MLBengine v14
← LAD at SF, Sep 27, 2026
2:05 PM CT · Oracle Park · lineup projected
Hitter · SF · batting 5Andrew Knizner
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.7expected PA
Starter · LADTBD
Stable
4.4projected K–K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Andrew Knizner's last 40 balls in playHit (12)Out (28)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 94.6 mph at 52°Out: 89.2 mph at 33°Out: 86.7 mph at 37°Double: 102.2 mph at 4°Out: 74.7 mph at -6°Out: 87.4 mph at 52°Single: 97.4 mph at 0°Out: 107.6 mph at 5°Single: 66.0 mph at 45°Out: 98.1 mph at 37°Out: 94.7 mph at 35°Out: 101.8 mph at 8°Single: 105.7 mph at -8°Out: 80.9 mph at 71°Out: 75.6 mph at 75°Single: 81.9 mph at 11°Out: 98.4 mph at -8°Single: 103.9 mph at 15°Single: 34.2 mph at 42°Out: 89.4 mph at 62°Single: 91.5 mph at -10°Out: 80.9 mph at -16°Out: 79.3 mph at 69°Out: 78.6 mph at 25°Home run: 105.2 mph at 26°Double: 104.6 mph at 11°Out: 48.2 mph at -34°Out: 82.3 mph at 28°Out: 92.2 mph at -21°Out: 61.5 mph at 32°Out: 87.2 mph at 9°Out: 87.9 mph at -42°Out: 102.5 mph at 5°Out: 61.3 mph at -17°Out: 97.3 mph at 28°Single: 104.7 mph at 6°Out: 80.2 mph at -14°Double: 99.3 mph at 26°Out: 87.6 mph at 74°Out: 99.6 mph at -14°
38% hit 95+ mph28% in the sweet spot30% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit54.6%56.1%-1.5
2+ total bases29.9%31.7%-1.8
Home run7.2%8.8%-1.6
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.4
Park
-1.0
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.4
Park
-1.4
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
-1.5

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Andrew Knizner hits
Andrew Knizner · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .253 shrunk (raw .003 on 1 PA) · league .274 · 4 pitches seen.253xwOBA .396 shrunk (raw .753 on 3 PA) · league .307 · 4 pitches seen.396xwOBA .284 shrunk (raw .541 on 1 PA) · league .263 · 5 pitches seen.284xwOBA .342 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .342 · 2 pitches seenxwOBA .391 shrunk (raw .410 on 3 PA) · league .386 · 6 pitches seen.391xwOBA .360 shrunk (raw .594 on 2 PA) · league .321 · 8 pitches seen.360xwOBA .308 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .308 · 1 pitches seenxwOBA .307 shrunk (raw .201 on 5 PA) · league .351 · 5 pitches seen.307xwOBA .291 shrunk (raw .274 on 1 PA) · league .292 · 9 pitches seen.291xwOBA .447 shrunk (raw .729 on 3 PA) · league .377 · 14 pitches seen.447xwOBA .274 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .274 · 7 pitches seenxwOBA .293 shrunk (raw .475 on 2 PA) · league .263 · 4 pitches seen.293xwOBA .221 shrunk (raw .151 on 9 PA) · league .274 · 38 pitches seen.221
vs RHP · 107 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 0% of 3 swings · league 22%0%Whiff 0% of 4 swings · league 20%0%Whiff 50% of 2 swings · league 19%50%Whiff – of 0 swings · league 10%Whiff 0% of 5 swings · league 9%0%Whiff 25% of 4 swings · league 11%25%Whiff – of 0 swings · league 14%Whiff 0% of 4 swings · league 13%0%Whiff 40% of 5 swings · league 17%40%Whiff 50% of 4 swings · league 28%50%Whiff – of 0 swings · league 24%Whiff 0% of 2 swings · league 32%0%Whiff 58% of 12 swings · league 49%58%
vs RHP · 107 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 75% of 4 pitches · league 62%75%Swings at 100% of 4 pitches · league 72%100%Swings at 40% of 5 pitches · league 66%40%Swings at 0% of 2 pitches · league 70%0%Swings at 83% of 6 pitches · league 76%83%Swings at 50% of 8 pitches · league 70%50%Swings at 0% of 1 pitches · league 65%0%Swings at 80% of 5 pitches · league 68%80%Swings at 56% of 9 pitches · league 60%56%Swings at 29% of 14 pitches · league 24%29%Swings at 0% of 7 pitches · league 34%0%Swings at 50% of 4 pitches · league 40%50%Swings at 32% of 38 pitches · league 32%32%
vs RHP · 107 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Andrew Knizner · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G45.000.200.000.140.32420.0%0.0%28.6%97.7107.60.0%66.7%0.0%
Last 15 G1219.176.263.353.274.33815.8%0.0%25.0%89.4107.67.1%28.6%28.6%
Last 30 G1830.308.400.500.393.36716.7%3.3%28.9%90.5107.69.5%38.1%28.6%
90 days1830.308.400.500.393.36716.7%3.3%28.9%90.5107.69.5%38.1%28.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 21 balls in play
Ground 52%Line drive 5%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G59.333.333.444.339.15711.1%0.0%11.8%88.2102.20.0%25.0%0.0%
Last 15 G1227.280.333.360.311.23918.5%7.4%18.2%84.1105.70.0%35.0%25.0%
Last 30 G2348.178.229.289.231.22716.7%6.2%16.0%85.0106.62.7%29.7%21.6%
90 days2348.178.229.289.231.22716.7%6.2%16.0%85.0106.62.7%29.7%21.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 37 balls in play
Ground 32%Line drive 11%Fly ball 35%Pop-up 22%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.231.286.308.268.21714.3%0.0%16.7%90.8107.60.0%36.4%0.0%
Last 15 G1546.238.304.357.296.28017.4%4.3%20.7%86.3107.62.9%32.4%26.5%
Last 30 G2778.225.295.366.294.28116.7%5.1%20.1%87.0107.65.2%32.8%24.1%
90 days2778.225.295.366.294.28116.7%5.1%20.1%87.0107.65.2%32.8%24.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 58 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 9%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 19%
Andrew Knizner · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating25Below average
Last 100 pitches54trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.296 / .290results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25LHPFastball95.094.652.008Out
Sep 25LHPFastball96.789.233.028Out
Sep 25LHPChangeup89.786.737.021Out
Sep 23LHPChangeup86.6102.24.554Double
Sep 23LHPChangeup86.774.7-6.051Out
Sep 23RHPFastball95.787.452.003Out
Sep 22LHPCutter92.597.40.326Single
Sep 21RHPSinker93.5107.65.590Double play
Sep 21LHPSinker91.766.045.219Single
Sep 20RHPSlider85.498.137.297Out
Sep 20LHPFastball97.594.735.207Out
Sep 19LHPSlider87.8101.88.608Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25300000
Sep 23312000
Sep 22211000
Sep 21211000
Sep 20400002
Sep 19411000
Sep 18211000
Sep 16533000
Sep 14300010
Sep 13214100

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA
wOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gameLAD @ SF →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Andrew Knizner: every projection we've made →