MLBengine v14
← LAD at SF, Sep 26, 2026
3:05 PM CT · Oracle Park · lineup projected
Hitter · LAD · batting 2Mookie Betts
Bats rightTalent grade BPowerHot
.372wOBA vs LHP.350xwOBA vs his mix3.9expected PA
Starter · SFMatt Wilkinson
Throws leftBTB Stuff 85Trending Up
3.0projected K18%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Matt Wilkinson's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 58% usage, 90.5 mph, +11.5″ arm side, +13.8″ rise. Mookie Betts: wOBA .367 vs league .357 (about even).Fastball 58%Changeup: 23% usage, 83.8 mph, +14.5″ arm side, +8.7″ rise. Mookie Betts: wOBA .309 vs league .299 (about even).Changeup 23%Slider: 14% usage, 79.2 mph, -10.3″ arm side, +1.6″ rise. Mookie Betts: wOBA .324 vs league .315 (about even).Slider 14%Cutter: 6% usage, 83.9 mph, -1.0″ arm side, +5.0″ rise. Mookie Betts: wOBA .344 vs league .334 (about even).Cutter 6%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Mookie Betts's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Mookie Betts's last 40 balls in playHit (17)Out (23)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Single: 103.5 mph at 8°Single: 87.9 mph at 16°Out: 86.0 mph at 3°Double: 102.7 mph at 14°Out: 85.4 mph at -5°Out: 91.9 mph at -19°Out: 87.8 mph at 37°Double: 99.8 mph at 20°Out: 92.4 mph at 24°Out: 81.4 mph at 31°Out: 91.6 mph at -26°Out: 83.1 mph at 77°Out: 92.8 mph at 33°Out: 83.2 mph at 42°Out: 50.9 mph at -50°Double: 105.2 mph at 7°Single: 97.7 mph at 0°Double: 101.6 mph at 18°Double: 101.3 mph at 12°Single: 105.0 mph at 9°Out: 79.5 mph at 70°Home run: 99.3 mph at 27°Home run: 101.3 mph at 26°Single: 87.4 mph at 17°Single: 105.5 mph at 7°Single: 105.4 mph at 1°Out: 94.2 mph at 11°Out: 91.5 mph at 25°Out: 88.6 mph at 39°Out: 93.2 mph at 33°Out: 89.7 mph at 73°Out: 99.4 mph at 0°Out: 94.8 mph at 26°Out: 76.3 mph at -5°Single: 105.5 mph at 2°Out: 73.8 mph at 1°Double: 97.6 mph at 22°Out: 94.8 mph at 64°Out: 96.0 mph at -1°Home run: 103.5 mph at 28°
43% hit 95+ mph43% in the sweet spot43% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit68.1%67.3%+0.8
2+ total bases41.1%40.8%+0.3
Home run9.0%9.7%-0.7
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+1.0
Pitch mix
+0.9
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.2
2+ total bases
Starter
+1.1
Pitch mix
+1.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.8
Home run
Starter
+0.7
Pitch mix
+0.4
Bullpen
+0.0
Park
-1.8

