MLBengine v14
← LAD at SF, Sep 26, 2026
3:05 PM CT · Oracle Park · lineup confirmed
Hitter · SF · batting 11Scott Bandura
Bats leftTalent grade DBalancedNormal
.306wOBA vs LHP.269xwOBA vs his mix3.6expected PA
Starter · LADBlake Snell
Throws leftBTB Stuff 116Trending Down
7.4projected K34%K%1.0trips vs this hitter
Blake Snell's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 50% usage, 95.6 mph, +5.3″ arm side, +18.8″ rise. Scott Bandura: wOBA .331 vs league .330 (about even).Fastball 50%Curveball: 19% usage, 80.9 mph, -12.1″ arm side, -9.7″ rise. Scott Bandura: wOBA .255 vs league .254 (about even).Curveball 19%Slider: 17% usage, 88.2 mph, -3.7″ arm side, +4.8″ rise. Scott Bandura: wOBA .281 vs league .280 (about even).Slider 17%Changeup: 14% usage, 86.6 mph, +13.1″ arm side, +10.4″ rise. Scott Bandura: wOBA .339 vs league .339 (about even).Changeup 14%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Scott Bandura's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Scott Bandura's last 10 balls in playHit (5)Out (5)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Single: 87.0 mph at 20°Single: 97.2 mph at 10°Out: 82.5 mph at 32°Out: 76.9 mph at 45°Single: 79.3 mph at 14°Double: 100.1 mph at 18°Out: 75.9 mph at 61°Out: 70.1 mph at 52°Out: 77.1 mph at -21°Single: 51.9 mph at 26°
20% hit 95+ mph60% in the sweet spot50% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit48.7%53.3%-4.6
2+ total bases25.3%29.7%-4.4
Home run6.1%9.2%-3.1
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
-2.4
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-1.2
Park
-1.0
2+ total bases
Starter
-2.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-1.2
Park
-1.3
Home run
Starter
-1.3
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.6
Park
-1.3

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Scott Bandura hits
Where they meet

.284 xwOBA for Scott Bandura in the spots Blake Snell throws to lefties

The average hitter in those same spots: .295 (-10 points).Context only; the projection reads pitch type, not location.

Blake Snell · where he throws to left-handed hitters
5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing5%5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing5%3% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 20% per swing3%7% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 13% per swing7%5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 13% per swing5%1% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing1%8% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 22% per swing8%2% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing2%2% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing2%7% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 50% per swing7%9% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 50% per swing9%37% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 67% per swing37%10% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 14% per swing10%
All · 166 pitches · catcher's view
9% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters9%9% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters9%5% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters5%11% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters11%9% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters9%2% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters2%1% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters1%0% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters4% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters4%15% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters15%16% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters16%9% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters9%12% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters12%
Fastball · 82 pitches · catcher's view
2% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters2%0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters2% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters2%0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters19% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters19%2% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters2%0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters2% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters2%72% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters72%0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters
Slider · 43 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters3% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters3%3% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters3%6% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters6%0% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters0% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters11% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters11%6% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters6%0% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters0% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters3% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters3%69% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters69%0% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters
Curveball · 35 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

