← HOU at OAK, Sep 27, 2026
2:05 PM CT · Sutter Health Park · lineup projected
Hitter · HOU · batting 3Isaac Paredes
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.8expected PA
Starter · OAKTBD
Stable
3.8projected K–K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Isaac Paredes's last 40 balls in playHit (12)Out (28)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 78.6 mph at 54°Out: 89.5 mph at -1°Home run: 96.6 mph at 35°Out: 89.5 mph at 58°Out: 82.7 mph at 59°Out: 96.1 mph at 20°Out: 95.8 mph at 32°Out: 85.7 mph at 20°Double: 100.6 mph at 37°Out: 71.5 mph at -29°Out: 57.9 mph at 82°Out: 65.7 mph at -1°Home run: 104.7 mph at 25°Single: 81.7 mph at 9°Out: 82.4 mph at 79°Out: 45.9 mph at 36°Out: 80.3 mph at 78°Out: 79.1 mph at 43°Single: 86.5 mph at 15°Home run: 103.6 mph at 23°Out: 96.9 mph at 28°Single: 96.7 mph at 0°Single: 83.2 mph at 15°Single: 89.2 mph at 6°Out: 82.8 mph at 26°Out: 86.4 mph at 51°Out: 63.6 mph at 15°Out: 88.0 mph at 28°Out: 40.4 mph at -71°Out: 96.9 mph at -15°Out: 94.4 mph at 21°Out: 95.5 mph at 42°Out: 93.5 mph at -4°Out: 67.1 mph at 15°Home run: 96.8 mph at 28°Out: 100.0 mph at 51°Out: 58.4 mph at -13°Home run: 97.3 mph at 30°Double: 105.3 mph at 17°Out: 98.2 mph at 8°
38% hit 95+ mph45% in the sweet spot30% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit64.9%61.8%+3.1
2+ total bases40.5%36.6%+3.9
Home run12.4%10.1%+2.3
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.5
Park
+2.6
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.7
Park
+3.2
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.3
Park
+2.0

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Isaac Paredes hits
Isaac Paredes · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .284 shrunk (raw .298 on 8 PA) · league .274 · 24 pitches seen.284xwOBA .239 shrunk (raw .148 on 9 PA) · league .307 · 39 pitches seen.239xwOBA .256 shrunk (raw .245 on 8 PA) · league .263 · 37 pitches seen.256xwOBA .273 shrunk (raw .233 on 21 PA) · league .342 · 52 pitches seen.273xwOBA .411 shrunk (raw .425 on 21 PA) · league .386 · 67 pitches seen.411xwOBA .312 shrunk (raw .305 on 15 PA) · league .321 · 65 pitches seen.312xwOBA .281 shrunk (raw .241 on 8 PA) · league .308 · 38 pitches seen.281xwOBA .298 shrunk (raw .275 on 27 PA) · league .351 · 80 pitches seen.298xwOBA .249 shrunk (raw .229 on 26 PA) · league .292 · 81 pitches seen.249xwOBA .509 shrunk (raw .597 on 18 PA) · league .377 · 81 pitches seen.509xwOBA .275 shrunk (raw .275 on 16 PA) · league .274 · 89 pitches seen.275xwOBA .245 shrunk (raw .226 on 11 PA) · league .263 · 82 pitches seen.245xwOBA .403 shrunk (raw .431 on 55 PA) · league .274 · 377 pitches seen.403
vs RHP · 1112 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 7% of 14 swings · league 22%7%Whiff 14% of 21 swings · league 20%14%Whiff 21% of 19 swings · league 19%21%Whiff 0% of 37 swings · league 10%0%Whiff 4% of 45 swings · league 9%4%Whiff 9% of 43 swings · league 11%9%Whiff 0% of 30 swings · league 14%0%Whiff 4% of 57 swings · league 13%4%Whiff 18% of 40 swings · league 17%18%Whiff 8% of 13 swings · league 28%8%Whiff 8% of 24 swings · league 24%8%Whiff 20% of 35 swings · league 32%20%Whiff 21% of 92 swings · league 49%21%
vs RHP · 1112 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 58% of 24 pitches · league 62%58%Swings at 54% of 39 pitches · league 72%54%Swings at 51% of 37 pitches · league 66%51%Swings at 71% of 52 pitches · league 70%71%Swings at 67% of 67 pitches · league 76%67%Swings at 66% of 65 pitches · league 70%66%Swings at 79% of 38 pitches · league 65%79%Swings at 71% of 80 pitches · league 68%71%Swings at 49% of 81 pitches · league 60%49%Swings at 16% of 81 pitches · league 24%16%Swings at 27% of 89 pitches · league 34%27%Swings at 43% of 82 pitches · league 40%43%Swings at 24% of 377 pitches · league 32%24%
vs RHP · 1112 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Isaac Paredes · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.273.400.636.417.2876.7%20.0%0.0%80.4100.60.0%36.4%27.3%
Last 15 G1545.316.378.605.407.32013.3%11.1%9.2%86.1105.32.9%41.2%47.1%
Last 30 G3095.286.400.532.408.32710.5%15.8%10.0%87.3105.31.4%34.8%37.7%
90 days73248.268.383.454.383.3358.9%13.3%11.1%85.0106.23.3%26.2%38.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 183 balls in play
Ground 30%Line drive 22%Fly ball 31%Pop-up 18%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G48.143.250.571.338.41012.5%12.5%11.8%86.9104.716.7%16.7%33.3%
Last 15 G918.188.278.750.411.39922.2%11.1%16.1%86.2104.716.7%41.7%41.7%
Last 30 G1734.185.324.519.353.31620.6%14.7%16.9%86.3104.79.5%33.3%28.6%
90 days3878.268.321.507.363.31715.4%6.4%12.7%85.6109.55.0%35.0%43.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 60 balls in play
Ground 22%Line drive 32%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 23%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G523.222.348.611.389.3308.7%17.4%4.7%82.7104.75.9%29.4%29.4%
Last 15 G1563.278.349.648.408.34215.9%11.1%11.0%86.2105.36.5%41.3%45.7%
Last 30 G30129.260.380.529.393.32413.2%15.5%11.8%87.1105.33.3%34.4%35.6%
90 days75326.268.368.467.378.33110.4%11.7%11.5%85.2109.53.7%28.4%39.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 243 balls in play
Ground 28%Line drive 24%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 19%
Isaac Paredes · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating79Above average
Last 100 pitches95trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.371 / .348running 23 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases7/12
Home run5/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25LHPSlider77.078.654.075Out
Sep 25LHPSlider75.489.5-1.224Force out
Sep 24RHPFastball92.496.635.317Home run
Sep 24RHPFastball99.089.558.008Out
Sep 24RHPCutter92.082.759.031Out
Sep 24RHPSweeper84.296.120.360Out
Sep 23RHPSweeper88.995.832.362Sac fly
Sep 23LHPFastball96.385.720.528Out
Sep 23RHPSinker99.3100.637.521Double
Sep 23RHPChangeup83.671.5-29.042Out
Sep 22RHPSplitter81.157.982.007Out
Sep 22RHPSplitter80.165.7-1.089Force out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25400011
Sep 24514110
Sep 23512001
Sep 22525110
Sep 20400010
Sep 19425110
Sep 18422001
Sep 17411010
Sep 16400001
Sep 15400001

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA
wOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gameHOU @ OAK →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Isaac Paredes: every projection we've made →