MLBengine v14
← LAD at SF, Sep 27, 2026
2:05 PM CT · Oracle Park · lineup projected
Hitter · LAD · batting 8Andy Pages
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.4expected PA
Starter · SFTBD
Stable
4.4projected K–K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Andy Pages's last 40 balls in playHit (15)Out (25)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Single: 99.2 mph at 9°Home run: 101.6 mph at 35°Out: 76.6 mph at 32°Out: 95.0 mph at 27°Single: 71.3 mph at 35°Double: 77.4 mph at 9°Single: 92.8 mph at 20°Out: 87.7 mph at 4°Out: 72.0 mph at 29°Out: 82.7 mph at 12°Out: 74.9 mph at 41°Single: 92.3 mph at 4°Out: 92.4 mph at 22°Out: 93.2 mph at -16°Out: 80.7 mph at 31°Out: 96.5 mph at 9°Single: 71.3 mph at 17°Out: 78.2 mph at 23°Double: 100.2 mph at 11°Single: 96.9 mph at 14°Single: 99.1 mph at 0°Out: 95.3 mph at -2°Out: 59.5 mph at -21°Home run: 100.6 mph at 33°Out: 71.3 mph at 3°Out: 92.1 mph at -3°Out: 59.9 mph at -9°Out: 86.9 mph at 21°Home run: 100.8 mph at 32°Single: 102.9 mph at -6°Single: 77.3 mph at 25°Out: 69.3 mph at 69°Out: 104.1 mph at 17°Out: 98.9 mph at -8°Out: 76.8 mph at -14°Out: 81.4 mph at 38°Out: 78.9 mph at 27°Out: 51.7 mph at -26°Single: 99.3 mph at 7°Out: 87.4 mph at 53°
35% hit 95+ mph48% in the sweet spot38% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit59.9%60.9%-1.0
2+ total bases31.1%32.7%-1.6
Home run8.7%10.4%-1.7
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.2
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.7
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.8

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Andy Pages hits
Andy Pages · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .254 shrunk (raw .225 on 8 PA) · league .274 · 23 pitches seen.254xwOBA .265 shrunk (raw .203 on 8 PA) · league .307 · 27 pitches seen.265xwOBA .176 shrunk (raw .002 on 6 PA) · league .263 · 25 pitches seen.176xwOBA .295 shrunk (raw .252 on 13 PA) · league .342 · 27 pitches seen.295xwOBA .363 shrunk (raw .332 on 9 PA) · league .386 · 33 pitches seen.363xwOBA .285 shrunk (raw .231 on 8 PA) · league .321 · 32 pitches seen.285xwOBA .278 shrunk (raw .158 on 3 PA) · league .308 · 19 pitches seen.278xwOBA .360 shrunk (raw .369 on 11 PA) · league .351 · 25 pitches seen.360xwOBA .245 shrunk (raw .193 on 11 PA) · league .292 · 30 pitches seen.245xwOBA .438 shrunk (raw .491 on 14 PA) · league .377 · 72 pitches seen.438xwOBA .210 shrunk (raw .018 on 4 PA) · league .274 · 50 pitches seen.210xwOBA .266 shrunk (raw .273 on 4 PA) · league .263 · 39 pitches seen.266xwOBA .309 shrunk (raw .321 on 36 PA) · league .274 · 178 pitches seen.309
vs RHP · 580 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 0% of 13 swings · league 22%0%Whiff 5% of 20 swings · league 20%5%Whiff 29% of 7 swings · league 19%29%Whiff 6% of 18 swings · league 10%6%Whiff 5% of 22 swings · league 9%5%Whiff 16% of 19 swings · league 11%16%Whiff 8% of 12 swings · league 14%8%Whiff 9% of 22 swings · league 13%9%Whiff 13% of 16 swings · league 17%13%Whiff 14% of 14 swings · league 28%14%Whiff 29% of 17 swings · league 24%29%Whiff 47% of 15 swings · league 32%47%Whiff 41% of 58 swings · league 49%41%
vs RHP · 580 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 56% of 23 pitches · league 62%56%Swings at 74% of 27 pitches · league 72%74%Swings at 28% of 25 pitches · league 66%28%Swings at 67% of 27 pitches · league 70%67%Swings at 67% of 33 pitches · league 76%67%Swings at 59% of 32 pitches · league 70%59%Swings at 63% of 19 pitches · league 65%63%Swings at 88% of 25 pitches · league 68%88%Swings at 53% of 30 pitches · league 60%53%Swings at 19% of 72 pitches · league 24%19%Swings at 34% of 50 pitches · league 34%34%Swings at 39% of 39 pitches · league 40%39%Swings at 33% of 178 pitches · league 32%33%
vs RHP · 580 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Andy Pages · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.333.538.778.535.42423.1%15.4%20.0%89.6101.60.0%50.0%66.7%
Last 15 G1440.273.400.424.370.39212.5%12.5%9.6%84.6101.63.6%32.1%50.0%
Last 30 G2880.286.375.414.358.31817.5%10.0%19.2%85.8101.61.8%27.3%40.0%
90 days46136.244.338.336.317.28021.3%8.8%20.2%85.6106.31.1%25.8%33.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 89 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 14%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G24.500.500.500.450.39025.0%0.0%10.0%78.792.80.0%0.0%66.7%
Last 15 G1021.350.381.650.438.37314.3%4.8%4.8%88.4106.511.8%41.2%47.1%
Last 30 G2148.341.396.614.430.41714.6%8.3%9.1%91.5108.18.1%48.6%43.2%
90 days3477.353.429.632.454.45715.6%11.7%11.6%91.2108.110.7%53.6%42.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 56 balls in play
Ground 34%Line drive 27%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G517.385.529.692.515.41623.5%11.8%16.0%86.0101.60.0%33.3%66.7%
Last 15 G1561.302.393.509.393.38613.1%9.8%7.4%86.0106.56.7%35.6%48.9%
Last 30 G30128.307.383.491.385.35516.4%9.4%15.1%88.1108.14.3%35.9%41.3%
90 days49213.283.371.444.367.34419.2%9.9%17.0%87.8108.14.8%36.6%37.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 145 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 19%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 10%
Andy Pages · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating82Excellent
Last 100 pitches99trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.370 / .354running 17 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPFastball91.699.29.564Single
Sep 25RHPSlider86.7101.635.891Home run
Sep 25RHPFastball94.876.632.183Out
Sep 24RHPSlider84.495.027.280Out
Sep 23LHPSinker93.271.335.565Single
Sep 23RHPFastball99.677.49.297Double
Sep 23LHPSinker100.492.820.287Single
Sep 22RHPSinker91.887.74.440Out
Sep 22LHPChangeup90.172.029.710Double play
Aug 19RHPFastball95.982.712.483Out
Aug 19RHPSlider83.874.941.203Out
Aug 19LHPFastball94.192.34.483Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25325100
Sep 24400012
Sep 23434001
Sep 22400010
Aug 21200001
Aug 19511001
Aug 18511000
Aug 17534010
Aug 16414111
Aug 15400000

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA
wOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gameLAD @ SF →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Andy Pages: every projection we've made →