MLBengine v14
← LAD at SF, Sep 26, 2026
3:05 PM CT · Oracle Park · lineup confirmed
Hitter · SF · batting 8Osleivis Basabe
Bats rightTalent grade DBalancedNormal
.243wOBA vs LHP.277xwOBA vs his mix3.4expected PA
Starter · LADBlake Snell
Throws leftBTB Stuff 116Trending Down
7.4projected K34%K%1.7trips vs this hitter
Blake Snell's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 50% usage, 95.6 mph, +5.3″ arm side, +18.8″ rise. Osleivis Basabe: wOBA .324 vs league .337 (about even).Fastball 50%Curveball: 19% usage, 80.9 mph, -12.1″ arm side, -9.7″ rise. Osleivis Basabe: wOBA .269 vs league .282 (about even).Curveball 19%Slider: 17% usage, 88.2 mph, -3.7″ arm side, +4.8″ rise. Osleivis Basabe: wOBA .314 vs league .328 (about even).Slider 17%Changeup: 14% usage, 86.6 mph, +13.1″ arm side, +10.4″ rise. Osleivis Basabe: wOBA .324 vs league .338 (about even).Changeup 14%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Osleivis Basabe's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Osleivis Basabe's last 40 balls in playHit (9)Out (31)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 99.8 mph at 13°Out: 80.2 mph at -20°Single: 101.0 mph at -8°Out: 95.6 mph at 25°Single: 74.9 mph at 24°Out: 72.1 mph at 87°Double: 87.5 mph at 15°Out: 93.0 mph at -18°Out: 81.5 mph at 52°Out: 81.2 mph at -22°Out: 86.8 mph at -17°Out: 99.9 mph at 16°Out: 83.8 mph at 26°Out: 85.9 mph at 50°Out: 85.4 mph at -52°Out: 70.0 mph at -54°Single: 100.5 mph at 12°Out: 81.8 mph at 32°Out: 78.0 mph at 75°Home run: 104.6 mph at 20°Out: 87.5 mph at -9°Single: 76.9 mph at -23°Out: 81.7 mph at 22°Out: 44.1 mph at -66°Single: 101.3 mph at 7°Out: 81.7 mph at -26°Home run: 101.4 mph at 25°Out: 105.4 mph at 3°Out: 95.6 mph at 9°Out: 71.3 mph at 71°Out: 72.1 mph at -57°Out: 96.5 mph at -25°Out: 88.8 mph at 30°Out: 59.6 mph at -88°Out: 88.6 mph at 31°Single: 92.9 mph at 1°Out: 71.8 mph at 31°Out: 64.7 mph at -13°Out: 89.7 mph at 22°Out: 75.2 mph at 45°
28% hit 95+ mph40% in the sweet spot23% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit48.9%53.4%-4.5
2+ total bases24.0%28.5%-4.5
Home run5.7%9.2%-3.5
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
-3.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.6
Park
-0.9
2+ total bases
Starter
-2.8
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.5
Park
-1.2
Home run
Starter
-2.1
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
-1.2

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Osleivis Basabe hits
Where they meet

.300 xwOBA for Osleivis Basabe in the spots Blake Snell throws to righties

The average hitter in those same spots: .300 (0 points). His best spot against lefties is down and left, outside, and Blake Snell puts 24% of his pitches there. Context only; the projection reads pitch type, not location.

Blake Snell · where he throws to right-handed hitters
5% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 14% per swing5%4% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 36% per swing4%3% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 14% per swing3%5% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 9% per swing5%4% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing4%3% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 10% per swing3%4% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 27% per swing4%5% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 43% per swing5%7% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 38% per swing7%14% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 32% per swing14%11% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 19% per swing11%24% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 47% per swing24%12% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 53% per swing12%
All · 421 pitches · catcher's view
9% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters9%6% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters6%4% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters4%7% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters7%5% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters5%1% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters1%3% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters3%3% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters3%5% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters5%28% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters28%17% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters17%10% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters10%3% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters3%
Fastball · 209 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters2% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters2%1% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters1%2% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters2%7% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters7%1% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters1%7% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters7%18% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters18%0% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters9% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters9%13% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters13%40% of his Changeup pitches to right-handed hitters40%
Changeup · 100 pitches · catcher's view
1% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters1%3% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters3%2% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters2%5% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters5%3% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters3%3% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters3%9% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters9%8% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters8%0% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters1% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters1%3% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters3%55% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters55%5% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters5%
Curveball · 96 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters13% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters13%0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters88% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters88%0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters
Slider · 16 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

