Hunter Feduccia vs Matt Wilkinson, Sep 26, 2026

← LAD at SF, Sep 26, 2026

3:05 PM CT · Oracle Park · lineup projected

Hitter · LAD · batting 8Hunter Feduccia

Bats leftTalent grade FBalancedNormal

.257wOBA vs LHP.289xwOBA vs his mix3.4expected PA

Starter · SFMatt Wilkinson

Throws leftBTB Stuff 85Trending Up

3.0projected K18%K%1.4trips vs this hitter

1+ hit-0.3 pts matchup

2+ total bases-1.1 pts matchup

Home run-1.7 pts matchup

Matt Wilkinson's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Hunter Feduccia's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Hunter Feduccia's last 40 balls in playHit (11)Out (29)Barrel zone

35% hit 95+ mph38% in the sweet spot28% fell for hits

Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
Market	BTB	Without the matchup	Matchup
1+ hit	54.4%	54.6%	-0.3
2+ total bases	27.3%	28.3%	-1.1
Home run	5.3%	7.0%	-1.7

What moves the number

1+ hit

Starter

+0.9

Pitch mix

-0.4

Bullpen

+0.3

Park

-1.1

2+ total bases

Starter

+0.3

Pitch mix

-0.3

Bullpen

+0.4

Park

-1.4

Home run

Starter

-0.7

Pitch mix

-0.1

Bullpen

+0.2

Park

-1.1

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Pitch by pitch

Hunter Feduccia against each of Matt Wilkinson's pitches

Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.
His pitch	Usage	Velo	Movement	His wOBA	League	His whiff%	League	Sample	Read
Fastball	58%	90.5	+12″ / +14″	.336	.347	10.9%	12.7%	8	Little history vs this shape
Changeup	23%	83.8	+15″ / +9″	.290	.302	31.7%	33.3%	2	Little history vs this shape
Slider	14%	79.2	-10″ / +2″	.279	.290	27.8%	28.5%	5	Little history vs this shape
Cutter	6%	83.9	-1″ / +5″	.312	.323	25.9%	29.0%	3	Little history vs this shape

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight

Hunter Feduccia · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games

vs LHPvs RHPAll

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	3	4	.000	.000	.000	.000	.144	25.0%	0.0%	0.0%	77.5	88.1	0.0%	0.0%	66.7%
Last 15 G	6	8	.000	.000	.000	.000	.092	37.5%	0.0%	25.0%	82.4	90.5	0.0%	0.0%	40.0%
Last 30 G	14	22	.095	.136	.190	.145	.248	22.7%	4.5%	18.4%	88.1	107.4	6.2%	31.2%	43.8%
90 days	17	26	.080	.115	.160	.123	.227	23.1%	3.8%	19.6%	81.9	107.4	5.3%	26.3%	36.8%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 19 balls in play

Ground 37%Line drive 26%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 11%

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	4	15	.200	.467	.200	.353	.366	6.7%	33.3%	6.7%	88.4	101.1	0.0%	44.4%	11.1%
Last 15 G	14	39	.241	.421	.241	.384	.335	15.4%	23.1%	13.0%	84.1	106.4	4.2%	37.5%	29.2%
Last 30 G	27	69	.268	.397	.339	.373	.366	17.4%	17.4%	17.5%	87.1	107.9	4.4%	42.2%	42.2%
90 days	40	105	.273	.379	.398	.371	.351	17.1%	14.3%	18.6%	88.2	108.2	5.6%	43.1%	36.1%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 72 balls in play

Ground 47%Line drive 22%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 4%

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	5	19	.143	.368	.143	.279	.319	10.5%	26.3%	5.6%	85.7	101.1	0.0%	33.3%	25.0%
Last 15 G	15	47	.189	.348	.189	.317	.293	19.1%	19.1%	15.2%	83.8	106.4	3.4%	31.0%	31.0%
Last 30 G	30	91	.221	.333	.299	.317	.337	18.7%	14.3%	17.8%	87.4	107.9	4.9%	39.3%	42.6%
90 days	43	131	.230	.326	.345	.321	.326	18.3%	12.2%	18.8%	86.9	108.2	5.5%	39.6%	36.3%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 91 balls in play

