MLBengine v14
← LAD at SF, Sep 26, 2026
3:05 PM CT · Oracle Park · lineup projected
Hitter · SF · batting 3Victor Bericoto
Bats rightTalent grade AvgPowerNormal
.314wOBA vs LHP.329xwOBA vs his mix3.8expected PA
Starter · LADBlake Snell
Throws leftBTB Stuff 116Trending Down
6.7projected K34%K%2.5trips vs this hitter
Blake Snell's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 50% usage, 96.1 mph, +5.8″ arm side, +18.8″ rise. Victor Bericoto: wOBA .311 vs league .312 (about even).Fastball 50%Curveball: 22% usage, 79.8 mph, -13.8″ arm side, -8.8″ rise. Victor Bericoto: wOBA .300 vs league .301 (about even).Curveball 22%Changeup: 18% usage, 84.5 mph, +13.1″ arm side, +8.2″ rise. Victor Bericoto: wOBA .309 vs league .310 (about even).Changeup 18%Slider: 10% usage, 88.6 mph, -3.7″ arm side, +7.2″ rise. Victor Bericoto: wOBA .325 vs league .326 (about even).Slider 10%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Victor Bericoto's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Victor Bericoto's last 40 balls in playHit (10)Out (30)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 103.0 mph at 1°Out: 51.9 mph at -68°Out: 99.8 mph at 6°Out: 97.6 mph at -12°Out: 99.6 mph at 18°Out: 90.9 mph at -30°Out: 89.7 mph at 70°Single: 93.4 mph at 14°Out: 102.5 mph at -16°Double: 104.9 mph at 19°Home run: 107.0 mph at 28°Out: 92.1 mph at 45°Out: 75.0 mph at 32°Single: 97.7 mph at -6°Out: 97.3 mph at 6°Out: 94.5 mph at 17°Out: 72.3 mph at -6°Out: 100.6 mph at 32°Out: 96.9 mph at 21°Out: 88.4 mph at -9°Single: 95.0 mph at -6°Out: 93.2 mph at 33°Out: 86.2 mph at -10°Out: 100.0 mph at 23°Out: 103.1 mph at 20°Out: 102.2 mph at 34°Single: 108.0 mph at 2°Out: 104.6 mph at 58°Out: 80.1 mph at 7°Single: 94.3 mph at 15°Out: 99.3 mph at -15°Out: 86.7 mph at 23°Out: 87.5 mph at 51°Out: 73.3 mph at 6°Single: 65.0 mph at 0°Out: 90.6 mph at 40°Single: 98.0 mph at 17°Single: 88.7 mph at 17°Out: 100.4 mph at 33°Out: 57.4 mph at -61°
50% hit 95+ mph35% in the sweet spot25% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit56.5%61.6%-5.2
2+ total bases30.5%35.7%-5.2
Home run8.4%12.0%-3.6
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
-3.9
Pitch mix
+0.2
Bullpen
-0.4
Park
-1.1
2+ total bases
Starter
-3.5
Pitch mix
+0.2
Bullpen
-0.3
Park
-1.6
Home run
Starter
-1.9
Pitch mix
+0.1
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
-1.7