Osleivis Basabe · hot and cold vs LHP
xwOBA .243 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .243 · 4 pitches seenxwOBA .293 shrunk (raw .276 on 2 PA) · league .296 · 9 pitches seen.293xwOBA .229 shrunk (raw .169 on 5 PA) · league .254 · 12 pitches seen.229xwOBA .271 shrunk (raw .161 on 4 PA) · league .308 · 9 pitches seen.271xwOBA .333 shrunk (raw .228 on 6 PA) · league .385 · 22 pitches seen.333xwOBA .318 shrunk (raw .189 on 2 PA) · league .340 · 11 pitches seen.318xwOBA .291 shrunk (raw .396 on 2 PA) · league .273 · 10 pitches seen.291xwOBA .330 shrunk (raw .249 on 3 PA) · league .350 · 15 pitches seen.330xwOBA .281 shrunk (raw .174 on 2 PA) · league .299 · 7 pitches seen.281xwOBA .316 shrunk (raw .358 on 4 PA) · league .302 · 17 pitches seen.316xwOBA .300 shrunk (raw .231 on 8 PA) · league .346 · 37 pitches seen.300xwOBA .333 shrunk (raw .409 on 7 PA) · league .289 · 55 pitches seen.333xwOBA .249 shrunk (raw .242 on 14 PA) · league .257 · 36 pitches seen.249
vs LHP · 244 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 33% of 3 swings · league 19%33%Whiff 14% of 7 swings · league 21%14%Whiff 33% of 6 swings · league 23%33%Whiff 0% of 7 swings · league 9%0%Whiff 13% of 16 swings · league 10%13%Whiff 17% of 6 swings · league 11%17%Whiff 0% of 4 swings · league 17%0%Whiff 14% of 7 swings · league 14%14%Whiff 50% of 4 swings · league 16%50%Whiff 30% of 10 swings · league 25%30%Whiff 0% of 13 swings · league 29%0%Whiff 44% of 16 swings · league 48%44%Whiff 6% of 16 swings · league 34%6%
vs LHP · 244 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 75% of 4 pitches · league 63%75%Swings at 78% of 9 pitches · league 71%78%Swings at 50% of 12 pitches · league 64%50%Swings at 78% of 9 pitches · league 67%78%Swings at 73% of 22 pitches · league 76%73%Swings at 55% of 11 pitches · league 72%55%Swings at 40% of 10 pitches · league 59%40%Swings at 47% of 15 pitches · league 68%47%Swings at 57% of 7 pitches · league 66%57%Swings at 59% of 17 pitches · league 30%59%Swings at 35% of 37 pitches · league 26%35%Swings at 29% of 55 pitches · league 31%29%Swings at 44% of 36 pitches · league 41%44%
vs LHP · 244 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Osleivis Basabe against each of Blake Snell's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball50%95.6+5″ / +19″.324.33719.0%20.3%23About league average vs these
Curveball19%80.9-12″ / -10″.269.28229.7%32.3%5Little history vs this shape
Slider17%88.2-4″ / +5″.314.32824.3%26.6%9About league average vs these
Changeup14%86.6+13″ / +10″.324.33820.7%27.0%23About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Osleivis Basabe · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G45.250.400.250.320.34920.0%20.0%15.4%80.995.60.0%33.3%66.7%
Last 15 G1019.133.316.333.300.28826.3%21.1%27.0%86.3104.610.0%30.0%50.0%
Last 30 G2148.146.271.220.238.27420.8%12.5%20.8%85.5105.53.2%25.8%41.9%
90 days2659.118.237.176.205.25818.6%10.2%18.3%86.6106.22.5%27.5%32.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 40 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 18%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 13%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G36.200.333.200.267.31633.3%16.7%16.7%93.7101.00.0%66.7%33.3%
Last 15 G1025.238.333.286.298.31124.0%12.0%17.1%84.6101.30.0%25.0%31.2%
Last 30 G2153.188.250.292.265.28522.6%5.7%21.8%88.4105.45.4%43.2%35.1%
90 days3383.260.293.455.338.30820.5%3.6%19.3%86.6109.69.8%39.3%37.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 61 balls in play
Ground 49%Line drive 18%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 5%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G511.222.364.222.291.33127.3%18.2%16.0%87.3101.00.0%50.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1544.194.326.306.299.30125.0%15.9%21.8%85.3104.63.8%26.9%38.5%
Last 30 G30101.169.260.258.252.28021.8%8.9%21.3%87.1105.54.4%35.3%38.2%
90 days42142.203.270.344.282.28719.7%6.3%18.8%86.6109.66.9%34.7%35.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 101 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 18%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 8%
Osleivis Basabe · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating31Below average
Last 100 pitches62trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.279 / .297running 18 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit5/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 22RHPFastball97.499.813.889Double play
Sep 21RHPSlider85.780.2-20.052Out
Sep 21RHPSlider86.2101.0-8.259Single
Sep 21LHPCutter88.495.625.228Out
Sep 19LHPChangeup87.574.924.817Single
Sep 18LHPFastball97.572.187.000Out
Sep 15RHPSinker94.987.515.927Double
Sep 15RHPSinker95.093.0-18.117Out
Sep 15RHPSlider87.481.552.041Out
Sep 13LHPFastball92.681.2-22.040Out
Sep 13LHPChangeup89.486.8-17.094Fielder's choice
Sep 11LHPChangeup86.899.916.558Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 22200010
Sep 21311000
Sep 20100001
Sep 19411012
Sep 18100000
Sep 15412010
Sep 13200000
Sep 11400011
Sep 8300011
Sep 7311000