Scott Bandura · hot and cold vs LHP
xwOBA .243 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .243 · 1 pitches seenxwOBA .296 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .296 · 0 pitches seenxwOBA .254 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .254 · 0 pitches seenxwOBA .286 shrunk (raw .028 on 1 PA) · league .308 · 4 pitches seen.286xwOBA .385 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .385 · 1 pitches seenxwOBA .314 shrunk (raw .000 on 1 PA) · league .340 · 3 pitches seen.314xwOBA .273 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .273 · 3 pitches seenxwOBA .350 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .350 · 1 pitches seenxwOBA .299 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .299 · 1 pitches seenxwOBA .274 shrunk (raw .160 on 3 PA) · league .302 · 6 pitches seen.274xwOBA .319 shrunk (raw .000 on 1 PA) · league .346 · 2 pitches seen.319xwOBA .278 shrunk (raw .234 on 3 PA) · league .289 · 10 pitches seen.278xwOBA .257 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .257 · 2 pitches seen
vs LHP · 34 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff – of 0 swings · league 19%Whiff – of 0 swings · league 21%Whiff – of 0 swings · league 23%Whiff 0% of 3 swings · league 9%0%Whiff 100% of 1 swings · league 10%100%Whiff 50% of 2 swings · league 11%50%Whiff 50% of 2 swings · league 17%50%Whiff – of 0 swings · league 14%Whiff 100% of 1 swings · league 16%100%Whiff 25% of 4 swings · league 25%25%Whiff 50% of 2 swings · league 29%50%Whiff 20% of 5 swings · league 48%20%Whiff 0% of 2 swings · league 34%0%
vs LHP · 34 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 0% of 1 pitches · league 63%0%Swings at – of 0 pitches · league 71%Swings at – of 0 pitches · league 64%Swings at 75% of 4 pitches · league 67%75%Swings at 100% of 1 pitches · league 76%100%Swings at 67% of 3 pitches · league 72%67%Swings at 67% of 3 pitches · league 59%67%Swings at 0% of 1 pitches · league 68%0%Swings at 100% of 1 pitches · league 66%100%Swings at 67% of 6 pitches · league 30%67%Swings at 100% of 2 pitches · league 26%100%Swings at 50% of 10 pitches · league 31%50%Swings at 100% of 2 pitches · league 41%100%
vs LHP · 34 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Scott Bandura against each of Blake Snell's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball50%95.6+5″ / +19″.331.33028.7%24.1%3Little history vs this shape
Curveball19%80.9-12″ / -10″.255.25435.1%32.5%2Little history vs this shape
Slider17%88.2-4″ / +5″.281.28035.0%32.3%2Little history vs this shape
Changeup14%86.6+13″ / +10″.339.33917.6%16.2%1Little history vs this shape
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Scott Bandura · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G34.250.250.250.225.15050.0%0.0%36.4%84.887.00.0%0.0%100.0%
Last 15 G69.333.333.444.339.13544.4%0.0%31.8%79.5100.10.0%20.0%80.0%
Last 30 G69.333.333.444.339.13544.4%0.0%31.8%79.5100.10.0%20.0%80.0%
90 days69.333.333.444.339.13544.4%0.0%31.8%79.5100.10.0%20.0%80.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 5 balls in play
Ground 0%Line drive 40%Fly ball 40%Pop-up 20%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G58.125.125.125.112.09975.0%0.0%27.3%87.197.20.0%50.0%50.0%
Last 15 G916.133.188.133.156.14562.5%6.2%32.4%80.197.20.0%20.0%40.0%
Last 30 G916.133.188.133.156.14562.5%6.2%32.4%80.197.20.0%20.0%40.0%
90 days916.133.188.133.156.14562.5%6.2%32.4%80.197.20.0%20.0%40.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 5 balls in play
Ground 20%Line drive 40%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 20%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G512.167.167.167.150.11666.7%0.0%30.3%85.997.20.0%25.0%75.0%
Last 15 G1025.208.240.250.222.14156.0%4.0%32.1%79.8100.10.0%20.0%60.0%
Last 30 G1025.208.240.250.222.14156.0%4.0%32.1%79.8100.10.0%20.0%60.0%
90 days1025.208.240.250.222.14156.0%4.0%32.1%79.8100.10.0%20.0%60.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 10 balls in play
Ground 10%Line drive 40%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 20%
FormNormal
Contact rating–percentile of xwOBA
Last 100 pitches–
wOBA / xwOBA.223 / .147running 76 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit5/10
2+ total bases1/10
Home run0/10

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 10 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25LHPChangeup91.287.020.564Single
Sep 22RHPSplitter89.997.210.708Single
Sep 21LHPSweeper77.782.532.038Out
Sep 20RHPCurveball78.076.945.083Out
Sep 18RHPSlider90.779.314.634Single
Sep 16LHPSlider85.3100.118.442Double
Sep 16LHPSlider85.075.961.028Out
Sep 16RHPChangeup81.670.152.141Out
Sep 16RHPChangeup85.777.1-21.053Out
Sep 13LHPSweeper84.251.926.139Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25311002
Sep 22211001
Sep 21300002
Sep 20300002
Sep 19100001
Sep 18211001
Sep 16412000
Sep 15100001
Sep 14200002
Sep 13411012

Two strikes

Blake Snell LAD · LHPwith two strikes
Blake Snell with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball50%42%28.0%23.9%18.4%
Curveball22%36%33.3%22.4%20.9%
Changeup18%12%17.6%20.0%18.3%
Slider10%10%27.3%20.0%22.2%
Scott Bandura bats Lwith two strikes, vs this hand
Scott Bandura with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Little two-strike history vs these shapes
With two strikesHimLeague
K%46.3%44.3%
Whiff%24.2%23.6%
Contact%75.8%76.4%
Chase%41.4%38.0%
wOBA.227.223
Whiff vs his put-away shapes26.9%26.3%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.308
K%27.2%
BB%7.6%
Whiff%11.3%
Barrel%4.6%
Hard-hit%23.8%
Avg EV87.4

Against left-handers, last 90 days

9 PA
wOBA.306
xwOBA vs this mix.269against pitches like his
RV/100-0.25
Hard-hit%21.7%
K%30.1%
BB%6.6%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Blake SnellLHP · LAD vs SF10 days' rest
7.4projected strikeouts · likely 4 to 11 · 20.8 batters over 4.9 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 6.6%7%≤34 strikeouts: 7.8%8%45 strikeouts: 11.3%11%56 strikeouts: 13.9%14%67 strikeouts: 14.6%15%78 strikeouts: 13.5%14%89+ strikeouts: 32.3%32%9+book 6.5
Over 6.5: 60% (red bars) · under: 40%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%33.6%
BB%10.0%
Whiff%15.6%
Velo89.5
BTB Stuff116
Location102
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Fastball50%12196.010.2%
Curveball22%10579.716.0%
Changeup18%11384.425.5%
Slider10%12588.627.6%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 1110135%18%9%.227
Sep 410130%14%17%.287
Aug 299946%16%5%.305

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Blake Snell LAD · LHPvsSF lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

5 of 13 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.7%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAD @ SF →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Scott Bandura: every projection we've made →