← HOU at OAK, Sep 27, 2026
2:05 PM CT · Sutter Health Park · lineup projected
Hitter · OAK · batting 6Donovan Walton
Bats leftTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.6expected PA
Starter · HOUTBD
Stable
3.9projected K–K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Donovan Walton's last 40 balls in playHit (13)Out (27)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 38.4 mph at -62°Out: 96.1 mph at 36°Single: 74.5 mph at 18°Out: 73.6 mph at 2°Out: 81.0 mph at -5°Home run: 89.8 mph at 39°Out: 89.2 mph at 56°Single: 93.2 mph at 6°Home run: 99.0 mph at 28°Single: 70.3 mph at 41°Single: 101.6 mph at -1°Out: 70.9 mph at 3°Out: 85.7 mph at 51°Out: 82.3 mph at 4°Out: 61.0 mph at -31°Out: 97.3 mph at 0°Out: 65.3 mph at 7°Out: 76.0 mph at 39°Out: 87.8 mph at 20°Out: 98.4 mph at 6°Out: 83.8 mph at 38°Double: 73.2 mph at 8°Out: 90.8 mph at 30°Out: 72.1 mph at -19°Out: 97.8 mph at 1°Single: 98.3 mph at 15°Out: 90.6 mph at 32°Single: 98.8 mph at 12°Out: 69.9 mph at 48°Home run: 97.5 mph at 33°Out: 86.2 mph at 29°Out: 65.3 mph at -46°Home run: 104.9 mph at 25°Out: 91.5 mph at 10°Single: 90.1 mph at -3°Out: 77.0 mph at 8°Out: 96.1 mph at 23°Out: 90.8 mph at 37°Out: 90.4 mph at 6°Double: 88.3 mph at 17°
28% hit 95+ mph35% in the sweet spot33% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit59.1%56.6%+2.4
2+ total bases34.8%31.8%+3.0
Home run10.7%8.8%+1.9
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
+2.5
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
+2.9
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
+1.8

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Donovan Walton hits
Donovan Walton · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .357 shrunk (raw .607 on 4 PA) · league .274 · 21 pitches seen.357xwOBA .319 shrunk (raw .342 on 6 PA) · league .307 · 15 pitches seen.319xwOBA .281 shrunk (raw .335 on 4 PA) · league .263 · 15 pitches seen.281xwOBA .357 shrunk (raw .368 on 16 PA) · league .342 · 52 pitches seen.357xwOBA .397 shrunk (raw .406 on 15 PA) · league .386 · 37 pitches seen.397xwOBA .293 shrunk (raw .268 on 13 PA) · league .321 · 26 pitches seen.293xwOBA .300 shrunk (raw .291 on 11 PA) · league .308 · 28 pitches seen.300xwOBA .362 shrunk (raw .380 on 7 PA) · league .351 · 32 pitches seen.362xwOBA .204 shrunk (raw .129 on 14 PA) · league .292 · 42 pitches seen.204xwOBA .421 shrunk (raw .458 on 14 PA) · league .377 · 84 pitches seen.421xwOBA .406 shrunk (raw .583 on 9 PA) · league .274 · 34 pitches seen.406xwOBA .246 shrunk (raw .234 on 18 PA) · league .263 · 107 pitches seen.246xwOBA .334 shrunk (raw .357 on 31 PA) · league .274 · 145 pitches seen.334
vs RHP · 638 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 33% of 12 swings · league 22%33%Whiff 7% of 14 swings · league 20%7%Whiff 10% of 10 swings · league 19%10%Whiff 13% of 39 swings · league 10%13%Whiff 10% of 31 swings · league 9%10%Whiff 0% of 17 swings · league 11%0%Whiff 9% of 22 swings · league 14%9%Whiff 14% of 28 swings · league 13%14%Whiff 24% of 34 swings · league 17%24%Whiff 28% of 18 swings · league 28%28%Whiff 0% of 8 swings · league 24%0%Whiff 25% of 32 swings · league 32%25%Whiff 71% of 45 swings · league 49%71%
vs RHP · 638 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 57% of 21 pitches · league 62%57%Swings at 93% of 15 pitches · league 72%93%Swings at 67% of 15 pitches · league 66%67%Swings at 75% of 52 pitches · league 70%75%Swings at 84% of 37 pitches · league 76%84%Swings at 65% of 26 pitches · league 70%65%Swings at 79% of 28 pitches · league 65%79%Swings at 88% of 32 pitches · league 68%88%Swings at 81% of 42 pitches · league 60%81%Swings at 21% of 84 pitches · league 24%21%Swings at 24% of 34 pitches · league 34%24%Swings at 30% of 107 pitches · league 40%30%Swings at 31% of 145 pitches · league 32%31%
vs RHP · 638 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Donovan Walton · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.250.308.500.362.21435.7%7.1%30.8%79.596.10.0%12.5%12.5%
Last 15 G1545.286.318.595.390.29120.0%4.4%22.2%83.7104.95.9%26.5%32.4%
Last 30 G3093.260.380.532.395.35417.2%11.8%26.8%84.9104.96.5%30.6%38.7%
90 days57163.252.395.458.379.34516.0%14.7%23.5%85.6104.94.7%30.2%42.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 106 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 23%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G11–1.000–.700.6980.0%100.0%50.0%–––––
Last 15 G22.000.500.000.350.5470.0%50.0%40.0%97.897.80.0%100.0%0.0%
Last 30 G55.000.200.000.140.3110.0%20.0%40.0%88.497.80.0%50.0%25.0%
90 days910.000.111.000.100.24510.0%10.0%28.6%78.397.80.0%37.5%12.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 8 balls in play
Ground 63%Line drive 13%Fly ball 13%Pop-up 13%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.250.357.500.386.24833.3%13.3%33.3%79.596.10.0%12.5%12.5%
Last 15 G1547.279.326.581.388.30219.1%6.4%23.3%84.1104.95.7%28.6%31.4%
Last 30 G3098.247.371.506.382.35216.3%12.2%27.5%85.1104.96.1%31.8%37.9%
90 days57173.237.380.432.364.34015.6%14.5%23.9%85.1104.94.4%30.7%40.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 114 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 22%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 7%
Donovan Walton · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating78Above average
Last 100 pitches10trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.359 / .347results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit5/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPCutter92.938.4-62–Sac bunt
Sep 25RHPFastball94.596.136.249Out
Sep 24RHPChangeup86.974.518.864Single
Sep 24RHPSlider86.473.62.094Out
Sep 23RHPSinker99.381.0-5.156Out
Sep 23RHPSinker100.489.839.032Home run
Sep 22RHPSlider84.489.256.009Out
Sep 20RHPFastball98.893.26.477Single
Sep 19RHPSweeper81.599.028.780Home run
Sep 19RHPFastball94.270.341.443Single
Sep 19RHPCutter87.4101.6-1.428Single
Sep 18RHPSlider90.670.93.112Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25400011
Sep 24311001
Sep 23314110
Sep 22100000
Sep 20411003
Sep 19336100
Sep 18100000
Sep 17300000
Sep 16400001
Sep 15200001

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA
wOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gameHOU @ OAK →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Donovan Walton: every projection we've made →