Two strikes

Blake Snell LAD · LHPwith two strikes
Blake Snell with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball50%42%28.0%23.9%18.4%
Curveball22%36%33.3%22.4%20.9%
Changeup18%12%17.6%20.0%18.3%
Slider10%10%27.3%20.0%22.2%
Osleivis Basabe bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Osleivis Basabe with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%37.8%41.4%
Whiff%20.3%22.0%
Contact%79.7%78.0%
Chase%45.2%40.7%
wOBA.240.248
Whiff vs his put-away shapes22.4%24.2%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.300
K%20.9%
BB%7.1%
Whiff%9.3%
Barrel%5.0%
Hard-hit%25.2%
Avg EV87.3

Against left-handers, last 90 days

59 PA
wOBA.243
xwOBA vs this mix.277against pitches like his
RV/100-1.61
Hard-hit%21.3%
K%20.0%
BB%6.5%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Blake SnellLHP · LAD vs SF10 days' rest
7.4projected strikeouts · likely 4 to 11 · 20.8 batters over 4.9 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 6.6%7%≤34 strikeouts: 7.8%8%45 strikeouts: 11.3%11%56 strikeouts: 13.9%14%67 strikeouts: 14.6%15%78 strikeouts: 13.5%14%89+ strikeouts: 32.3%32%9+book 6.5
Over 6.5: 60% (red bars) · under: 40%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%33.6%
BB%10.0%
Whiff%15.6%
Velo89.5
BTB Stuff116
Location102
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Fastball50%12196.010.2%
Curveball22%10579.716.0%
Changeup18%11384.425.5%
Slider10%12588.627.6%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 1110135%18%9%.227
Sep 410130%14%17%.287
Aug 299946%16%5%.305

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Blake Snell LAD · LHPvsSF lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

5 of 13 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.7%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAD @ SF →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Osleivis Basabe: every projection we've made →