Ground 45%Line drive 23%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 6%

Hunter Feduccia · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

xwOBA63.326

Avg EV3786.9

Max EV32108.2

Barrel%415.5%

Hard-hit%5639.6%

Sweet-spot%5836.3%

K%7218.3%

BB%8712.2%

Whiff%7118.8%

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal

Contact rating76Above average

Last 100 pitches26trending down

wOBA / xwOBA.302 / .342running 40 points behind his contact

Last 12 games, oldest to newest

Hit4/12

2+ total bases0/12

Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
Date	Pitcher	Pitch	Velo	EV	LA	xwOBA	Result
Sep 24	RHP	Curveball	79.2	85.3	-7	.088	Out
Sep 24	RHP	Cutter	90.0	97.2	29	.434	Out
Sep 24	RHP	Fastball	99.8	91.3	57	.016	Out
Sep 24	RHP	Changeup	87.5	67.5	-47	.199	Out
Sep 20	LHP	Fastball	91.0	80.1	26	.226	Out
Sep 17	RHP	Sinker	88.8	87.9	42	.004	Out
Sep 17	LHP	Sweeper	84.4	64.4	13	.180	Out
Sep 15	RHP	Slider	86.5	96.5	0	.350	Single
Sep 15	RHP	Curveball	86.8	101.1	4	.489	Out
Sep 12	RHP	Slider	84.3	98.3	-1	.365	Single
Sep 12	LHP	Sinker	92.6	88.1	-6	.171	Out
Sep 12	RHP	Sinker	95.4	70.9	-10	.054	Out

Total bases, last 10 games★ home run

112

115

017

020

024

Last 10 games.
Date	PA	H	TB	BB	K
Sep 24	4	0	0	0	0
Sep 20	2	0	0	0	1
Sep 17	5	0	0	2	1
Sep 15	4	1	1	2	0
Sep 12	4	1	1	1	0
Sep 9	5	0	0	1	0
Sep 7	3	0	0	0	3
Sep 6	1	0	0	1	0
Sep 5	3	1	1	0	1
Sep 2	4	1	1	0	2

Two strikes

Matt Wilkinson SF · LHPwith two strikes

Usage, overall to two strikesOverall Two strikes

Fastball+3 pts

Changeup-3 pts

Slider-0 pts

Cutter-0 pts

Matt Wilkinson with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
Pitch	Overall	2 strikes	Whiff%	Put-away	League put-away
Fastball	58%	62%	19.0%	22.0%	18.6%
Changeup	23%	20%	27.3%	15.8%	18.3%
Slider	14%	14%	16.7%	7.7%	21.6%
Cutter	6%	5%	25.0%	20.0%	17.8%

Hunter Feduccia bats Lwith two strikes, vs this hand

Hunter Feduccia with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Little two-strike history vs these shapes
With two strikes	Him	League
K%	42.7%	44.1%
Whiff%	23.1%	22.7%
Contact%	76.9%	77.3%
Chase%	37.0%	38.1%
wOBA	.222	.224
Whiff vs his put-away shapes	20.0%	19.7%

The hitter

season-level talent read

Talent gradeFBalanced type

wOBA.287

K%21.5%

BB%12.0%

Whiff%8.7%

Barrel%3.7%

Hard-hit%24.8%

Avg EV87.4

Against left-handers, last 90 days

26 PA

wOBA.257

xwOBA vs this mix.289against pitches like his

RV/100-1.30

Hard-hit%24.1%

K%22.5%

BB%11.6%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Matt WilkinsonLHP · SF vs LAD

3.0projected strikeouts · likely 1 to 5 · 16.5 batters over 3.8 innings

Over 2.5: 57% (red bars) · under: 43%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.

K%18.2%

BB%4.0%

Whiff%7.6%

Velo87.0

BTB Stuff85

Location107

PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff

Fastball55%8290.37.5%

Changeup25%8583.78.3%

Slider14%9679.17.1%

Cutter7%8683.65.3%

Last 3 startsTrending Up

Date	Pitches	K%	Whiff%	Hard-hit%	wOBA
Sep 20	76	33%	12%	6%	.189
Sep 4	62	12%	3%	41%	.594
Aug 29	90	18%	6%	32%	.186

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Matt Wilkinson SF · LHPvsLAD lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

1Shohei Ohtani25%

2Mookie Betts7%

3Freddie Freeman19%

4Teoscar Hernández22%

5Kyle Tucker15%

6Max Muncy29%

7Andy Pages17%

8Hunter Feduccia23%

9Tommy Edman25%

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAD @ SF →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Hunter Feduccia: every projection we've made →