MLBengine v14
← HOU at OAK, Sep 27, 2026
2:05 PM CT · Sutter Health Park · lineup projected
Hitter · HOU · batting 4Jose Altuve
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.8expected PA
Starter · OAKTBD
Stable
3.8projected K–K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Jose Altuve's last 40 balls in playHit (14)Out (26)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 80.5 mph at 70°Out: 77.4 mph at 41°Out: 88.5 mph at 64°Out: 90.7 mph at 20°Out: 78.6 mph at -26°Out: 96.0 mph at -2°Out: 98.9 mph at 17°Single: 95.2 mph at 5°Single: 91.2 mph at 4°Single: 101.1 mph at -7°Single: 82.7 mph at 19°Out: 80.9 mph at 34°Home run: 89.5 mph at 32°Single: 41.5 mph at -53°Out: 101.5 mph at 5°Single: 91.5 mph at 13°Out: 98.8 mph at -9°Single: 33.9 mph at -9°Single: 106.3 mph at 6°Single: 65.5 mph at -50°Out: 72.1 mph at 37°Out: 105.6 mph at 16°Double: 105.8 mph at 16°Out: 62.8 mph at 54°Out: 84.0 mph at 0°Out: 86.8 mph at -14°Out: 84.5 mph at 33°Out: 52.0 mph at 2°Single: 82.4 mph at 22°Out: 92.1 mph at -19°Out: 76.3 mph at 33°Out: 76.7 mph at -28°Out: 85.5 mph at 33°Out: 91.5 mph at 63°Out: 78.6 mph at 65°Out: 56.5 mph at -47°Out: 91.7 mph at 42°Double: 99.9 mph at 28°Out: 97.5 mph at 38°Single: 42.1 mph at -58°
28% hit 95+ mph23% in the sweet spot35% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit62.7%59.7%+3.0
2+ total bases36.8%33.2%+3.6
Home run9.8%7.9%+1.9
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.6
Park
+2.4
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.7
Park
+2.9
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.3
Park
+1.6

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Jose Altuve hits
Jose Altuve · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .238 shrunk (raw .022 on 2 PA) · league .274 · 20 pitches seen.238xwOBA .281 shrunk (raw .229 on 6 PA) · league .307 · 25 pitches seen.281xwOBA .203 shrunk (raw .124 on 9 PA) · league .263 · 29 pitches seen.203xwOBA .295 shrunk (raw .252 on 13 PA) · league .342 · 43 pitches seen.295xwOBA .296 shrunk (raw .244 on 21 PA) · league .386 · 44 pitches seen.296xwOBA .332 shrunk (raw .338 on 24 PA) · league .321 · 53 pitches seen.332xwOBA .254 shrunk (raw .196 on 11 PA) · league .308 · 30 pitches seen.254xwOBA .265 shrunk (raw .223 on 25 PA) · league .351 · 52 pitches seen.265xwOBA .218 shrunk (raw .171 on 19 PA) · league .292 · 61 pitches seen.218xwOBA .263 shrunk (raw .149 on 12 PA) · league .377 · 68 pitches seen.263xwOBA .326 shrunk (raw .404 on 8 PA) · league .274 · 40 pitches seen.326xwOBA .235 shrunk (raw .218 on 20 PA) · league .263 · 78 pitches seen.235xwOBA .269 shrunk (raw .268 on 62 PA) · league .274 · 282 pitches seen.269
vs RHP · 825 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 36% of 14 swings · league 22%36%Whiff 21% of 14 swings · league 20%21%Whiff 15% of 13 swings · league 19%15%Whiff 17% of 30 swings · league 10%17%Whiff 0% of 31 swings · league 9%0%Whiff 11% of 37 swings · league 11%11%Whiff 0% of 21 swings · league 14%0%Whiff 0% of 40 swings · league 13%0%Whiff 15% of 33 swings · league 17%15%Whiff 24% of 34 swings · league 28%24%Whiff 7% of 15 swings · league 24%7%Whiff 19% of 47 swings · league 32%19%Whiff 30% of 96 swings · league 49%30%
vs RHP · 825 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 70% of 20 pitches · league 62%70%Swings at 56% of 25 pitches · league 72%56%Swings at 45% of 29 pitches · league 66%45%Swings at 70% of 43 pitches · league 70%70%Swings at 71% of 44 pitches · league 76%71%Swings at 70% of 53 pitches · league 70%70%Swings at 70% of 30 pitches · league 65%70%Swings at 77% of 52 pitches · league 68%77%Swings at 54% of 61 pitches · league 60%54%Swings at 50% of 68 pitches · league 24%50%Swings at 38% of 40 pitches · league 34%38%Swings at 60% of 78 pitches · league 40%60%Swings at 34% of 282 pitches · league 32%34%
vs RHP · 825 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Jose Altuve · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.286.267.286.240.21240.0%0.0%32.4%90.6101.10.0%44.4%33.3%
Last 15 G1545.250.244.273.228.21920.0%0.0%21.0%82.8108.70.0%25.0%22.2%
Last 30 G2992.221.250.314.247.24417.4%4.3%15.8%85.5108.71.4%31.9%27.8%
90 days68233.240.279.364.294.24218.0%5.6%16.7%84.8108.71.7%31.1%28.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 177 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 19%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G37.286.286.714.414.14214.3%0.0%0.0%79.8101.50.0%16.7%16.7%
Last 15 G817.375.412.750.485.29111.8%5.9%13.3%83.8103.67.1%35.7%28.6%
Last 30 G1635.333.371.606.416.27225.7%2.9%26.9%85.1103.64.2%37.5%45.8%
90 days3265.317.369.533.389.27720.0%4.6%23.7%83.7103.62.1%31.9%36.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 47 balls in play
Ground 36%Line drive 26%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G522.286.273.429.295.19031.8%0.0%25.6%86.3101.50.0%33.3%26.7%
Last 15 G1562.283.290.400.298.23917.7%1.6%18.9%83.0108.72.0%28.0%24.0%
Last 30 G30127.252.283.395.294.25119.7%3.9%19.0%85.4108.72.1%33.3%32.3%
90 days71298.256.299.401.315.24918.5%5.4%18.2%84.6108.71.8%31.2%30.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 224 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 21%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 10%
Jose Altuve · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating6Bottom tier
Last 100 pitches4steady
wOBA / xwOBA.314 / .254running 60 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases6/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25LHPCutter86.980.570.010Out
Sep 25LHPCutter86.977.441.093Out
Sep 25LHPCutter86.888.564.013Out
Sep 25RHPSlider87.690.720.306Sac fly
Sep 24RHPCurveball77.478.6-26.040Out
Sep 24RHPSweeper85.196.0-2.326Force out
Sep 23RHPSinker98.598.917.535Out
Sep 23RHPSinker97.695.25.449Single
Sep 23RHPSinker98.991.24.391Single
Sep 22RHPFastball96.6101.1-7.250Single
Sep 22RHPSplitter79.482.719.843Single
Sep 22RHPSinker95.380.934.042Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25400000
Sep 24400002
Sep 23522002
Sep 22522002
Sep 20425101
Sep 19433000
Sep 18411001
Sep 17412001
Sep 16411000
Sep 15400000

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA
wOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gameHOU @ OAK →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Jose Altuve: every projection we've made →