 5400001
Sep 4312001

Two strikes

Matt Wilkinson SF · LHPwith two strikes
Matt Wilkinson with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball58%62%19.0%22.0%18.4%
Changeup23%20%27.3%15.8%18.3%
Slider14%14%16.7%7.7%22.2%
Cutter6%5%25.0%20.0%18.3%
Alex Call bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Alex Call with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Makes contact on his two-strike stuff more than most
With two strikesHimLeague
K%35.3%41.4%
Whiff%17.5%22.0%
Contact%82.5%78.0%
Chase%37.8%40.7%
wOBA.262.248
Whiff vs his put-away shapes15.2%19.3%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.325
K%20.7%
BB%10.3%
Whiff%9.5%
Barrel%2.5%
Hard-hit%18.0%
Avg EV86.1

Against left-handers, last 90 days

27 PA
wOBA.309
xwOBA vs this mix.297against pitches like his
RV/100-0.26
Hard-hit%19.2%
K%27.8%
BB%9.4%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Matt WilkinsonLHP · SF vs LAD6 days' rest
2.7projected strikeouts · likely 1 to 5 · 16.5 batters over 3.8 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 71.5%72%≤34 strikeouts: 14.8%15%45 strikeouts: 8.0%8%56 strikeouts: 3.6%4%67 strikeouts: 1.4%1%78 strikeouts: 0.5%1%89+ strikeouts: 0.2%0%9+book 3.5
Over 3.5: 28% (red bars) · under: 72%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%18.2%
BB%4.0%
Whiff%7.6%
Velo87.0
BTB Stuff85
Location107
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Fastball55%8290.37.5%
Changeup25%8583.78.3%
Slider14%9679.17.1%
Cutter7%8683.65.3%
Last 3 startsTrending Up
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 207633%12%6%.189
Sep 46212%3%41%.594
Aug 299018%6%32%.186

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Matt Wilkinson SF · LHPvsLAD lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

5 of 12 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.7%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAD @ SF →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Alex Call: every projection we've made →