38% hit 95+ mph35% in the sweet spot30% fell for hits
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 57.9% | 54.4% | +3.5 |
| 2+ total bases | 37.2% | 33.1% | +4.1 |
| Home run | 15.2% | 12.4% | +2.8 |
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.7
Park+2.8
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.7
Park+3.4
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.4
Park+2.4
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Zone battle
where he pitches, where Cam Smith hitsCam Smith · hot and cold vs RHP
better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.
Statcast
opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonightCam Smith · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 13 | .250 | .308 | .583 | .442 | .231 | 38.5% | 7.7% | 32.1% | 86.8 | 110.9 | 14.3% | 28.6% | 28.6% |
| Last 15 G | 14 | 41 | .189 | .268 | .459 | .333 | .288 | 34.1% | 7.3% | 22.0% | 84.0 | 110.9 | 13.0% | 39.1% | 34.8% |
| Last 30 G | 28 | 73 | .179 | .247 | .403 | .292 | .256 | 31.5% | 6.8% | 24.3% | 85.2 | 113.4 | 9.1% | 36.4% | 31.8% |
| 90 days | 62 | 180 | .208 | .250 | .423 | .301 | .288 | 26.7% | 4.4% | 25.1% | 87.4 | 113.9 | 9.2% | 42.9% | 30.3% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 119 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 19%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 13%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 4 | 7 | .000 | .143 | .000 | .100 | .372 | 42.9% | 14.3% | 50.0% | 78.7 | 105.1 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| Last 15 G | 9 | 16 | .133 | .188 | .333 | .225 | .347 | 25.0% | 6.2% | 34.4% | 83.0 | 105.8 | 18.2% | 27.3% | 36.4% |
| Last 30 G | 18 | 29 | .107 | .138 | .286 | .179 | .283 | 34.5% | 3.4% | 32.4% | 84.1 | 105.8 | 11.1% | 33.3% | 50.0% |
| 90 days | 37 | 66 | .153 | .227 | .407 | .269 | .296 | 25.8% | 7.6% | 26.6% | 87.6 | 114.0 | 11.6% | 39.5% | 27.9% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 43 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 21%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 23%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 20 | .167 | .250 | .389 | .322 | .280 | 40.0% | 10.0% | 38.1% | 84.4 | 110.9 | 20.0% | 30.0% | 20.0% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 57 | .173 | .246 | .423 | .303 | .304 | 31.6% | 7.0% | 25.4% | 83.7 | 110.9 | 14.7% | 35.3% | 35.3% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 102 | .158 | .216 | .368 | .260 | .264 | 32.4% | 5.9% | 26.8% | 84.9 | 113.4 | 9.7% | 35.5% | 37.1% |
| 90 days | 67 | 246 | .194 | .244 | .419 | .292 | .290 | 26.4% | 5.3% | 25.5% | 87.5 | 114.0 | 9.9% | 42.0% | 29.6% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 162 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 20%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 15%
xwOBA24.290
Avg EV4387.5
Max EV93114.0
Barrel%799.9%
Hard-hit%6542.0%
Sweet-spot%1029.6%
K%2026.4%
BB%185.3%
Whiff%2725.5%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
FormNormal
Contact rating38Below average
Last 100 pitches22trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.296 / .304results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit4/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run1/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | RHP | Fastball | 96.8 | 100.1 | 44 | .099 | Home run |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Slider | 87.2 | 94.2 | 9 | .579 | Single |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Slider | 85.5 | 83.9 | 48 | .003 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Sinker | 98.7 | 62.2 | -53 | .290 | Out |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Changeup | 91.0 | 90.9 | 69 | .003 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Slider | 85.0 | 63.7 | -4 | .080 | Error |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Fastball | 96.3 | 110.9 | 14 | .809 | Double |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Sinker | 94.6 | 92.8 | 4 | .443 | Double play |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Sinker | 98.4 | 105.1 | 33 | 1.640 | Out |
| Sep 20 | LHP | Curveball | 82.2 | 40.2 | -64 | .263 | Out |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Sinker | 95.0 | 96.2 | 29 | .398 | Out |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Sinker | 95.7 | 45.2 | 21 | .122 | Out |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Sep 24 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 22 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sep 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
The hitter
season-level talent readTalent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–
Against right-handers, last 90 days
0 PAwOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–
Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
The starter he faces
Starter not announced.
The rest of the gameHOU @ OAK →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Cam Smith: every projection we've made →