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Pitch by pitch

Victor Bericoto against each of Blake Snell's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball50%96.1+6″ / +19″.311.31223.2%21.8%7Little history vs this shape
Curveball22%79.8-14″ / -9″.300.30138.0%30.0%3Little history vs this shape
Changeup18%84.5+13″ / +8″.309.31037.5%32.3%9About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Slider10%88.6-4″ / +7″.325.32626.8%20.5%8Little history vs this shape
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Victor Bericoto · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G411.300.364.700.441.5309.1%9.1%21.1%94.7107.011.1%66.7%33.3%
Last 15 G1230.207.233.345.252.38423.3%3.3%34.6%94.1108.013.6%63.6%31.8%
Last 30 G1741.275.293.450.320.34522.0%2.4%31.2%92.2108.09.7%58.1%29.0%
90 days1741.275.293.450.320.34522.0%2.4%31.2%92.2108.09.7%58.1%29.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 31 balls in play
Ground 55%Line drive 16%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 0%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G38.000.125.000.175.15050.0%12.5%35.7%93.499.60.0%33.3%33.3%
Last 15 G820.053.100.053.115.17445.0%5.0%27.3%93.7104.60.0%40.0%50.0%
Last 30 G1436.171.194.257.219.25430.6%2.8%25.9%90.5104.68.3%41.7%45.8%
90 days1436.171.194.257.219.25430.6%2.8%25.9%90.5104.68.3%41.7%45.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 24 balls in play
Ground 29%Line drive 42%Fly ball 13%Pop-up 17%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G519.176.263.412.329.37026.3%10.5%29.8%94.4107.08.3%58.3%33.3%
Last 15 G1550.146.180.229.197.30032.0%4.0%30.8%94.0108.09.4%56.2%37.5%
Last 30 G2277.227.247.360.273.30326.0%2.6%28.4%91.4108.09.1%50.9%36.4%
90 days2277.227.247.360.273.30326.0%2.6%28.4%91.4108.09.1%50.9%36.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 55 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 27%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 7%
Victor Bericoto · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating59Average
Last 100 pitches91trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.267 / .326running 59 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit5/12
2+ total bases1/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23LHPChangeup85.1103.01.453Out
Sep 23LHPSinker92.951.9-68.181Out
Sep 23LHPSlider89.499.86.598Out
Sep 23LHPCutter88.997.6-12.141Out
Sep 22RHPFastball97.499.618.442Out
Sep 22RHPCutter90.590.9-30.059Fielder's choice
Sep 20RHPSlider86.889.770.004Out
Sep 20LHPSlider88.893.414.904Single
Sep 20LHPFastball97.2102.5-16.202Out
Sep 19LHPSlider91.1104.919.717Double
Sep 19LHPFastball96.9107.0281.918Home run
Sep 18LHPFastball92.392.145.014Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23400000
Sep 22500012
Sep 20411001
Sep 19526112
Sep 18100000
Aug 23211000
Aug 22400001
Aug 21100001
Aug 20200000
Aug 19311001

Two strikes

Blake Snell LAD · LHPwith two strikes
Blake Snell with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball50%42%28.0%23.9%18.6%
Curveball22%36%33.3%22.4%21.3%
Changeup18%12%17.6%20.0%18.3%
Slider10%10%27.3%20.0%21.6%
Victor Bericoto bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Victor Bericoto with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Little two-strike history vs these shapes
With two strikesHimLeague
K%42.4%41.6%
Whiff%22.4%21.7%
Contact%77.6%78.3%
Chase%40.1%40.0%
wOBA.250.245
Whiff vs his put-away shapes24.4%23.7%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeAvgPower type
wOBA.305
K%23.9%
BB%6.5%
Whiff%12.3%
Barrel%5.4%
Hard-hit%29.0%
Avg EV89.4

Against left-handers, last 90 days

41 PA
wOBA.314
xwOBA vs this mix.329against pitches like his
RV/100-0.41
Hard-hit%35.3%
K%22.7%
BB%4.8%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Blake SnellLHP · LAD vs SF
6.7projected strikeouts · likely 3 to 10 · 20.8 batters over 4.9 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 10.4%10%≤34 strikeouts: 10.5%10%45 strikeouts: 14.0%14%56 strikeouts: 15.4%15%67 strikeouts: 14.7%15%78 strikeouts: 12.2%12%89+ strikeouts: 22.8%23%9+book 6.5
Over 6.5: 50% (red bars) · under: 50%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%33.6%
BB%10.0%
Whiff%15.6%
Velo89.5
BTB Stuff116
Location102
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball50%12196.010.2%
Curveball22%10579.716.0%
Changeup18%11384.425.5%
Slider10%12588.627.6%
Other0%––0.0%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 1110135%18%9%.227
Sep 410130%14%17%.287
Aug 299946%16%5%.305

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Blake Snell LAD · LHPvsSF lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAD @ SF →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Victor Bericoto: every projection we've made →