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Pitch by pitch

Mookie Betts against each of Matt Wilkinson's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball58%90.5+12″ / +14″.367.3575.3%16.8%35About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Changeup23%83.8+15″ / +9″.309.29917.1%32.7%14About league average vs these
Slider14%79.2-10″ / +2″.324.31512.7%25.1%6Little history vs this shape
Cutter6%83.9-1″ / +5″.344.3348.1%24.2%11About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Mookie Betts · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G46.000.167.000.117.1600.0%16.7%0.0%84.287.80.0%0.0%20.0%
Last 15 G1023.316.435.789.500.4200.0%17.4%4.7%88.2105.515.8%31.6%36.8%
Last 30 G2347.375.468.700.497.3804.3%14.9%6.2%89.3105.510.5%34.2%36.8%
90 days51109.283.349.475.377.3644.6%9.2%5.8%91.2105.57.4%40.4%40.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 94 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 21%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.533.611.867.614.4625.6%16.7%14.3%93.2105.20.0%50.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1547.375.468.675.483.4198.5%14.9%11.8%93.9105.55.6%44.4%47.2%
Last 30 G2993.329.430.570.430.3849.7%14.0%13.2%91.9107.14.3%40.0%45.7%
90 days68204.279.353.470.359.33411.3%9.8%13.8%90.3107.15.0%38.8%38.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 160 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 23%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 13%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G524.400.500.650.490.3864.2%16.7%10.3%90.9105.20.0%36.8%42.1%
Last 15 G1570.356.457.712.489.4195.7%15.7%9.0%91.9105.59.1%40.0%43.6%
Last 30 G30140.345.443.613.452.3837.9%14.3%10.5%91.0107.16.5%38.0%42.6%
90 days73313.280.351.472.365.3458.9%9.6%11.1%90.6107.15.9%39.4%39.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 254 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 22%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 13%
Mookie Betts · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormHot
Contact rating80Excellent
Last 100 pitches96trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.367 / .348running 18 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases7/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball94.0103.58.672Single
Sep 24RHPFastball95.587.916.905Single
Sep 24RHPSlider89.186.03.333Out
Sep 24RHPCutter92.2102.714.794Double
Sep 23LHPSlider86.885.4-5.142Out
Sep 23RHPFastball100.591.9-19.097Out
Sep 23LHPSinker93.687.837.013Out
Sep 22RHPSweeper81.599.820.382Double
Sep 22RHPSlider89.192.424.183Out
Sep 22LHPChangeup90.781.431.093Out
Sep 22RHPSinker95.191.6-26.103Out
Sep 20LHPFastball88.283.177.009Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24534010
Sep 23500011
Sep 22512010
Sep 20400000
Sep 19547010
Sep 18539210
Sep 16533010
Sep 15400001
Sep 14400000
Sep 13523010

Two strikes

Matt Wilkinson SF · LHPwith two strikes
Matt Wilkinson with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball58%62%19.0%22.0%18.6%
Changeup23%20%27.3%15.8%18.3%
Slider14%14%16.7%7.7%21.6%
Cutter6%5%25.0%20.0%17.8%
Mookie Betts bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Mookie Betts with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Little two-strike history vs these shapes
With two strikesHimLeague
K%30.9%41.6%
Whiff%16.5%21.7%
Contact%83.5%78.3%
Chase%39.5%40.0%
wOBA.256.245
Whiff vs his put-away shapes14.1%18.8%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeBPower type
wOBA.352
K%9.6%
BB%9.6%
Whiff%5.4%
Barrel%4.5%
Hard-hit%30.7%
Avg EV90.2

Against left-handers, last 90 days

108 PA
wOBA.372
xwOBA vs this mix.350against pitches like his
RV/1001.16
Hard-hit%33.1%
K%6.9%
BB%9.7%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Matt WilkinsonLHP · SF vs LAD
3.0projected strikeouts · likely 1 to 5 · 16.5 batters over 3.8 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 65.2%65%≤34 strikeouts: 16.6%17%45 strikeouts: 10.0%10%56 strikeouts: 4.9%5%67 strikeouts: 2.1%2%78 strikeouts: 0.8%1%89+ strikeouts: 0.4%0%9+book 2.5
Over 2.5: 57% (red bars) · under: 43%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%18.2%
BB%4.0%
Whiff%7.6%
Velo87.0
BTB Stuff85
Location107
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball55%8290.37.5%
Changeup25%8583.78.3%
Slider14%9679.17.1%
Cutter7%8683.65.3%
Last 3 startsTrending Up
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 207633%12%6%.189
Sep 46212%3%41%.594
Aug 299018%6%32%.186

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Matt Wilkinson SF · LHPvsLAD lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAD @ SF →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Mookie Betts: every projection we've made →