Bo Davidson vs TBD, Sep 27, 2026

← LAD at SF, Sep 27, 2026

2:05 PM CT · Oracle Park · lineup projected

Hitter · SF · batting 4Bo Davidson

Bats leftTalent grade ——Normal

–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.8expected PA

Starter · LADTBD

Stable

4.4projected K–K%1.9trips vs this hitter

1+ hit-1.9 pts matchup

2+ total bases-2.5 pts matchup

Home run-2.3 pts matchup

Bo Davidson's last 9 balls in playHit (4)Out (5)Barrel zone

44% hit 95+ mph33% in the sweet spot44% fell for hits

Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
Market	BTB	Without the matchup	Matchup
1+ hit	58.9%	60.8%	-1.9
2+ total bases	31.5%	34.0%	-2.5
Home run	8.5%	10.7%	-2.3

What moves the number

1+ hit

Starter

0.0

Pitch mix

0.0

Bullpen

-0.8

Park

-1.1

2+ total bases

Starter

0.0

Pitch mix

0.0

Bullpen

-0.9

Park

-1.6

Home run

Starter

0.0

Pitch mix

0.0

Bullpen

-0.6

Park

-1.7

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Bo Davidson hits

Bo Davidson · hot and cold vs RHP

vs RHP · 29 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight

Bo Davidson · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games

vs RHPvs LHPAll

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	2	7	.167	.286	.167	.229	.327	28.6%	14.3%	23.1%	91.8	103.8	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%
Last 15 G	2	7	.167	.286	.167	.229	.327	28.6%	14.3%	23.1%	91.8	103.8	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%
Last 30 G	2	7	.167	.286	.167	.229	.327	28.6%	14.3%	23.1%	91.8	103.8	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%
90 days	2	7	.167	.286	.167	.229	.327	28.6%	14.3%	23.1%	91.8	103.8	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 4 balls in play

Ground 75%Line drive 25%Fly ball 0%Pop-up 0%

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	3	7	.429	.429	.429	.386	.304	28.6%	0.0%	38.5%	78.7	105.1	0.0%	40.0%	40.0%
Last 15 G	3	7	.429	.429	.429	.386	.304	28.6%	0.0%	38.5%	78.7	105.1	0.0%	40.0%	40.0%
Last 30 G	3	7	.429	.429	.429	.386	.304	28.6%	0.0%	38.5%	78.7	105.1	0.0%	40.0%	40.0%
90 days	3	7	.429	.429	.429	.386	.304	28.6%	0.0%	38.5%	78.7	105.1	0.0%	40.0%	40.0%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 5 balls in play

Ground 60%Line drive 40%Fly ball 0%Pop-up 0%

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	4	14	.308	.357	.308	.307	.316	28.6%	7.1%	30.8%	84.5	105.1	0.0%	44.4%	33.3%
Last 15 G	4	14	.308	.357	.308	.307	.316	28.6%	7.1%	30.8%	84.5	105.1	0.0%	44.4%	33.3%
Last 30 G	4	14	.308	.357	.308	.307	.316	28.6%	7.1%	30.8%	84.5	105.1	0.0%	44.4%	33.3%
90 days	4	14	.308	.357	.308	.307	.316	28.6%	7.1%	30.8%	84.5	105.1	0.0%	44.4%	33.3%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 9 balls in play

Ground 67%Line drive 33%Fly ball 0%Pop-up 0%

FormNormal

Contact rating–percentile of xwOBA

Last 100 pitches–

wOBA / xwOBA.309 / .315results in line with his contact

Last 12 games, oldest to newest

Hit4/4

2+ total bases0/4

Home run0/4

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 9 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
Date	Pitcher	Pitch	Velo	EV	LA	xwOBA	Result
Sep 25	LHP	Slider	90.9	54.1	6	.104	Single
Sep 23	LHP	Curveball	85.6	70.2	19	.728	Out
Sep 23	LHP	Sinker	95.6	102.3	-4	.369	Single
Sep 23	LHP	Slider	89.2	61.7	-32	.058	Out
Sep 22	RHP	Fastball	95.9	87.0	2	.320	Out
Sep 22	LHP	Fastball	93.9	105.1	10	.869	Single
Sep 21	RHP	Changeup	85.9	74.3	6	.252	Out
Sep 21	RHP	Fastball	95.7	101.9	-2	.414	Out
Sep 21	RHP	Cutter	91.0	103.8	18	.608	Single

Total bases, last 4 games★ home run

121

122

123

125

Last 4 games.
Date	PA	H	TB	BB	K
Sep 25	3	1	1	0	2
Sep 23	3	1	1	0	0
Sep 22	4	1	1	1	1
Sep 21	4	1	1	0	1

The hitter

season-level talent read

Talent grade—— type

wOBA–

K%–

BB%–

Whiff%–

Barrel%–

Hard-hit%–

Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA

wOBA–

xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his

RV/100–

Hard-hit%–

K%–

BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gameLAD @ SF →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Bo Davidson: every projection we've made →